Free MLB Picks For Today 8/11/2023
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/11/2023
Guardians at Rays—Xzavion Curry to start for Cleveland. Curry appeared in 29 games produces an ERA of 2.95 with WHIP of 1.16. The righthander is striking out 17.2% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls served at 30.8% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.12 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Aaron Civale to start for Tampa Bay. Civale has fourteen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 2.55 and WHIP of 1.09. The fifth year righty has a K rate of 18.9% with 6.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 39% with limited home run damage. Guardians 13-4 to the under facing an AL starter with a WHIP of 1.20 or better. Past seven games Guardians hitting .202. They are under in seven of eight. Curry has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. Civale has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five. Play Cleveland and Tampa Bay under 8.5.
New York Yankees vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/11/2023
Yankees at Marlins—Randy Vasquez to start for New York. Vasquez in three starts has an ERA of 1.17 with WHIP of 1.04. The rookie righthander fans 15.4% with 10.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.6% with limited home run damage. Jesus Luzardo to start for Miami. Luzardo in 23 starts has an ERA of 3.52 plus WHIP of 1.20. The fifth year lefty is striking out 28.9% with 6.9% walks. Grounders sit at 42.1% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings. Past seven games Miami hitting .216. Past two starts Luzardo allowed eight earned runs with three homers in ten innings. Marlins 8-27 facing the AL East. Play New York. +120.
Oakland Athletics vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/11/2023
Athletics at Nationals—Paul Blackburn to start for Oakland. Blackburn in 12 appearances has an ERA of 4.35 and WHIP of 1.50. The veteran righthander has a K rate of 23.3% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.2% with limited home run damage.
Joan Adon will start for Washington. Adon in three appearances in 2023 delivers an ERA of 4.91 with WHIP of 0.73. The righty dishes 26.8% strikeouts with 4.9% walks. Grounders served at 50% with 2.45 home runs per nine innings.
Blackburn past three starts allowed three earned runs in 18 1/3rd innings. Past ten games Nationals bullpen an ERA of 6.00. Play Oakland -110.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/11/2023
Reds at Pirates—Andrew Abbott to start for Cincinnati. Abbott has twelve starts on the campaign with an ERA of 2.93 and WHIP of 1.15. The rookie lefthander fans 25.9% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 25.7% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.97 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
Johan Oviedo to start for Pittsburgh. Oviedo in 23 starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 4.18 plus WHIP of 1.30. The fourth year righthander has a strikeout mark of 20.6% with 9.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.2% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings.
Reds past seven games hitting .208. Pirates hitting .216 against the division. Oviedo has allowed one earned run or fewer n four of five. Head to head under in eight of nine. Play Cincinnati and Pittsburgh under 9.
Minnesota Twins vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/11/2023
Twins at Phillies—Dallas Keuchel to start for Minnesota. Keuchel in his first start in 2023 allowed one earned run with no strikeouts and eight hits in five innings at home to the Braves. Two walks so he averaged two baserunners per inning.
The lefthander last year posted an ERA of 9.20 and WHIP of 2.06 in his 60 2/3rd innings with three MLB clubs. Cristopher Sanchez to start for Philadelphia. Sanchez has ten starts on the season posting an ERA of 5.47 with WHIP of 0.96.
The lefty fans 23.3% with 4.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 56.9% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings. Keuchel’s contact and WHIP a massive concern. Twins 33-68 as an underdog of +100 or greater. Minnesota hitting .219 against lefthanders. Phillies bullpen at home an ERA of 2.94. Play Philadelphia -160.
Chicago Cubs vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/11/2023
Cubs at Blue Jays—Javier Assad to start for Chicago. Assad appeared in 20 games this year posts an ERA of 3.35 with WHIP of 1.34. The righthander fans 19.4% with 11.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 47% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.51 does suggest a rise in ERA if form holds.
Jose Berrios to start for Toronto. Berrios has 23 starts carrying an ERA of 3.38 plus WHIP of 1.19. The veteran deals 23% K’s with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.3% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings. Berrios allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five.
Team record behind Berrios 36-16 facing teams that average seven or more strikeouts per game with a +17.2 unit return. Blue Jays 22-10 against the National League this year. Play Toronto -150.
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/11/2023
Tigers at Red Sox—Tarik Skubal to start for Detroit. Skubal in six starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 3.67 with WHIP of 1.04. The lefthander has an elite strikeout rate of 31.1% with 3.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 52.2% with no homers allowed Chris Sale to start for Boston.
Sale has eleven starts posting an ERA of 4.58 plus WHIP of 1.19. The veteran is striking out 28.5% with 6% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.1% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings. Red Sox have won eight straight against Detroit with seven wins by two or greater runs.
Boston 15-8 to the run line at home against an AL team hitting .255 or worse. Skubal in his two road games allowed eleven earned runs in 8 2/3rd innings. Play Boston on run line -1.5 runs at +120.
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Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/11/2023
Braves at Mets—Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton in 22 starts in 2023 delivers an ERA of 3.86 with WHIP of 1.44. The sixteen year veteran fans 24.3% with 10.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.2% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
Tylor Megill will start for New York. Megill has sixteen starts with an ERA of 5.45 and WHIP of 1.68. The third year righthander a strikeout mark of 17.4% with 11.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.2% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. Braves have played to over in six straight.
Morton has allowed sixteen earned runs in his past four starts working 19 2/3rd innings. Mets have hit Morton this year. Megill past four starts allowed 20 runs in 17 2/3rd innings. Morton 34-19 to the over. Braves 60-42 to the over past two seasons against the division. Play Atlanta and New York over 9.5
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/11/2023
Angels at Astros—Reid Detmers to start for Los Angeles. Detmers has 20 starts on the year produces an ERA of 4.78 and WHIP of 1.35. The lefthander strikes out 28.8% with 9% walks. Ground balls come in at 33.2% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings.
Justin Verlander the starter for Houston. Verlander in seventeen starts has an ERA of 3.11 and WHIP of 1.15. The nineteen year veteran fans 20.5% with 8% walks. Ground ball rate of 36.9% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. Verlander has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts.
Past ten games Astros bullpen an ERA of 1.97. Verlander 24-6 to the under facing an AL team hitting .255 or worse and 25-6 to the under against an AL team with an OBP of .330 or worse. Play Los Angeles and Houston under 8.5.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/11/2023
Cardinals at Royals—Adam Wainwright to start for St Louis. Wainwright in fourteen starts to the season posts an ERA of 7.81 and WHIP of 1.98. The nineteen year veteran strikes out only 12.2% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls served at 37.9% with 1.64 home runs per nine innings.
Angel Zerpa expected to start for KC. Zerpa has three appearances with an ERA of 6.75 and WHIP of 1.31 working 5 1/3rd innings striking out one. The lefthander spent 2023 in two levels of the minors posting an ERA of 4.73 and WHIP of 1.53 in 26 2/3rd innings in Triple A.
Past ten games Royals bullpen an ERA of 5.79. Wainwright past five starts allowed 26 runs in 19 innings. Play St Louis and Kansas City over.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/11/2023
Brewers at White Sox—Corbin Burnes to start for Milwaukee. Burnes in 23 starts in 2023 has an ERA of 3.42 with WHIP of 1.05. The veteran fans 25% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 44% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings.
Michael Kopech to start for Chicago. Kopech has 21 starts posting an ERA of 4.43 and WHIP of 1.43. The fourth year righthander has a strikeout mark of 23.7% with 14.2% walks. Grounders dealt at 35.7% with 2.01 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 6.19 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Kopech 16-5 to the under on five or six days or rest. Chicago struggles to score on righthanded starters. Burnes allowed two runs or fewer in five straight starts. Past ten games White Sox hitting .219. Play Milwaukee and Chicago under 8.5.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/11/2023
Padres at Diamondbacks—Blake Snell to start for San Diego. Snell has 23 starts in 2023 with an ERA of 2.61 and WHIP of 1.30. The veteran lefthander has an elite strikeout rate of 31.3% with 13.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.5% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.66 suggests a rise in ERA if form holds.
Ryne Nelson to start for Arizona. Nelson in 23 starts produces an ERA of 5.16 with WHIP of 1.43. The second year righthander is striking out 15.2% with 6.9% walks. Grounders dealt at 37.1% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings. San Diego has lost five of six.
Diamondbacks have lost eight straight struggling to score runs. Snell 17-7 to the under facing NL teams hitting .255 or worse. Padres batting .227 against righthanded starters. Snell has allowed one run or fewer in four of five starts. Past ten games Diamondbacks hitting .189. Play San Diego and Arizona under 9.
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/11/2023
Rockies at Dodgers—Austin Gomber to start for Los Angeles. Gomber has 23 starts on the year with an ERA of 5.40 and WHIP of 1.44. The lefthander a career low 15.3% K’s with 15.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.9% with 1.65 home runs per nine innings.
Lance Lynn to start for Los Angeles. Lynn in 23 starts has an ERA of 6.11 with WHIP of 1.41. The thirteen year veteran strikes out 26.8% with 8.2% walks. Grounders sit at 37.6% with 2.17 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Gomber 13-8 facing teams that average seven strikeouts per game.
Gomber has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five. Lynn has allowed four homers in his past two starts working thirteen innings. Los Angeles hits .245 against lefthanders. Play Colorado on run line +1.5 runs at +127.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/11/2023
Orioles at Mariners—Kyle Gibson to start for Baltimore. Gibson has 24 starts on the campaign delivering an ERA of 4.50 and WHIP of 1.28. The eleven year righthander fans 19.9% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 49% with 0.77 home runs per nine innings.
Luis Castillo to start for Seattle. Castillo in 23 starts has an ERA of 3.21 and WHIP of 1.05. The veteran fans 27.9% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.1% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings.
Mariners have won nine of ten. Seattle hit Gibson six weeks ago for five earned runs in three innings. Castillo at home a WHIP of 0.97. Play Seattle -143.
Texas Rangers vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/11/2023
Rangers at Giants—Jon Gray to start for Texas. Gray in 20 starts in 2023 has an ERA of 3.72 and WHIP of 1.21. The nine year righthander strikes out 20.3% with 8.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.2% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
Ross Stripling will be primary pitcher for San Francisco. Stripling has 17 appearances posting an ERA of 5.21 with WHIP of 1.28. The veteran deals 19.4% K’s with 3.9% walks. Ground balls delivered at 45.6% with 2.00 home runs per nine innings. Rangers have won eight of nine.
Giants return home losing four of five on the trip. Past ten games Texas bullpen an ERA of 2.15. In this period San Francisco hitting .208. Gray on the road and ERA of 3.14 and WHIP of 1.12. Play Texas -116.
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