La Liga Sevilla vs Villarreal 12/4/2021 Picks Predictions Previews

Two teams that are coming off wins in the mid-week Copa del Rey will now lock horns in the La Liga, when Sevilla will play host to Villarreal on Saturday. Sevilla did not have an easy job though, as they needed the extra time to win. Villarreal were stunning in their match, scoring a whopping 8 goals on their way to a massive victory.

Sevilla (8 wins, 2 losses, 4 draws) are coming into this match after a 120-minute match on the road against Cordoba on Wednesday, for the Copa del Rey.

After a goal-less draw in regular time, the two teams entered extra time where Sevilla scored the only goal. Sevilla have the 6th best xG with 1.55 per game and the 4th best offense with 24 goals.

They have the 4th best xG at home with 1.86 per game and the BEST home offense with 17 goals (in 6 matches, while all other teams have played 7 and 8 home matches).

Last but not least, Sevilla have the 2nd best xGA with 1.09 per game and the BEST defense with 11 conceded. They have the 6th best xGA at home with 1.08 per game and the 5th best home defense with 6 conceded.

Sevilla are still missing En Nesyri who is leading the team in xG per 90 minutes, but Rafa Mir has been doing a really good job with 4 goals and 1 assist since En Nesyri went down). They are also missing Jesus Navas, who has an insane 4.01 xA (expected assists).

To put that into perspective, Marcos Acuna is 2nd in xA for Sevilla with 1.83. Sevilla have kept 3 clean sheets at home (Osasuna, Espanyol, Rayo) but conceded 2 against Alaves, 3 against Levante and 1 against Valencia (and 2 against Lille and 1 against Salzburg).

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La Liga Sevilla vs Villarreal Predictions 12/4/2021

Villarreal (3 wins, 4 losses, 7 draws) have the 7th best xG with 1.43 per game and the 8th best offense with 16 goals. They have the 9th worst xG on the road with 1.19 per game and the 2nd worst away offense with 4 goals.

Moreover, Villarreal have the 6th best xGA with 1.24 per game and the 4th best defense with 16 conceded. Villarreal 9th worst xGA on the road with 1.51 per game and the 3rd best away defense with 7 conceded.

They get a huge boost now that Gerard Moreno is back (he was used for 30 minutes in Villarreal’s mid-week match where they won by 8-0, also scoring a goal).

Last season he led the team in scoring (23 league goals while the 2nd best scorer was Alcacer with 6). He also SMASHED the xG numbers with 19.53, while the Alcacer had 8.92. He was also the first in xA (expected Assists) with 7.81, while Parejo was 2nd with 5.41.

Clearly a talismanic player for Villarreal, who has missed a TON of games this season (he only played 5 of a possible 14 league matches, or 380 of a possible 1260 minutes).

Sevilla vs Villarreal. Sevilla are missing some key players but they have done a solid job in replacing them in recent weeks. However, it’s always a big blow to lose two of your most influential players. Villarreal had numerous injuries throughout the season but they get their best player back in this match. Taking Both Teams to Score here.

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