Free MLB Picks For Today 6/11/2022
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 6/11/2022
Rays at Twins—Shane Baz to start for the Rays. Baz makes his 2022 debut after being on the injured list with elbow surgery. He had four rehab starters in Triple A and allowed two earned runs in 13 innings striking out 20. Most likely on a pitch count here.
Chi Chi Gonzalez to start for Minnesota. Gonzalez has one start allowing three earned runs with two homers in three innings. He has worked 36 2/3rd innings in Triple A this year posting an ERA of 3.44 and WHIP 1.27. He has a career ERA of 5.69 in MLB.
Twins took the opener of this series 9-4. Chi Chi Gonzalez to difficult to back along with the Minnesota bullpen. Play Tampa Bay.
Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 6/11/2022
Rangers at White Sox—Martin Perez to start for the Rangers. Perez in eleven starts has an ERA of 1.56 with WHIP 0.98. Strikeout rate of 20.7% with 5.9 walk rate. He deals 54.7% ground balls with minimal home run damage.
Lucas Giolito to start for the White Sox. Giolito in nine starts has an ERA of 3.54 with WHIP 1.41. An elite strikeout rate of 30.4% with 9.3% walks. The righthander serves 34.4% walks with 1.86 home runs per nine innings.
Rangers have lost seven of nine with their 8-3 defeat in the opener. White Sox have been hitting lefthanders. Play Chicago -144.
Cincinnati Reds vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 6/11/2022
Reds at Cardinals—Hunter Greene to start for the Reds. Greene in eleven starts carries an ERA of 5.40 with WHIP 1.35. Road has been poor with an ERA of 6.03 with 2.9 home runs per nine innings. He has a strikeout rate of 29.9% with 10% walks. Ground balls very low at 27.3%.
Adam Wainwright to start for St Louis. Wainwright in ten starts posts an ERA of 3.15 with WHIP 1.05. Home numbers have been better with an ERA of 2.40 and WHIP 1.10. Strikeouts sit at 17.8% with 8.2% walks. He deals 47.7% ground balls with limited home run damage.
Cardinals win the opener of this series 2-0. Reds have lost six of eight and 21 of 29 on the road. Play St Louis on run line -1.5 runs +125.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 6/11/2022
Diamondbacks at Phillies—Madison Bumgarner to start for Arizona. Bumgarner in twelve starts carries an ERA of 3.64 with WHIP 1.26. He pitches to high contact with a 16.3% strikeout rate. Walks are at 8% with 39.6% ground balls. The lefty allows 1.52 home runs per nine innings.
Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler in ten starts has an ERA of 3.14 with WHIP 1.17. The veteran has much better numbers at home with an ERA of 1.73 and WHIP 0.94. Strikeouts are at 28.3% with 6.3% walk rate. Ground balls come in at 44.7% with minimal home run damage.
Phillies win streak now eight straight with their 7-5 victory. Bumgarner high contact a concern here as well as both bullpens as the Phillies pen almost game the opener away. Play Arizona and Philadelphia over 8.5.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 6/11/2022
Brewers at Nationals—Eric Lauer to start for Milwaukee. Lauer in ten starts has an ERA of 2.38 with WHIP 1.11. The lefty a strikeout rate of 27.7% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 33.6% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. But his ERA of nearly 2.50 higher on the road with higher walks and 1.8 home runs per nine innings.
Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin in twelve starts has an ERA of 6.71 with WHIP 1.76. The lefthander has a strikeout rate of 18.5% with 8.4% walks. He deals 48.8% ground balls with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
Brewers have lost eight straight with their 11-5 defeat in the opener. Past ten games Milwaukee batting .192 with a bullpen ERA of 5.73. Can’t back Milwaukee. Play Washington +145.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 6/11/2022
Rockies at Padres—Ryan Feltner to start for Colorado in Game 1. Feltner in four starts carries an ERA of 5.85 with WHIP 1.35. Strikeout rate of 26.1% with 6.8% walks. He deals 47.4% ground balls with 1.35 home runs per nine innings.
Mike Clevinger goes for San Diego. Clevinger in four starts posts an ERA of 3.18 with WHIP 1.12. He serves up a 28.2% strikeout rate with 9.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.5% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings.
Padres have won six of seven taking the opener of this series 9-0. Rockies bullpen has struggled on the season. Play San Diego on run line -1.5 runs at -110.
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 6/11/2022
Marlins at Astros—Braxton Garrett to start for Miami. Garrett has one start and allowed four earned runs in 3 1/3rd innings striking out five with a homer. He worked 26 innings in Triple A and posted an ERA of 3.12 with WHIP 1.00 striking out 21 in 29 innings.
Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez in eleven starts carries an ERA of 2.61 with WHIP 1.13. The lefty sports a 19.6% strikeout rate with 8.9% walks. He dishes 65.5% ground balls with minimal home run damage.
Marlins have won four straight after their 7-4 win in the opener. Astros have struggled hitting lefthanders. Play Miami +225.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 6/11/2022
Pirates at Braves—Zach Thompson to start for Pittsburgh. Thompson in eleven appearances has an ERA of 4.60 with WHIP 1.42. The righthander strikes out 17.5% with 8.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.2% with 1.40 home runs per nine innings. Road performance poor with ERA of 6.11 and WHIP 1.70.
Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton in eleven starts carries an ERA of 5.63 with WHIP 1.53. Numbers a bit better at home especially home run rate per nine innings. The veteran strikeouts out 22% with 10.2% walks. Ground balls down at 35.2% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
Pirates have lost four straight after dropping the first two in this series. Their line up is struggling to score runs. Morton’s ERA nearly three runs lower at home as is his home runs rate. Play Atlanta on run line -.15 runs at -110.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 6/11/2022
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 6/11/2022
Blue Jays at Tigers—Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman eleven starts has an ERA of 2.78 with WHIP 1.16. The righthander strikes out 27.5% with 2.6 walks per nine innings. Ground balls come in at 44.6% with minimal home run damage.
Beau Briske to start for Detroit. Briske in eight starts carries an ERA of 4.93 with WHIP 1.29. He deals 16.3% strikeouts with 8.4% walk rate. Ground balls come in at 38.1% with 2.57 home runs per nine innings.
Blue Jays pound the Tigers in the opener 10-1. Tigers continue their struggles at the plate and bat only .208 against righthanders. Play Toronto on run line -.15 runs at -135.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 6/11/2022
Orioles at Royals—Tyler Wells to start for Baltimore. Wells in eleven starts carries an ERA of 3.78 with WHIP 1.07. The righthander pitches to high contact with 15.3% strikeouts and 4.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 36.2% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings.
Daniel Lynch to start for KC. Lynch in ten starts has an ERA of 5.36 with WHIP 1.54. Strikeouts are at 19.3% with 9.9% walk rate. He deals 36.6% ground balls with 1.48 home runs per nine innings.
KC has taken the first two of this series after their 8-1 win. Past ten games Orioles hitting .300 against lefty’s. Play Baltimore and Kansas City over 9.5.
Oakland Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 6/11/2022
Athletics at Guardians—Frankie Montas to start for Oakland. Montas in twelve starts carries an ERA of 3.06 with WHIP of 1.00. He is pitching to a 27.9% strikeout rate with 5.7% walks. The righthander deals 47% ground balls with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. Road ERA if over two runs higher.
Zach Plesac to start for Cleveland. Plesac in ten starts posts an ERA of 4.72 with WHIP 1.28. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 17.2% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.5% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings.
Ten straight losses for Oakland as they drop the opener of this series. Plesac ERA nearly 3.5 runs lower at home. Athletics batting only .204 against righthanders and their bullpen is struggling. Play Cleveland -118.
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 6/11/2022
Cubs at Yankees—Matt Swarmer to start for Chicago. Swarmer in two starts allowed two earned runs in 12 innings of work striking out 11. He tossed 39 innings in Triple A and had an ERA of 2.08 with WHIP 0.95. In his short sample of 12 MLB innings the righthander a 23.9% strikeout rate with 6.5% walks. He dishes 40.6% ground balls with 2.25 home runs per nine innings.
Jordan Montgomery to start for New York. Montgomery in eleven starts carries an ERA of 3.02 with WHIP 1.01. The lefty sports a strikeout rate of 19.4% with 4.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 47.1% with limited home run damage.
Cubs have lost four straight dropping a 2-1 decision in the opener. Yankees have won nine of ten. New York bullpen has been outstanding. Play New York and Chicago under nine.
LA Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 6/11/2022
Dodgers at Giants—Clayton Kershaw to start for LAD. Kershaw in five starts carries an ERA of 1.80 with WHIP 0.73. The veteran a strikeout rate of 29.4% with 2.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 49.3% with limited home run damage. He had been sidelined with a pelvis.
Jarlin Garcia to pitch for the Giants. Garcia in 19 appearances carries an ERA of 2.33 with WHIP 0.93. Strikeout rate of 18.7% with 9.3% walks. He deals 38.9% ground balls with 1.40 home runs per nine innings. This is likely a bullpen game for San Francisco.
Giants win the opener of this series 7-2. San Francisco bullpen at home this year an ERA of 5.21. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs.
New York Mets vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 6/11/2022
Mets at Angels—Carlos Carrasco to start for the Mets. Carrasco in eleven starts posts an ERA of 3.52 with WHIP 1.16. The righthander strikes out 23.1% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls are served at 47% with minimal home run damage.
Michael Lorenzen to throw for LAA. Lorenzen in nine starts has an ERA of 3.69 with WHIP 1.14. Strikeout rate of 18.6% with 9.3% walks. The righthander delivers 52.6% ground balls with limited home runs damage.
Mets have won four of their past six on this trip with their 7-3 win in the opener. Angels have lost 15 of 16 with bullpen and hitting struggles. Play New York Mets -132.
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 6/11/2022
Red Sox at Mariners—Michael Wacha to start for Boston. Wacha in nine starts carries an ERA of 1.99 with WHIP 0.91. The righthander has a 17.4% strikeout rate with 7.9% walks. He deals 41.5% ground balls with limited home run damage.
George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby in six starts has an ERA of 3.38 with WHIP 1.09. The righty strikes out 23.7% with 2.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.1% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings.
Boston has won eight of nine with their 4-3 win in the opener. Their bullpen has been outstanding past ten games with an ERA of 2.55 with the Mariners pen at 4.34. Play Boston +104.
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