Free MLB Picks For Today 8/12/2022
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 8/12/2022
Braves at Marlins—Jake Odorizzi will start for Atlanta. Ororizzi in thirteen starts an ERA 3.76 with WHIP 1.21. The righthander a strikeout rate of 18.7% with 7.5% walks. Ground ball served at 30.95 with 0.70 home runs per nine innings.
Pablo Lopez the starter for Miami. Lopez has started 22 games posting an ERA 3.57 with WHIP 1.16. The righty strikes out 24.7% with 7.3% walks. Grounders sit at 46.1% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings.
Braves win both games at Boston and have won three of seven on this trip. Marlins salvaged the finale of their three game trip at Philadelphia with the 3-0 win.
Past ten games Marlins batting .210 against righthanders. Miami has lost 32 of 48 against winning teams. Play Atlanta -165.
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 8/12/2022
Padres at Nationals—Mike Clevinger to start for San Diego. Clevinger in thirteen appearances an ERA 3.60 with WHIP 1.12. The righthander a strikeout mark of 22.9% with 6.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 36% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings.
Cory Abbott expected to start for Washington. Abbott has appeared in five games carrying an ERA 5.68 with WHIP 1.50. The righty worked 28 1/3rd Triple A innings compiling an ERA 5.08 with WHIP 1.67. His short MLB sample reveals 18.6% strikeouts with 13.6% walks. Ground balls served at 27% with 3.55 home runs per nine innings.
Padres win two of three at home to San Francisco. Nationals have lost eight of ten with seven of those losses by two runs or greater. Past ten games Padres batting .304 against righthanders with Nationals bullpen ERA 5.62.
Padres have covered the run line in 21 of 25 when facing an NL team on the road batting .250 or worse. Nationals have failed to cover the run line in 27 of 39 playing their first home game after a road trip of six or greater games. Play San Diego on run line -1.5 runs at -140.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 8/12/2022
Guardians at Blue Jays—Cal Quantrill the starter for Cleveland. Quantrill in 21 starts posts an ERA 3.88 and WHIP 1.28. The righthander pitches to contact with 15.3% strikeouts and 6.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.8% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.57 suggests an increase in ERA if these numbers hold.
Jose Berrios to the mound for Toronto. Berrios has logged 22 starts with an ERA 5.19 with WHIP 1.35. The righty deals 21.1% strikeouts with 5.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.3% with 1.83 home runs per nine innings. Guardians have won five straight after sweeping the Tigers in three game series on the road.
Blue Jays return home after losing all two in Baltimore dropping five of eight on the trip. Team record behind Berrios 11-0 at home. Blue Jays over in 51 of 85 against righthanders. Quantrill on the road an ERA 4.96. Play Cleveland and Toronto over nine.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 8/12/2022
Phillies at Mets—Ranger Suarez to start for Philadelphia. Suarez in nineteen starts produces an ERA 3.68 and WHIP 1.37. The lefthander strikes out 19.8% with 8.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 55.6% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings.
Max Scherzer to start for Philadelphia. Scherzer in fifteen starts has an ERA of 1.98 with WHIP 0.90. The veteran an elite strikeout mark of 32.3% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 28.1% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings.
Phillies had their seven game win streak snapped in a 3-0 loss to the Marlins. Mets have won eight of nine after sweeping the Reds in a three game home series. Team record behind Suarez 8-1 on the road. Past ten games Mets bullpen an ERA 5.17. Play Philadelphia +172.
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/12/2022
Tigers at White Sox—Daniel Norris to start for Detroit. Norris in 27 appearances posts an ERA of 6.90 and WHIP 1.47. The lefthander strikes out 32.1% with 15.7% walks. Ground ball rate is 42.6% with 2.10 home runs per nine innings.
Michael Kopech will start for Chicago. Kopech has 20 starts with an ERA 3.38 with WHIP 1.23. The righthander is striking out 20.8% with 11.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 34.4% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.63 indicates a possible rise in ERA if these numbers hold.
Tigers have lost seven of eight after getting swept at home to Cleveland in a three game series. White Sox drop three of four at KC struggling to score runs. Past ten games Tigers batting .198.
White Sox bullpen an ERA 2.61 in this period. Tigers under in 20 of 28 when facing a good starting pitching with an ERA of 3.70 or better. Kopech under in 12 of 16 against teams that strike out seven or greater per game. Tigers under in 15 of 18 as a road underdog of +150 to +200. Play Detroit and Chicago under 8.5.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/12/2022
Yankees at Red Sox—Domingo German to start for NYY. German in four starts has an ERA 5.09 with WHIP 1.53. The righthander pitches to contact with 16% strikeouts and 7.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.1% with 2.04 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.78 suggests an increase in ERA with these numbers.
Nathan Eovaldi to start for Boston. Eovaldi has seventeen starts posting an ERA 4.23 with WHIP 1.23. The righty is striking out 23.4% with 4% walks. Ground balls come in at 47.7% with 1.92 home runs per nine innings. Yankees have lost seven of eight.
Red Sox had lost six of seven until their 4-3 home win to the Orioles. Both starters home run a concern. Boston bullpen past ten games an ERA 6.27. Red Sox over in all seven this season against teams averaging 4.9 runs or greater this season.
They are over in all ten against teams that average at least 1.5 home run per game. Yankees over in 16 of 20 against teams batting at least .265 or lower. Play NY Yankees and Boston Red Sox over 9.5.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 8/12/2022
Orioles at Rays—Austin Voth the starter for Baltimore. Voth in 31 appearances an ERA 5.53 and WHIP 1.57. The righthander a strikeout mark of 21.6% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls served at 37.1% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings.
Corey Kluber to start for Tampa Bay. Kluber has posted 21 starts with an ERA of 4.05 with WHIP 1.15. The righty is striking out 21.5% with 3.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 35.9% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings. Orioles had won seven of eight until their 4-3 defeat to Boston.
Rays return home losing two straight in Milwaukee. Past ten games Rays batting .217 against righthanders and Orioles .276. Both has put up good numbers with the Orioles this season. Kluber has been hit over his past three games.
Orioles have won 23 of 34 overall and 15 of 20 against teams with an on base percentage of .330 or worse. Play Baltimore +130.
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Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 8/12/2022
Mariners at Rangers—George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby in fifteen starts an ERA 3.40 with WHIP 1.17. The righty is striking out 24.3% with 3.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.1% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings.
Dallas Keuchel will start for Texas. Keuchel in twelve starts with two teams carries an ERA 8.53 and WHIP 2.03. The lefthander pitches to contact with 15% strikeouts with 10.7% walks. Grounders sit at 50% with 1.78 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.92 does suggest some drop in ERA with these numbers.
Mariners hit the road after winning two of three at home to the Yankees. Rangers lost two of three in Houston. Past ten games Mariners bullpen an ERA 1.89. Seattle has won 24 of 35. Play Seattle.
LA Dodgers vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 8/12/2022
Dodgers at Royals—Tony Gonsolin to start for LAD. Gonsolin has started 20 games with an ERA 2.30 and WHIP 0.89. The righthander is striking out 24.2% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls served at 43.7% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.46 indicates a possible rise in ERA if these numbers hold.
Daniel Lynch to start for KC. Lynch has seventeen starts with an ERA 4.79 with WHIP 1.52. The lefthander strikes out 22.9% with 8.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.8% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. LAD hits the road winning ten straight all by two runs or greater.
Royals have won six of eight on this home stand. Past ten games LAD batting .300 hitting both lefthanders and righthanders with a bullpen ERA 1.42.
LAD has covered the run line in 13 of 17 against AL teams batting .255 or worse. KC 2-10 to the run line at home against teams that outscore opponents by 0.5 runs or greater. Play LAD on run line -1.5 runs at -150.
Oakland Athletics vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 8/12/2022
Athletics at Astros—Adam Oller to start for Oakland. Oller in thirteen appearances an ERA 7.63 and WHIP 1.79. The righthander pitches to high contact with 13.9% strikeouts with 11.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 30.3% with 2.47 home runs per nine innings.
Luis Garcia the starter for Houston. Garcia has twenty starts posts an ERA 3.93 with WHIP 1.10. The righthander records 25.5% strikeouts with 7.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.3% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings.
Athletics lose all five on their home stand after getting swept by the Angels in a three game series. Astros win two of three at home to Texas. Past ten games Oakland batting .210.
Houston bullpen at home an ERA 2.01. Garcia under in 16 of 22 at night. Astros under in 41 of 62 in the total range of 8 to 8.5. Oakland bullpen past ten games an ERA of 3.86 with Houston hitting .220 against righthanders. Play Oakland and Houston under 8.5.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 8/12/2022
Brewers at Cardinals—Eric Lauer the starter for Milwaukee. Lauer has twenty starts with an ERA 3.59 and WHIP 1.22. The lefty a strikeout mark of 23.7% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls register at 32.6% with 1.60 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.57 indicates a possible rise in ERA with these numbers.
Jordan Montgomery to start for St Louis. Montgomery in 22 starts carries an ERA 3.53 with WHIP 1.08. The traded player strikes out 20.2% with 4.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 47.6% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Brewers win all two at home to the Rays.
Cardinals drop two of three in Colorado. They won all six in their previous home stand. Past ten games St Louis batting .282 against lefthanders. Brewers have failed to cover 12 of 14 to the run line against teams that bat at least .255 or lower. Play St Louis on run line -1.5 runs at +126.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 8/12/2022
Diamondbacks at Rockies—Zach Davies the starter for Arizona. Davies in seventeen starts carries an ERA 4.03 and WHIP 1.22. The righthander is striking out 18.2% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls served at 42.4% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
Antonio Senzatela will start for Colorado. Senzatela has seventeen starts with an ERA 4.68 with WHIP 1.68. The righty pitches to high contact with 13.3% strikeouts and 5.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 48.5% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
Arizona hits the road winning five of seven on their home stand. Rockies win two of three at home to the Cardinals. Diamondbacks have lost 60 of 79 on the road against teams that average 4.5 runs per game. Team record behind Senzatela 20-9 at home when lined between +125 and -125. Play Colorado -125.
Minnesota Twins vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 8/12/2022
Twins at Angels—Tyler Mahle to start for Minnesota. Mahle has twenty starts with an ERA 4.49 and WHIP 1.23. The righthander strikes out 25.8% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.6% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings.
Patrick Sandoval will start for LAA. Sandoval in eighteen starts has an ERA 3.41 with WHIP 1.47. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 24.1% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls at 46.3% with minimal home run damage. Twins open this trip losing all two at the Dodgers.
Angels return home winning five of seven at Oakland and Seattle. Team record behind Mahle 16-8 when facing a team that strikes out 7 or greater per game. His teams are 17-8 in his past 25 road starts.
LAA has lost 27 of 37 against winning teams. They have been poor in their first home game after long road trips losing 14 of 19 after seven or more road games. Play Minnesota -125.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 8/12/2022
Pirates at Giants—Bryse Wilson to start for Pittsburgh. Wilson in fifteen appearances posts an ERA 5.86 and WHIP 1.52. The righthander a strikeout mark of 15.8% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls served at 42.3% with 1.64 home runs per nine innings.
Carlos Rodon will start for San Francisco. Rodon an ERA 2.95 and WHIP 1.07 in twenty two starts. The lefthander an elite strikeout rate of 31.2% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 37.4% with limited home run damage. Pirates have lost five of seven on this road trip.
Giants win three of five on their trip despite losing their final two in San Diego. Pirates have failed to cover the run line in 17 of 25 against starting pitchers who allow 0.5 home runs per nine innings or lower the past two seasons.
Month of August team record behind Rodon 22-2 against the run line. Play San Francisco on run line -1.5 runs at -115.
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