Free MLB Picks For Today 5/17/2022
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2022
White Sox at Royals—Dylan Cease to start for Chicago. Cease in seven starts carries an ERA of 3.55 with WHIP 1.11. The righthander has a 36.9% strikeout rate with 9.6% walks. He limits home run damage and sits with a 43.9% ground ball rate.
Brady Singer to start for KC. Singer in three appearances has allowed four earned runs in 5 2/3rd innings. He has three starts in the minor leagues on the campaign allowing five earned runs with three homers over 13 2/3rd innings.
With this short sample this season Singer has a 23.1% strikeout rate and limits walks. White Sox take the opener of this series 5-3. Royals have dropped six of nine. Both lineups struggle to hit righthanders. Play Chicago and KC under 7.5.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2022
Diamondbacks at Dodgers—We look at Game 1. Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly in seven starts has an ERA of 1.71 and WHIP 1.12. The righthander sits with a strikeout rate of 22.4% with good control. He is getting 44.5% ground balls and allows 0.21 home runs per nine innings.
Ryan Pepiot the starter for the Dodgers. Pepiot worked three innings this season allowing no runs and a hit striking out three. Five walks are a concern. Dodgers win the opener 5-4. Diamondbacks bullpen ERA is 4.89. Dodgers bullpen has struggled on this home stand. Play Arizona on run line +1.5 runs.
St Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2022
Cardinals at Mets—The opener of this series rains out, so they play two on Tuesday. We pick from Game 1. Johan Oviedo to start for St Louis. Oviedo makes his 2022 debut after eight starts in the minors where he gave up 24 earned runs with 12 homers in 39 2/3rd innings. He has a career ERA of 5.07 with WHIP of 1.52 in 19 appearances.
Trevor Williams starts for New York. Williams has worked five games this year allowing seven earned runs in 11 innings. In this short sample the righthander pitches to high contact with good control. Line drive rate is at 26.3%. Mets dropped two of three at home to Seattle.
Cardinals split a four game series at home to San Francisco after their 15-6 win on Sunday. Can’t back Oviedo. Mets hit righthanders. Play New York Mets -120.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2022
Reds at Guardians—Connor Overton expected to start for the Reds. Overton in three starts allowed three earned runs in 17 innings of work. He pitched 19 innings in Triple A to start the season and posted an ERA of 2.84 with WHIP 0.95.
In his time this season with the Reds the righthander has a 12.9% strikeout rate with 9.7% walks. He is getting 43.8% ground balls and has not allowed a homer. Zach Plesac to throw for the Guardians. Plesac in six starts posts an ERA of 4.68 and WHIP 1.35.
The righty pitches to high contact and has a 7% walk rate. He has been hurt in his career by the home run and 2022 is no difference with 1.38 per nine innings. Reds split a four game series with the Pirates over the weekend. Guardians have dropped three of four struggling for runs in those losses. Play Cincinnati +143.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2022
Nationals at Marlins—Joan Adon to start for Washington. Adon in seven starts carries an ERA of 7.03 with WHIP 1.72. The righthander has a 19.2% strikeout rate but 15.2% walks. He does allow 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
Cody Poteet to start for Miami. Poteet in eight appearances posts an ERA of 0.55 and WHIP 0.98 in 16 1/3rd innings. Poteet a strikeout rate of 22.2% but walks 11.1%. Ground balls sit at 52.4% and has not allowed a home run.
Nationals have dropped six of eight losing the opener of this series 8-2. Adon tough to back and the bullpen for Washington has an ERA over four. Play Miami -160.
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2022
Tigers at Rays—Beau Brieske to start for Detroit. Brieske has four starts allowing nine earned runs in 21 innings. He worked ten innings in Triple A and allowed five earned runs with two homers. With Detroit he pitches to high contact with 11.5% walk rate. He is allowing 2.14 home runs per nine innings.
Shane McClanahan the starter for the Rays. McClanahan in seven starts posts an ERA of 2.52 and WHIP 0.92. The lefthander posts a strikeout rate of 38.2% with 61.4% ground balls. He strands 83.3% of his baserunners.
Tigers have won four straight with their 3-2 win in the opener. Both bullpens in great form. Play Detroit and Tampa Bay under seven.
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2022
Padres at Phillies—Mike Clevinger to start for San Diego. Clevinger in two starts allowed five earned runs in nine innings. He worked 8 2/3rd innings in the minors for rehab allowing two earned runs with ten strikeouts.
With the Padres with this short sample a strikeout rate of 23.8% with 11.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 48.1% with velocity down. Zach Eflin to start for Philadelphia. Eflin in five starts carries an ERA of 4.50 with WHIP 1.29. He returns from COVID since May 8th.
Strikeouts are down to 17.6% with good control. He is getting 44.9% ground balls and limits home runs. Padres won two of three in Atlanta behind strong offense. Phillies return home winning five of seven out west. Philadelphia bullpen has struggled. Play San Diego.
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2022
Mariners at Blue Jays—Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert in seven starts carries an ERA of 2.13 and WHIP 1.11. He posts a strikeout rate of 27.5% but walks 9.2%. He limits home runs but has a line drive rate of 25.3%.
Jose Berrios to start for Toronto. Berrios in seven starts posts an ERA of 5.82 with WHIP 1.56. Strikeout rate has plummeted to 15.3% with 7% walk rate. He is giving up 1.59 home runs per nine innings. Toronto wins the opener of this series 6-2. Blue Jays bullpen an ERA of 4.03. Play Seattle +118.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 5/17/2022
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2022
Yankees at Orioles—Jameison Taillon to start for New York. Taillon in six starts has an ERA of 2.93 and WHIP 1.17. The righthander has seen his strikeout rate drop to 19.4% but control has improved with a walk rate of 2.3%. He is allowing 46.9% ground balls and limits home run damage.
Spenser Watkins to start for the Orioles. Watkins in six starts has an ERA of 5.19 and WHIP 1.58. The righty pitches to very high contact with 11% strikeouts and 10.2% walk rate. He is allowing 1.38 home runs per nine innings with last year at 2.30 per nine.
Yankees have won seven of eight with their 6-2 win on Monday. It is a four game losing streak for Baltimore scoring a total of five runs. Yankees bullpen putting up elite numbers. Play NY Yankees run line -1.5 runs at -128.
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2022
Astros at Red Sox—Jose Urquidy the starter for Houston. Urquidy in six starts has an ERA of 4.40 with WHIP 1.33. The righthander pitching to high contact with 15.7% strikeout rate with good control. Home run rate sits at 1.26 per nine innings.
Nathan Eovaldi the starter for the Red Sox. Eovaldi in seven starts posts an ERA of 3.15 with WHIP 1.08. Strikeouts are at 25.8% with good control. He is giving up 43.8% ground balls but 2.03 home runs per nine innings. Red Sox have won three of four with their 6-3 win on Monday. Their bats are getting hot. Play Boston -110.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2022
Pirates at Cubs—JT Brubaker to start for Pittsburgh. Brubaker in seven starts has an ERA of 5.34 with WHIP 1.38. He posts a 24.3% strikeout rate but walking 11.8%. He does allow 1.19 home runs per nine innings. Keegan Thompson to start for Chicago. Thompson in eight appearances posts an ERA of 1.67 with WHIP 1.07.
The righthander a strikeout rate of 20.8% and walks 9.4%. He is giving up 56.5% ground balls and limits home runs. Cubs have won four of five with their 9-0 win in the opener. Pirates have scored two runs or fewer in four of five. Their bullpen an ERA of 4.28. Play Chicago -140.
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2022
Braves at Brewers—Tucker Davidson to start for Atlanta. Davidson in one appearance allowed five earned runs in 2 2/3rd innings. He has worked five starts in Triple A posting an ERA of 4.44 and WHIP 1.11 striking out 34 in 26 1/3rd innings.
Adrian Houser to start for the Brewers. Houser in six starts has an ERA of 3.86 and WHIP 1.42. He has an 18.7% strikeout rate with 11.2 % walks. Ground ball rate 45.7% with home runs allowed minimal. Brewers win the opener 1-0 on Monday. Braves have dropped three of four. Play Milwaukee -112.
LA Angels vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2022
Angels at Rangers—Reid Detmers to start for LAA. Detmers in six starts has an ERA of 3.77 with WHIP of 0.84. He comes off a nine inning no hitter thrown against the Rays. Strikeout rate is at 16.8% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls are at 42.7% and limits homers.
Taylor Hearn the starter for the Rangers. Hearn in six starts has an ERA of 5.26 with WHIP 1.64. Strikeouts are at 24.6% with 11% walks. Home runs damage limited and 40.3% ground balls.
A concern is a 29.2% line drive rate and a drop in velocity. Rangers win the opener 7-4. Detmers had one bad outing and Angels bullpen has improved. Play LA Angels -130.
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2022
Giants at Rockies—Alex Cobb the starter for San Francisco. Cobb in five starts has an ERA of 3.98 with WHIP 1.38. The veteran a strikeout rate of 31.5% with 9% walks. Ground balls sit at 69.2% with minimal home run damage.
Chad Kuhl to start for Colorado. Kuhl in six starts has an ERA of 2.88 with WHIP 1.02. He strikeouts 22.1% with 8.8% walk rate. Ground balls sits at 44.7% and limits home runs.
Giants have won seven of nine with their 7-6 win in the opener. Rockies have lost seven of eight with their pitching staff getting pounded. Colorado bullpen an ERA of 5.40. Play San Francisco -160.
Minnesota Twins vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 5/17/2022
Twins at Athletics—Dylan Bundy to start for the Twins. Bundy in five starts has an ERA of 5.76 and WHIP 1.32. The veteran has a strikeout rate of 20.6% with walk rate good at 4.7%. Ground ball rate sits at 46.3% but home runs are at 1.48 per nine innings. His FIP is 4.01 which signals a drop in ERA if these numbers remain the same.
James Kaprielian to start for Oakland. Kaprielian in three starts has allowed seven earned runs in 12 2/3rd innings striking out ten but walking nine.
Twins win the opener 3-1. Athletics have scored one run in each of their past three games. Twins offense held to three runs or fewer in eight of ten. Both bullpens have performed well. Play Oakland and Minnesota under seven.
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