Free NFL Picks For Today 10/16/2022
Cincinnati Bengals vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Pick Prediction 10/16/2022
Bengals at Saints—Wide receiver Tee Higgin, tight end Hursts and a left tackle questionable for Cincinnati on offense. Defensive starters healthy. Saints wide receivers Thomas and Landry are out. Olave questionable. Winston questionable but Andy Dalton will start.
On defense right corner Lattimore out with a left corner and safety questionable. Cincinnati moved to 2-3 after their 19-17 road defeat at Baltimore. Bengals gained only 291 yards running for 101 yards on 21 carries. Pass defense was good but Cincinnati allowed 155 rushing yards on 28 carries.
Joe Burrow completed a season high 68.6% in the loss for 6.3 yards per attempt. New Orleans improved to 3-2 with their 39-32 home win to Seattle. Saints had a season high 438 yards in the win running for 235 yards on 48 carries.
New Orleans struggled defensively allowing over 7 yards a carry on the ground with 245 passing on 25 throws. Andy Dalton did complete 66.7% in the win with 7.8 yards per attempt. On the season Dalton in his two starts 69.2% completions with 8.1 yards per attempt.
Prefer the play of the Bengals defense and Burrow over Dalton here. Injuries to New Orleans receivers a key here. Saints are giving up nearly three sacks a game and Dalton may have to wait longer for receivers to get open with Thomas and Landry running patters. Play Cincinnati -2.5.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Pick Prediction 10/16/2022
Jaguars at Colts—Jacksonville receivers Zay Jones and Marvin Jones out. On defense their left end out with nose tackle and linebacker questionable. Running backs Taylor and Hines out look to third and fourth stringers to run the ball. Defensively they are without a left defensive end and linebacker with safety questionable.
Jacksonville fell to 3-2 after their 13-6 home defeat to Houston. Jaguars moved the ball for 422 yards with 136 rushing on 26 carries. Team struggled with 0 of 3 in the red zone. They limited the Texans to only 248 yards. Trevor Lawrence just 53.2% completions, two picks and 6.1 yards per attempt.
Drives stalled with 6 of 14 on third down. On the season Lawrence 62.4% completions with 6.8 yards per attempt. Indianapolis improved to 2-2-1 with their 12-9 road overtime win at Denver. Colts moved the football for only 306 yards running for 106 yards on 26 carries.
On defense they allowed 250 passing yards on 39 attempts. Matt Ryan 63.4% completions in the win with two picks and 6.1 yards per attempt. On the year he completes 65.6% with 7.1 yards per attempt.
They converted only 4 of 16 on third down but the defense held the Broncos to 2 of 15. Jaguars running backs healthy and that is the key to this one. Colts allowing 4.2 sacks per game with 2.2 turnovers and poor red zone execution. Play Jacksonville +1.5.
Baltimore Ravens vs. New York Giants NFL Pick Prediction 10/16/2022
Ravens at Giants—Receiver Bateman out for Baltimore and a linebacker on defense. Giants without receivers Golladay, Toney and Shepard. On defense their left defensive end doubtful and right end questionable. Baltimore improved to 3-2 after their 19-17 home win to Cincinnati.
Ravens posted 325 yards with 155 rushing on 28 carries. They limited the Bengals to 291 yards for the game with 190 passing on 35 attempts. Lamar Jackson completed 59.4% with 5.4 yards per attempt. Season wide Jackson 63.8% completion rate and 7.2 yards per attempt.
New York improved to 4-1 after their 27-22 win against Green Bay in England. Giants offense posted 338 yards with 125 rushing on 31 carries. Three rushing touchdowns. NYG limited the Packers defense with 301 yards with 207 passing on 39 carries.
Daniel Jones did complete 77.8% of his passes for eight yards per attempt. On the year Jones 66.7% completions with 6.4 yards per attempt. Can’t ignore the fact the Ravens are allowing 398 yards a game with 5 yards per rush. NYG run game has been good. Play NY Giants +6.
San Francisco 49ers vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Pick Prediction 10/16/2022
49ers at Falcons—San Francisco left tackle out with guard questionable. Defensively they are without a defensive tackle and safety. Nick Bosa questionable. They lose defensive tackle Kinlaw and corner Emmanuel Mosely to IR. Falcons are without running back Patterson with a tight end and guard questionable.
On defense a linebacker questionable and out. San Francisco moved to 3-2 with their 37-15 road win at Carolina. A season high 397 yards of offense with 153 rushing on 29 carries. They limited the Panthers run game and allowed 244 passing yards on 42 attempts.
Defense held Carolina to 3 of 15 on third down. Jimmy Garoppolo completed 60% in the win with two touchdowns and 8.4 yards per attempt. He led the team to 4 of 4 inside the red zone. Season wide numbers for Garoppolo 60.7% completions with 8 yards per attempt.
San Francisco stayed back east so travel not an issue in this back to back spot on the road. No Patterson huge in this spot against a 49ers defense allowing 249 yards a game. Falcons struggling getting pressure on the quarterback. But Falcons are giving up 393 yards a game with 4.6 yards per attempt. Play San Francisco -4.5.
New York Jets vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Pick Prediction 10/16/2022
Jets at Packers—Jets left tackle questionable with starters on defense healthy. Receiver Sammi Watkins remains out for the Packers. On defense a linebacker is questionable. NYJ improved to 3-2 after their 40-17 home win to Miami. Jets a season low 322 yards with 135 rushing on 33 carries.
On defense they limited the Dolphins behind a backup quarterback to 295 yards with 158 passing on 34 attempts. Zach Wilson completed 66.7% in the win with 10 yards per attempt. In his two games 56.1% completions with 8.1 yards per attempt. Green Bay fell to 3-2 after their 27-22 defeat in England to the New York Giants.
Packers a season low 301 yards with 94 rushing on 20 carries. On defense they did limit the Giants to 338 yards but three rushing touchdowns. Aaron Rodgers completed 64.1% of his throws with two touchdowns but tied a season low 5.7 yards per attempt.
On the year Rodgers 67.9% completions with a season low 6.9 yards per attempt. Jets defense improved and Rodgers struggling getting in sync with his new receiving crew. Play New York Jets +7.5.
New England Patriots vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Pick Prediction 10/16/2022
Patriots at Browns—New England quarterback Mac Jones questionable as are back Damian Harris and receiver Meyers. Wide out Nelson Agholor questionable. Browns starters on offense healthy. On defense defensive end Clowney and corner Ward out.
New England is 2-3 following their 29-0 home win to Detroit Lions. Patriots moved the football for 364 yards with 176 rushing on 35 carries. Defensively they limited the Lions to only 312 yards with 211 passing on 35 carries. Media reports have Jones unlikely to play.
Bailey Zappe completed 81% of his throws with a touchdown, pick and 9 yards per attempt. On the season Zappe 75% completions with 8 yards per attempt. Patriots 0 of 4 in the red zone and held the Lions of 0 of 3. New England 3 of 9 on third down and held the Lions to 4 of 12.
Cleveland fell to 2-3 after their 30-28 home defeat to LA Chargers. Browns a season high 443 yards offensively with 213 on the ground on 31 attempts. They did surrender 465 yards to LAC with 238 rushing on 34 carries to a team struggling with their ground game.
Jacoby Brissett completed 61.8% with 6.8 yards per attempt. Season wide Brissett 64% completions and 6.6 yards per attempt. Browns defense giving up 5.3 yards a carry and their performance defensively against a bad Chargers run game the huge issue here. Play New England +2.5.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Pick Prediction 10/16/2022
Buccaneers at Steelers—Julio Jones questionable for Tampa Bay. On defense they are without their defensive end with a linebackers and safety out. Steelers without their tight end on offense. On defense Pittsburgh is without both corners and a safety.
TJ. Watt still out. Tampa Bay is 3-2 after their 21-15 home win to Atlanta. Buccaneers a season high 420 yards offensively with only 69 rushing on 23 carries. Bucs limited the Falcons passing game but surrendered 151 rushing yards on 31 carries.
Tom Brady completed 67.3% in the win with a touchdown and 6.8 yards per attempt. Brady this season completion 68.1% with 6.8 yards per attempt. Bucs up 21-0 after three then give up 15 unanswered points in the final quarter. Tampa Bay did register five sacks and gave up none.
Pittsburgh 1-4 after their 38-3 road defeat at Buffalo. Steelers defense was crushed for 552 yards with 432 passing on 36 attempts. Steelers run game generated only 54 yards on 17 carries. Rookie quarterback Kenny Pickett 65.4% completion rate with a pick and 6.3 yards per attempt.
On the year Pickett 67.4% completions, four picks and 6.9 per attempt. Steelers were 0 of 4 inside the red zone and held the Bills to 1 of 4. Buccaneers averaging nearly four sacks per game. Pittsburgh offense averaging only 295 yards a game with 3.9 yards per attempt rushing. Play Tampa Bay and Pittsburgh under 46.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Pick Prediction 10/16/2022
Vikings at Dolphins—Vikings starters on offense and defense healthy. Tua out with running back Mostert, tight end and left tackle questionable. Dolphins healthy on defense. Minnesota 4-1 following their 29-22 home win to Chicago Bears.
Vikings moved the ball for 429 yards with 117 rushing on 31 carries. They did limit the Bears to 271 yards putting a lid on their strong run game. Kirk Cousins a season high 78% completions with 7.2 yards per attempt. On the season Cousins 66.2% completions with a nine season low 6.7 yards per attempt.
Vikings 12 of 15 on third down in the win and were 4 of 4 inside the red zone. Miami fell to 3-2 after their 40-17 road defeat at NY Jets. Team moved the football for only 295 yards with 137 rushing on 26 carries. On defense they held the Jets to 322 yards but 5 of 6 conversions inside the red zone.
Teddy Bridgewater is healthy, but the Dolphins are looking to rookie Skylar Thompson. The Kansas St rookie was a dual threat quarterback in his time in college. In relief last week Thompson 57.6% completions with a pick but only 5 yards per attempt. Miami did have a -2 turnover margin.
Vikings failed to cover both road games this season giving up an average of 486 yards with 4.8 yards per rush. Vikings offense on the road only 265 yards with 4.4 yards per pass attempt. Dual threat for Thompson the real wild card here. Play Miami +3.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Pick Prediction 10/16/2022
Cardinals at Seahawks—Arizona running back James Conner is out and their center questionable. On defense a nose tackle and corner questionable. Seahawks running back Penny out, wide receiver Goodwin questionable and their right guard questionable.
On defense the Seahawks have their nose tackle doubtful and a defensive end questionable. Arizona moved to 2-3 with their 20-17 home defeat to Philadelphia. Cardinals moved the football for 363 yards with 124 rushing on 26 carries. They did limit the Eagles ground attack and allowed 218 passing yards on 36 attempts.
Kyler Murray completed 66.7% with 6 yards per attempt. On the season Murray career lows 65.6% completions and 5.8 yards per attempt. Seattle dropped to 2-3 with their 39-32 road defeat at New Orleans. Seahawks in defeat moved the football for 396 yards with 151 on the ground on 21 carries.
Seattle struggled defensively allowing 438 yards with 235 rushing on 48 carries. Geno Smith completed 64% with three touchdowns and 10.7 yards per pass attempt. Seahawks were 1 of 9 on third down. Seahawks have a recent home four point loss to Atlanta.
Seattle defense is giving up 430 yards a game, 5 yards per rush and 8.6 yards per pass attempt. They also don’t get pressure on the quarterback. Cardinals have won and covered both road games. Play Arizona -2.5.
Carolina Panthers vs. LA Rams NFL Pick Prediction 10/16/2022
Panthers at Rams—Baker Mayfield doubtful and Sam Darnold out for Carolina. Wide receiver Anderson questionable. On defense they have two linebackers questionable and a corner out. Rams center out with receiver Kupp and tight end Higbee questionable. Also out is running back Cam Akers.
Aaron Donald questionable. Carolina fell to 1-4 with their 37-15 home defeat to San Francisco. Panthers offense generated only 308 yards with 64 rushing on 17 carries. Defensively Carolina struggled in run defense allowing 153 yards on 29 carries plus 4 of 4 in the red zone.
P.J. Walker in ten career appearances 47.9% completion rate with 6.2 yards per attempt. In relief of Mayfield last week was 5 of 6 for 60 yards. Panthers were just 3 of 15 on third down. They did replace their head coach with Steve Wilks.
Carolina staring their third string quarterback and averaging only 271 yards per game. Rams offense struggling this season averaging 299 yards a game with 3.2 per attempt. LAR giving up 4.2 sacks per game. Play LA Rams and Carolina under 41.5.
Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Pick Prediction 10/16/2022
Bills at Chiefs—Buffalo starts healthy on both sides of the ball. Chiefs offensive starers healthy and a corner out. Buffalo 4-1 after their 38-3 home win to Pittsburgh. Bills piled up 552 yards with 120 rushing on 18 carries. They allowed 364 yards to the Steelers limiting their ground attack and giving up 310 yards passing on 52 attempts.
Josh Allen 64.5% completions in the win with a season high 13.7 yards per attempt. Allen season wide a 66.8% completion rate with 8.3 yards per attempt which is a career high. KC 4-1 after their 30-29 home win to Las Vegas Raiders. Chiefs 368 yards in victory delivering 103 rushing yards on 23 carries.
Defensively KC allowed 378 yards to the Raiders with 155 on the ground on 24 carries. Patrick Mahomes 67.4% completions in the win with four touchdowns and 6.8 yards per attempt.
Season wide Mahomes 66.7% completion rate, 15 touchdowns, 2 picks and 7.4 yards per attempt. Strong red zone performance for KC going 4 of 4. High scoring history between these two teams. Play Buffalo and Kansas City over 54.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Pick Prediction 10/16/2022
Cowboys at Eagles—Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb questionable. Cowboys starters on defense questionable. Eagles starters on offense and defense healthy. Dallas moves to 4-1 after their 22-10 road win at LA Rams. Cowboys a season low 239 yards in the win with 163 rushing yards on 34 carries.
On defense Dallas held LAR to 323 yards with 38 rushing on 15 carries. Cooper Rush the likely starter here. Rush in the win completed 62.5% with 6.4 yards per rush. On the season Rush 61% completions with 7.1 yards per attempt. Philadelphia 5-0 after their 20-17 road win at Arizona.
Eagles a season low 357 yards with 139 rushing on 33 carries. Defensively they allowed 124 rushing yards to the Cardinals with 26 rushing. Jalen Hurts completed 72.2% in the win with a season low 6.6 yards per attempt. Eagles defense is giving up five yards a carry on the ground.
Dallas defense puts fierce pressure on opposing quarterbacks and averaging four sacks per game. Cowboys have covered eight straight against the division and 10-1 in their past eleven road games. Play Dallas +6.5.
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