Free MLB Picks For Today 8/9/2023
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/9/2023
Marlins at Reds—Johnny Cueto will start for Miami. Cueto in five appearances in 2023 carries an ERA of 5.32 with WHIP of 0.95. The sixteen year veteran fans 21.2% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 28.3% with 2.05 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.54 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold.
Graham Ashcraft to start for Cincinnati. Ashcraft in 21 starts on the year produces an ERA of 4.89 with WHIP of 1.42. The second year righthander strikes out 16.4% with 9.1% walks. Grounders sit at 47.6% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings. After dropping the opener of this series the Marlins have lost seven of eight.
Cueto past four starts allowed eight earned runs with three homers in 12 innings. Ashcraft has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Reds are 30-15 facing teams with a bullpen ERA of 4.20 or higher this season with a +15.4 unit return. Miami past ten games pushing across just 3.4 runs per game. Play Cincinnati -125.
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/9/2023
Rockies at Brewers—Chris Flexen will start for Colorado. Flexen has nineteen appearances on the campaign posting an ERA of 7.82 and WHIP of 1.93. The righthander fans 14.5% with 10.3% walks. Ground balls served at 39.1% with 2.66 home runs per nine innings.
Adrian Houser to start for Milwaukee. Houser appeared in fifteen games this season delivering an ERA of 4.19 and WHIP of 1.52. The veteran righty strikes out 17.7% with 7.8% walks. Grounders dished at 47.5% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
Flexen past two starts allowed nine runs, six walks and two homers in 8 2/3rd innings of work. Houser has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of five starts.
Team record behind Houser on the run line is 26-13 facing a team hitting .255 or worse with a +15.8 unit return. Past seven games Rockies batting .209. Play Milwaukee on run line -1.5 runs at -105.
Texas Rangers vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/9/2023
Rangers at Athletics—Jordon Montgomery to start for Texas. Montgomery in 22 starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 3.40 with WHIP of 1.234. The seventh year lefthander has a K rate of 21.4% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.1% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
Freddy Tarnock expected starter for Oakland. Tarnok has four appearances with an ERA of 6.75 and WHIP of 1.69. The righthander strikes out 20.4% with 18.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 16.7% with 3.38 home runs per nine innings. He has pitched a total of 10 2/3rd innings. He has posted good minor league number in most of his stops.
After winning the opener of this series the Rangers had won six of seven against the Athletics with each win by two runs or greater. Montgomery has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of five.
Rangers are averaging 8.3 runs per game against the division. Past seven games Athletics hitting .198 in division games. Play Texas on run line -1.5 runs.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/9/2023
Cardinals at Rays—Dakota Hudson to start for St Louis. Hudson in eight appearances to the season delivers an ERA of 4.10 and WHIP of 1.37. The righthander fans 17.5% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls served at 46.3% with limited home run damage.
Erasmo Ramirez to start for Tampa Bay. Ramirez in 26 appearances carries an ERA of 5.14 with WHIP of 1.51. The righty fans only 11.4% with 4.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.1% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. Past ten games the Rays bullpen an ERA of 5.49. Ramirez high contact a concern. Play St Louis and Tampa Bay over 9.5.
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/9/2023
Nationals at Phillies—MacKenzie Gore expected to start for Washington. Gore in 22 starts to the year produces an ERA of 4.34 with WHIP of 1.42. The second year lefthander punches out 26.9% with 10.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.4% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings.
Michael Lorenzen to start for Philadelphia. Lorenzen has nineteen starts carrying an ERA of 3.48 and WHIP of 1.08. The veteran righthander strikes out 19.6% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.5% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. As this series opened the Nationals had won six of eight.
Past three starts Gore has allowed five earned runs with fifteen strikeouts in sixteen innings. Past ten games Nationals bullpen an ERA of 2.02. Washington 14-13 on the road against winning teams with a +14.3 unit return. They do sit 29-32 as an underdog of +150 or greater with a +23 unit return. Play Washington +154.
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/9/2023
Twins at Tigers—Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober in eighteen starts has an ERA of 3.21 with WHIP of 1.05. The third year righthander fans 23.7% with 4.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 31.9% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings.
Alex Faedo to start for Detroit. Faedo has seven starts posting an ERA of 5.80 with WHIP of 1.04. The righty strikes out 21% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.2% with 1.77 home runs per nine innings.
Twins bullpen an ERA of 4.18 past ten games. Past four starts Ober allowed thirteen earned runs in 21 innings. Tigers have hit Ober in his past two starts against the Tigers for eight runs in 12 innings. Play Detroit +130.
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/9/2023
Braves at Pirates—Max Fried to start for Atlanta. Fried in six starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 1.69 with WHIP of 0.97. The lefthander strikes out 26.8% with 4.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 64.2% with limited home run damage.
Quinn Priester to start for Pittsburgh. Priester has four starts on the year producing an ERA of 8.69 and WHIP of 1.78. The rookie righthander fans 17% with 14.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 49.2% with 2.29 home runs per nine innings.
Fried impressive in his return allowing no runs and eight strikeouts in six innings against the Cubs. Pirates bullpen past ten games an ERA of 3.29. Past ten games Pittsburgh hitting only .169 against lefthanders. Braves 25-13 to the under facing an NL team hitting .245 or worse. Play Atlanta and Pittsburgh under 9.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 8/9/2023
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/9/2023
Astros at Orioles—Cristian Javier to start for Houston. Javier in 21 starts on the campaign delivers an ERA of 4.39 with WHIP of 1.21. The fourth year righthander has a K rate of 22.8% with 8.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 25.2% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings.
Jack Flaherty to start for Baltimore. Flaherty has 21 starts in 2023 has an ERA of 4.28 with WHIP of 1.52. The traded player is striking out 22.4% with 11% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.8% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings. Orioles bullpen has been outperforming Houston the past ten games.
In this period the Orioles have an ERA of 1.57. Flaherty in his Baltimore debut held the Blue Jays to one run and eight strikeouts over six innings. The Orioles bats have been hot with a .282 batting average past ten games.
Team record behind Flaherty 15-5 when lined in this close range of +125 to -125 with a +11.1 unit return. Houston past seven games hitting .221. Play Baltimore -125.
Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/9/2023
Royals at Red Sox—Jordan Lyles to start for Kansas City. Lyles in 21 starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 6.24 with WHIP of 1.29. The thirteen year veteran fans 16.2% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls served at 32.9% with 1.75 home runs per nine innings.
Nick Pivetta to start for Boston. Pivetta appeared in 27 games on the year with an ERA of 4.19 and WHIP of 1.17. The righthander strikes out 29.1% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 34.2% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings. Lyles past three starts allowed thirteen earned runs in 15 2/3rd innings.
Their bullpen past ten games an ERA of 7.11. Lyles on the road an ERA of 7.56. Pivetta has been hammered past three starts for fourteen earned runs in 16 2/3rd innings. Red Sox bullpen past ten games an ERA of 7.11. Play Kansas City and Boston over 10.5.
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/9/2023
Cubs at Mets—Kyle Hendricks to start for Chicago. Hendricks in fourteen starts this year delivers an ERA of 3.98 with WHIP of 1.11. The ten year veteran fans 15.3% with 3.6% walks. Grounders sit at 46% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings.
David Peterson the starter for New York. Peterson in eighteen appearances sits with an ERA of 5.65 with WHIP of 1.61. The lefthander fans 23.7% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 56.6% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. A home run to fly ball rate of 21.4%.
Chicago has gone over in 22 of 31. Past seven games they are hitting .302. They do hit lefthanders well. Both starters are tough to back. Mets bullpen past ten games an ERA of 4.91. Play Chicago and New York over 9.5.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/9/2023
Blue Jays at Guardians—Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman in 22 starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 3.20 with WHIP of 1.17. The eleven year veteran has an elite 32.8% strikeout mark with 6.3% walks. Ground balls served at 43.7% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
Logan Allen to start for Cleveland. Allen has sixteen starts producing an ERA of 3.65 with WHIP of 1.37. The lefthander deals 22.9% K’s with 8.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.1% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. Gausman has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of five starts.
Allen past three starts allowed twelve runs in 19 innings and four homers. After winning the opener of this series the Blue Jays had won 12 of 16 on the road. Past seven games Guardians batting .202. Play Toronto -142.
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/9/2023
Yankees at White Sox—Luis Severino to start for New York. Severino in thirteen starts in 2023 has an ERA of 7.74 and WHIP of 1.85. The veteran strikes out 18.1% with 9% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.4% with 2.48 home runs per nine innings.
Mike Clevinger the starter for Chicago. Clevinger in fourteen starts an ERA of 3.72 with WHIP of 1.32. The seven year righthander fans 18.5% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 30% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.74 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold.
Clevinger past five starts allowed six earned runs in 25 1/3rd innings. White Sox bullpen in good form. New York hitting .228 against righthanders. Play Chicago.
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/9/2023
Giants at Angels—Tristan Beck expected to start for San Francisco. Beck in 23 appearances produces an ERA of 2.72 with WHIP of 1.05. The rookie righthander fans 20% with 5.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.3% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.85 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Shohei Ohtani to start for Los Angeles. Ohtani has 21 starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.32 and WHIP of 1.07. The veteran has an elite strikeout rate of 31.8% with 10.1% walks. Ground balls served at 45.7% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings.
After dropping the opener of this series the Angels have dropped seven straight. Past two starts Ohtani has allowed no runs in thirteen innings. Past seven games San Francisco hitting only .215. In this span the Angels batting .218. Giants bullpen past ten games an ERA of 2.11. Play San Francisco and Los Angeles under.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/9/2023
Dodgers at Diamondbacks—Bobby Miller to start for Los Angeles. Miller has twelve starts to the season producing an ERA of 4.26 with WHIP of 1.23. The rookie righthander fans 23.3% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.6% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings.
Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly in nineteen starts produces an ERA of 3.21 with WHIP of 1.16. The righty deals 25.9% K’s with 9.2% walks. Grounders dealt at 44.5% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. As the Dodgers open this series they have played to over in 11 straight road games.
Miller past three starts allowed eight runs in 14 2/3rd innings. Diamondbacks bullpen past ten games has an ERA of 4.66. Los Angeles is 26-10 to the over facing a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.20 or greater on the season.
Past seven games Dodgers batting .312 and averaging 8.4 runs per game. LA bullpen an ERA of 4.41 on the road. Play Los Angeles and Arizona over 9.
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/9/2023
Padres at Mariners—Yu Darvish to start for San Diego. Darvish has 20 starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 4.41 with WHIP of 1.25. The veteran has a K rate of 25.4% with 8% walks. Grounders sit at 42.8% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings.
Bryan Woo to start for Seattle. Woo in 11 starts an ERA of 4.75 with WHIP of 1.24. The rookie righthander strikes out 25.9% with 7.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.8% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. Mariners opened this series winning eight of ten.
In this period they are averaging five runs per game. The bullpen in this period has an ERA of 1.41 and San Diego sits at 5.01. Darvish has an ERA of 4.98 on the road. Padres are 14-24 facing a starter who averages five strikeouts per game or greater with a -14.9 unit loss. Play Seattle +105.
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