Free MLB Picks For Today 4/17/2022
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2022
Yankees at Orioles—Nestor Cortes the starter for the Yankees. The lefty turned around his career in 2021 finishing with an ERA of 2.90 and WHIP 1.08 in 93 innings splitting time between the bullpen as well as rotation. The strikeout rate ballooned to 27.5% in 2021 and saw his home run rate fall to 1.35 per nine innings.
Cortes opened 2022 facing Toronto at home allowing no runs and three hits over 4 1/3rd innings. Bruce Zimmermann the starter for the Orioles. The veteran in parts of three seasons with Baltimore carries an ERA of 5.02 and WHIP 1.46. He has a career 1.91 home runs per nine inning rate and pitches to high contact.
Zimmermann opened his season at home to Milwaukee allowing no earned runs with two walks over four innings. Yankees evened this series with the 5-2 win on Saturday. Orioles have lost six of eight hitting .195. Play New York Yankees run line -1.5 runs at -110.
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2022
Twins at Red Sox—Starting for Minnesota will be Bailey Ober. The righthander In his rookie campaign had 20 starts and finished with an ERA of 4.19 and WHIP 1.20. A good 25.3% strikeout rate with good control checking at 5% walk rate. He was hurt by the home run ball surrendering 1.95 per nine innings.
Ober faced Seattle in his opener giving up four earned runs, two walks and a homer in five innings. Michael Wacha to start for the Red Sox. The veteran with the Rays started 23 games and had an ERA of 5.05 with WHIP 1.31.
Strikeout rate ticked down to 22.9% and so did home run rate to 1.66 per nine innings. He faced the Tigers in his opener allowing one earned run with three walks over 4 1/3rd innings. Red Sox have won three of four with their 4-0 win on Saturday. Twins batting only .188 as a team with a high bullpen ERA of 4.45. Play Boston -110.
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2022
Nationals at Pirates—Patrick Corbin to start for the Nats. The lefthander had a poor 2021 season posting an ERA of 5.82 and WHIP 1.47. Strikeout rate fell to 19% and was rocked by 1.94 home runs per nine innings. He has been hammered in two starts for eight earned runs with five walks in 6 2/3rd innings.
Jose Quintana on the mound for the Pirates. The veteran lefty split time with the Angels and Giants last year. He finished with an ERA of 6.43 and WHIP 1.73 in ten starts and 19 bullpen outings. He faced the Cubs to open the season giving up one earned run with a homer in 5 1/3rd innings.
Pirates have won three of four with their 6-4 win on Saturday. Play Pittsburgh -102.
Oakland Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2022
Athletics at Blue Jays—Adam Oller is the starter for the Athletics. The prospect had a good season in 2021 with stops in the minors at Double and Triple A.
In his MLB debut Oller faced Tampa Bay on the road and was lit up for five earned runs, two homers and three walks over 1 1/3rd innings. Alek Manoah is the starter for the Blue Jays. Manoah an impressive rookie campaign with an ERA of 3.22 and WHIP 1.05 in 20 starts. A 27.7% strikeout rate in 2021 and limited home runs.
The teams split their series after Oakland wins Saturday 7-5. Athletics are batting only .204 against righthanders. Blue Jays bullpen has performed well. Play Toronto on run line -1.5 runs at -120.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2022
Diamondbacks at Mets—Humberto Castellanos the starter for the Diamondbacks. In parts of three seasons in MLB the righthander has an ERA of 5.31 and WHIP 1.45. He pitched to high contact last season with a 14.8% strikeout rate last season. He has put in three innings in two appearances this year giving up two earned runs.
David Peterson starts for the Mets. The lefty in parts of three seasons with New York has an ERA of 4.49 and WHIP 1.31. He did see his strikeout rate jump to 24% last year but still in double digits in walk rate. He allowed 1.49 home runs per 9 innings. Diamondbacks evened this series at 1-1 with their 3-2 win on Saturday.
Arizona batting only .130 against lefty’s. Castellanos big step down from Gallen for the Mets batters to face plus the bullpen that follows. Play New York Mets run line -1.5 runs at +110.
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2022
Giants at Guardians—Alex Wood the starter for the Giants. The vet salvaged his career in his first season with the Giants posting an ERA of 3.83 and WHIP 1.18. He saw his strikeout rate increase to 26% and only 0.91 home runs per nine innings. Wood faced the Padres in his opener allowing two earned runs in 4 1/3rd innings.
Aaron Civale starts for the Guardians. Civale in 2021 had an ERA of 3.84 and WHIP 1.12 in 21 starts. A finger sprain forced him to miss a lot of time. Strikeout rate dipped to 19.9% and the home run rate jumped to 1.66 per nine innings.
A ground ball pitcher who saw an increase to 45% last season. In his season opener Civale allowed two earned runs with three walks over 3 1/3rd innings. Giants have won four straight after their 4-2 win on Saturday. Their pitching staff has allowed two runs or fewer in six of seven. Play San Francisco -124.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2022
Cardinals at Brewers—Dakota Hudson to start for St Louis. The righthander has limited work in 2020 and 2021 coming off Tommy John surgery. He was a productive pitcher prior to getting injured but the velocity has dipped from a high of 96 MPH to 92.1 last year.
Hudson faced the Royals in his opener allowing three earned runs with two homers in four innings. Aaron Ashby to throw for the Brewers. The 23 year old lefthander has a 97 MPH fastball and can change speeds with a slide as well as change up.
Ashby has made two appearances allowing one earned run in five innings at Baltimore and the White Sox. St Louis has won two of three in this series holding the Brewers to one run in each of the past two games in victory. Brewers hitting only .209 as a team. Cardinals hitting .333 against lefty’s. Play St Louis +115.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2022
Phillies at Marlins—Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies. He has put together back to back good seasons since playing for the Phillies.
In 2021 Wheeler had an ERA of 2.78 and WHIP 1.01 behind a 29.1% strikeout rate. Control was good and he limited his walks. Wheeler opened 2022 facing the Mets allowing one earned run with two hits in 4 2/3rd innings. Elieser Hernandez the starter for the Marlins. Injuries have limited the 27 year old to sixteen starts the past two seasons.
A career ERA of 4.73 with WHIP 1.30. He struggled with the home run ball allowing 2.26 per nine innings. Hernandez faced the Angels to open the season allowing four earned runs with two homers in 4 2/3rd innings. Phillies broke a four game losing streak after their 10-3 win on Saturday. Play Philadelphia -145.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 4/17/2022
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2022
Rays at White Sox—Tampa Bay will use Tommy Romero as a primary pitcher in this bullpen game. The righthander showed effectiveness in his minor league career dating back to 2017. He worked 1 2/3rd innings in his MLB debut against the Athletics allowing three earned runs and five walks. Vince Velasquez the starter for the White Sox.
The veteran has struggled the past three seasons with an ERA of 5.52 and WHIP 1.45. He saw his strikeout rate dip last season to 24% and had an 11.8% walk rate. Velasquez was crushed by the home run ball giving up 2.19 per nine innings.
In his opener the veteran allowed one earned run with three walks over four innings home to Seattle. Rays have dropped five of six with their 3-2 road loss on Saturday. Tampa Bay has struggled with run production in this period. Play White Sox -110.
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2022
Tigers at Royals—Tyler Alexander to start for Detroit. The lefty over parts of four seasons in the Majors carries an ERA of 4.15 with WHIP 1.30. He spent time as a reliever and starter.
Strikeout rate dipped in 2021 to 19.3% but saw reduction in homers with 1.35 per nine innings. He faced the Red Sox in his opener allowing three earned runs with four strikeouts in 5 1/3rd innings. Carlos Hernandez the starter for the Royals. The righthander 85 2/3rd innings for KC in starting and relief posting an ERA of 3.68 and WHIP 1.28.
Control was an issue with 11.5 walk rate. He faced the Indians to open the 2022 campaign allowing four earned runs with eight baserunners in 4 1/3rd innings.
Tigers have won two of three in this series giving up six runs total to KC. Royals are hitting only .171 against lefthanders and their bullpen checks in with an ERA of 6.21 with WHIP 1.59. Play Detroit +110.
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2022
Cubs at Rockies—Drew Smyly to start for the Cubs. The lefthander started 23 games with six out of the bullpen for Atlanta in 2021 and finished with an ERA of 4.48 with WHIP 1.37.
The strikeout dropped to 21.4% and was hurt by the home run ball surrendering 1.92 per nine innings. Smyly opened the season at Pittsburgh allowing no runs over five innings. Austin Gomber the starter for the Rockies.
Gomber with Colorado last year finished with a respectable 4.53 ERA with WHIP 1.24. He posted a 23.2% strikeout rate and allowed 1.56 home runs per nine innings. Rockies have won six of seven with their 9-6 win on Saturday. Rockies bullpen an ERA 1.78 and WHIP 1.05. Play Colorado -130.
LA Angels vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2022
Angels at Rangers—Jose Suarez gets the start for LAA. He has shuffled between the Majors and Triple A the past three seasons. He has a career ERA of 5.66 with WHIP 1.48. He has been hurt by the home run in his career with 1.69 per nine innings.
High ground ball rate last two seasons. Suarez faced the Astros to open 2022 allowing two earned runs with four walks in 4 1/3rd innings. Martin Perez the starter for the Rangers. The veteran in ten MLB seasons the lefthander has an ERA of 4.72 and WHIP 1.48. He has not had a strikeout rate over 19.1% the past seven seasons.
Perez faced Colorado at home in his opener allowing three earned runs with ten baserunners in four innings. Angels bat .212 against lefty’s and Rangers .311. Play Texas +106.
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2022
Astros at Mariners—Jose Urquidy the starter for the Astros. The righthander in 33 starts posts and ERA of 3.50 with WHIP 1.01. A strikeout rate of 21.3% in 2021 and allowed 1.43 home runs per nine innings. His fastball moved up to 94 MPH this season.
Urquidy opened against the Angels allowing one earned run in five innings. Seattle goes with Matt Brash on Sunday. Brash a prospect entered the Minors in 2019 putting up solid numbers with high strikeouts. The righthander faced the White Sox in his opener allowing two earned runs with six strikeouts in 5 1/3rd innings.
Astros have played to under in five of six with Mariners in four of six. Both light hitting lineups. Play Houston and Seattle under eight.
Cincinnati Reds vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2022
Reds at Dodgers—Tyler Mahle the starter for the Reds. The righty posted solid numbers in 2021 with an ERA of 3.75 and WHIP 1.23. A strikeout rate last year of 27.7% with 1.20 home run per nine innings. Two starts for Mahle and he has allowed one earned run in nine innings. Five total runs allowed with four unearned.
Andrew Heaney to start for LAD. The lefty was pounded the past three seasons. Last year an ERA of 5.83 and WHIP 1.32 with the Angels and Yankees. His strikeout rate has been high throughout his career but has struggled with the home run ball. He opened against the Twins allowing no earned runs in 4 1/3rd innings.
Five straight losses for Cincinnati and five straight wins for LAD. Reds hitting only .183 as a team and the Dodgers have been pounded righthanders. Mahle has pitched well against the Dodgers in his career. Play LA Dodgers and Cincinnati Reds under 8.5.
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2022
Braves at Padres—Bryce Elder the starter for the Braves. The righthander put up impressive numbers in the minor leagues last year at three stops. He made his MLB debut on Tuesday allowing three earned runs with six hits in 5 2/3rd innings against the Nationals.
Yu Darvish starts for the Padres. The veteran in his first season with the Padres had an ERA of 4.22 and WHIP 1.09. Strikeout rate dipped to 29.2% but still an elite level. Home ball hurt him at 1.52 per nine innings.
Two starts this year for Darvish six innings of shutout baseball and hammered for nine earned runs in 1 2/3rd innings against the Giants. Braves have won two of three in this series.
Padres have lost four of five struggling scoring no greater than two runs in those defeats. Bullpen has struggled for San Diego with an ERA of 4.72 and WHIP 1.49. Play Atlanta +118.
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