Free NFL Picks For Today 9/11/2022

Free NFL Picks For Today 9/11/2022

Free NFL Picks For Today 9/11/2022

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New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Pick Prediction 9/11/2022

Saints at Falcons—New Orleans receiver Michael Thomas is expected to play with a hamstring. Starting cornerback out and free safety Mattieu questionable for the Saints. Drake London expected to play for Atlanta and Calvin Ridley suspended. Marcus Mariota will start at quarterback coming over from the Raiders where he served as a backup. The run game will need to improve from a 3.7 yards per attempt from last season. Lots to fix on defense where the team allowed 29 points and 48.4% conversions on third down. Dennis Allen is in his first season at New Orleans as Sean Payton resigns. Jameis Winston back under center for the Saints. Defense played well for New Orleans in 2021 allowing 19.7 points and 3.7 yards per rush. Both starters at safety from last season have exited the team. These two teams split their two meetings last season. Mariota’s mobility could extend drives and help the Falcons inside the red zone. Don’t want to lay almost a touchdown with the Saints behind a first year head coach on the road and Jameis Winston returning from an ACL injury. Play Atlanta +5.5.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Chicago Bears NFL Pick Prediction 9/11/2022

49ers at Bears—Tight end George Kittle with a groin has been downgraded and not expected to play. Bears starters healthy. The keys to the 49ers offense has been handed to Trey Lance. The 49ers strength is on their offensive and defensive lines. San Francisco a power run team and starting running back Elijah Mitchell averaged 4.7 yards per rush. Lance is a more mobile quarterback than backup Garoppolo. Matt Eberflus enters his first season as head coach for Chicago. Bears were slammed for their lack of creativity on offense. Protection was an issue and part of the problem was Fields struggling with reads. Chicago offensive line not rated high. Lots of turnover for the Bears on defense. Bears did give up 4.4 yards per carry last year on defense. Defense and run game will favor the favorite here. Play San Francisco -6.5.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals NFL Pick Prediction 9/11/2022

Steelers at Bengals—Steelers starters and second string on their depth chart healthy. Bengals starters healthy. Mitch Trubisky wins the starting job at Pittsburgh. The run game was weak last year with only 3.9 yards per rush. Pass protection also a concern for Trubisky. Steelers allowed 23 points a game last season but were last against the run surrendering 5 yards per rush attempt. Bengals won both meetings against the Steelers last year by double digits in each game. Joe Burrow has strong weapons return in the passing game. Joe Mixon returns after running for 1205 yards in 2021. The +6.5 to +7 looks tempting to take but the strength of the Bengals offense puts the check mark on the home favorite. Play Cincinnati -6.5.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Detroit Lions NFL Pick Prediction 9/11/2022

Eagles at Lions—Philadelphia starters are healthy. Lions banged up on the offensive line. Eagles had a good close to their season winning six of their final eight games and a playoff berth after a slow start. Jalen Hurts enters his third season and must feel confident with a strong team finish. Eagles made good moves to strengthen their receiving corps. They were the top rushing team in the league last year aided by Hurt’s running ability. Eagles crushed the Lions in their meeting last year 44-6 on the road. Detroit went 3-13-1 last year but 11-6 to the spread. Detroit made some offseason moves to help the offense with playmakers around Goff. Lions defense the concern as the team allowed nearly 28 points and 380 yards per game. Teams averaged 7.6 yards per pass attempt on the Lions defense. Detroit has covered four straight home games since getting embarrassed in a home blowout loss to the Eagles. Not comfortable laying these many points with the Eagles on the road with a Lions team that showed improvement at home late last season and with the improvements made to the Detroit offense. Play Detroit +5.5.

New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Pick Prediction 9/11/2022

Patriots at Dolphins—New England wide receiver Jakobi Meyers and tackle Isaiah Wynn questionable. Nosetackle Raekwon Davis questionable for Miami. Quarterback Mac Jones threw for 3800 yards last year and has solidified his starting status. Patriots sixth in scoring offense and second in scoring defense last year. Wit a rookie quarterback the Patriots were 10th on third down and great on defense sitting fifth. New England finished second defensively in completion rate, passing yards and yards per pass attempt. Mike McDaniel enters his first season as head coach after the controversial firing of head coach Flores. A big addition for Miami was receiver Tyreek Hill. Tua Tagovailoa needs to be better with his downfield throws. But the play of the offensive line in pass protection would be a great help. Flores impacted a strong Dolphins defense under his tenure. A strong finish after a poor start sent Flores packing. Belichick has been dominant against rookie head coaches the past 12 seasons and last year went 6-0 straight up. Play New England +3.5.

Baltimore Ravens vs. New York Jets NFL Pick Prediction 9/11/2022

Ravens at Jets—Baltimore running back JK Dobbins questionable with a left tackle out. Marcus Peters a linebacker questionable for the Ravens. Jets starting quarterback Zach Wilson out with left tackle George Fant questionable as is his backup. On defense a corner questionable. Lamar Jackson took a step back last year completing only 52.7% of his passes. Although with a clean pocket Jackson is extremely dangerous. So, it comes down to the offensive line for the Ravens. Baltimore on defense was hit hard with injuries last year and is healthier coming into this season. Despite all their injuries on defense the team did finish third in the league on third down. Joe Flacco is under center for an injured Zach Wilson. New York was 32nd and last in the NFL in scoring defense allowing 29.6 points a game with 397 yards. Teams averaged 4.5 yards per rush on New York and 7.5 yards per pass attempts. Mobility a major concern for Flacco against a Ravens defense that prides itself on pressuring the quarterback. Have to believe the Jets are likely to have some turnovers with Flacco under siege and a statue in the pocket. Play Baltimore -6.5.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Washington Commanders NFL Pick Prediction 9/11/2022

Jaguars at Commanders—Doug Peterson enters his first season with the Jaguars. He is a Super Bowl winning coach while with Philadelphia. Jaguars defensive end questionable but the remainder of starters and second string healthy. Commanders tight end Logan Thomas questionable with a starting safety out. Tough year for the rookie quarterback Trevor Lawrence who had 12 touchdowns passes and 17 picks. Team made moves in the offensive line. Jacksonville was last in scoring with 14.9 per game. Defense allowed 27. Pass defense was weak for the Jaguars as they allowed 69% completion rate with 7.1 per attempt. Carson Wentz is now the starting quarterback for Washington. Wentz lost the starting jobs with the Eagles and Colts and faces a team that knocked him out of the playoffs last season. Biggest disappointment from the Commanders last season was the play of their defense a strength entering the 2021 season. They allowed 255 yards passing and 7.3 yards per pass attempt. Massive coaching upgrade for Jacksonville and Wentz effectiveness in question. Play Jacksonville +3.

Cleveland Browns vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Pick Prediction 9/11/2022

Browns at Panthers—Right tackle for Cleveland questionable with the remainder of the Browns starters healthy. Panthers starters are healthy. With the DeShaun Watson suspension it will be backup Jacoby Brissett at quarterback. Browns added a major weapon in the receiving corps in Amari Cooper. Cleveland ran for 5 yards a carry last year. The concern for the Browns are at quarterback and depth at receiver position. Baker Mayfield under center now for the Panthers. Christian McCaffrey is healthy and there is depth with Chuba Hubbard as the backup. Mayfield an upgrade for Carolina at quarterback and a healthy McCaffrey is huge. Panthers have talent on defense. Play Carolina at pick.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans NFL Pick Prediction 9/11/2022

Colts at Texans—Colts linebacker Shaquille Leonard out. Texans starters healthy. Indianapolis looking for a fast start as they did play starters some in the preseason. Last season ended ugly losing to Jacksonville at home and getting eliminated from the playoffs. Matt Ryan under center moving over from Atlanta. Colts invested in their offensive line after learning a hard lesson during the Andrew Luck era. Ryan has a strong running attack with Jonathan Taylor leading a unit that averaged 5.1 yards per rush. Colts top ten defense in points allowed last year. They did a good job of forcing turnovers. Houston looks to improve from a 4-13 season. Rookie Davis Mills played well last season sitting second amongst the rookies in quarterback rating. Defensively the team added talent in free agency and from the draft. Mills development and the improved talent will put the check mark here on the home underdog. Play Houston +7.

New York Giants vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Pick Prediction 9/11/2022

Giants at Titans—New York defensive end and edge rusher doubtful. Titans starters healthy. Another coaching change for New York as Brian Daboll is in his first season after holding the offensive coordinator job at Buffalo. Daniel Jones led an offense in 2021 that was 31st in scoring with 15.2 per game. Team was last in yards per pass attempt and turnovers in the league. Running back Saquan Barkley has been hampered by injuries the past two seasons. New York improved their pass rush in the draft and through free agency. Titans went 12-5 last year and were the top seed in the AFC. But a home loss to Cincinnati by three with home field advantage ended their Super Bowl hopes. Tennessee had a strong running attack led by Derrick Henry. There is also some turnover at the receiver position for quarterback Ryan Tannehill. Titans defensive numbers were good last year and they got off the field on third down. But Golladay, Toney and Shepard are healthy along with Barkley. Play NY Giants +5.5.

Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Pick Prediction 9/11/2022

Packers at Vikings—Packers wide receiver Lazard doubtful with both tackles questionable. A defensive end questionable for the Vikings. Green Bay will have a new look at wide receiver with Davante Adams heading to Las Vegas. Lazard and Cobb return with Sammy Watkins coming over from KC. Two capable running backs in Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon. Defense played well for Green Bay holding opponents to 21.8 points per game and deserved a better fate then their playoff loss at home to San Francisco. Teams did run for 4.7 yards a carry on this unit. Minnesota has a first year head coach in Kevin O’Connell. Two straight losing seasons and Mike Zimmer is let go. It was the defense that digressed mightily the past two seasons. Team struggled to get pressure on the quarterback and gave up 25 points and 383 yards per game. Improvement of the Packers defense the key here. Also more stability with the coaching situation with the Packers. Play Green Bay at pick.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Arizona Cardinals NFL Pick Prediction 9/11/2022

Chiefs at Cardinals—Arizona receiver Rondale Moore out with tight end and staring guard questionable. JJ Watt questionable at defensive end along with a corner. Chiefs starters and backups healthy. Biggest news for KC in the offseason was trading away Tyreek Hill. They did add talent in free agency. Chiefs have a talented backfield. Chiefs defense sat 27th allowing 369 yards per game and 31st surrendering 4.8 yards per rush. Arizona had the look of a team that could go far in the playoffs. Then an injury to Kyler Murray and upon his return did not have the same effectiveness as before. Cardinals defense held its own holding opponents to 21 points and 329 yards last season. They did a good job getting off the field on third down and forced turnovers. Chiefs defense makes if difficult to lay almost a touchdown here. Play Kansas City +6.5.

Las Vegas Raiders vs. LA Chargers NFL Pick Prediction 9/11/2022

Raiders at Chargers—Las Vegas first and second string healthy. On defense Chargers will be without a corner and a linebacker is questionable. Josh McDaniels is in his first year with the Raiders and brought many from New England onto his staff and front office. Raiders added Davante Adams into the mix at wide receiver. Las Vegas is deep at running back with Josh Jacobs and Kenyan Drake. Raiders made some good moves in the offseason to improve on defense. Chargers missed out on a playoff spot by losing to the Raiders in the final week of the season. Team lost three of their final four including a stinging 41-29 defeat at Houston the day after Christmas. They gave up an average of 34 points per game in those defeats down the stretch. Chargers defense surrendered 27 points a game last season. Teams were able to run for 4.6 yards a carry. Herbert has strong weapons in the passing game. But prefer the Raiders running backs and the talent assembled on this new look defense. Chargers defense heading wrong way. Play Las Vegas +3.5.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Pick Prediction 9/11/2022

Buccaneers at Cowboys—Cowboys are without wide receiver Michael Gallup. They lost left tackle Tyron Smith for the season. A starting safety is questionable. Both Buccaneers starting receivers questionable. They lost their starting center for the season with an injury. The defense is healthy. Cowboys lost wide receiver Amari Cooper. Ezekiel Elliot has been ineffective. Dallas dropped their past two home games and lost 4 of 6 overall at home. Buccaneers head coach Todd Bowles in his first season as Bruce Arians is now in the front office. Buccaneers were fifth scoring defense in the league allowing 20.8 points a game. They held opponents to 6 yards per pass attempt. The Cowboys loss at home to the Raiders when they had key receivers out with injuries could be a sign for things to come here with the Cowboys missing key pieces. Play Tampa Bay -2.5.

Free NFL Picks For Today 9/11/2022

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