Free College Football Picks For Today 12/11/2020
UTEP vs. North Texas Pick Prediction 12/11/2020
UTEP at North Texas—College football pick is UTEP Minors +10.5. Can’t lay double digits with a North Texas defense that is surrendering 511 yards per game. Opponents are rushing for 236 yards per game on the Mean Green with 5.5 yards per rush attempt. They have failed to cover five of their past seven surrendering over 40 points in each of those five games. UTEP has held opponents to 365 yards per game. They have covered three of their past four games as they were competitive in losses to Charlotte and Louisiana Tech. Miners quarterback Gavin Hardison did complete 66.7% of his throws on UTSA last week with 7.6 yards per pass attempt. He threw for 302 yards and 7.6 yards per pass attempt against UL Monroe in a win. Against this defense Miners generate enough to cover here. Play UTEP +10.5.
Arizona St vs. Arizona Pick Prediction 12/11/2020
Arizona St at Arizona—College football free pick is Arizona St Sun Devils and Arizona Wildcats to play under the total of 55 points. Wildcats will likely play without starting quarterback Grant Gunnell who was lost to a shoulder injury early against UCLA. Without Gunnell, the Wildcats offense posted only 10 points against the Bruins and 13 last week to Colorado with each game falling under the total. Backup quarterback Will Plummer completing only 53% of his throws with a miniscule 4.6 per attempt with no touchdowns and three picks. Arizona St strength this season has been running the football. Sophomore quarterback Jayden Daniels has not been accurate with a 55% completion rate. Would expect a Herman Edwards team run the football and focus on defense facing an inefficient backup quarterback. Play Arizona St and Arizona under 55 points.
Nevada vs. San Jose St Pick Prediction 12/11/2020
Nevada vs. San Jose St—Free pick is San Jose St Spartans -3. This game to be played outdoors in Las Vegas. Nevada offensively has seen its numbers dip considerably away from their home stadium. In their lone test away they were beaten by Hawaii 24-21. Wolf Pack has been held to under 30 points in three of their past four. San Jose St is a perfect 6-0 with notable wins at Hawaii and San Diego St on the road. They do have a win at home to Air Force holding the Falcons to six points. Past three games Spartans holding opponents to 331 yards with 2.5 yards per rush. In that span the Wolf Pack are allowing 419 yards with 305 passing with 66% completion rate. Spartans are running for nearly five yards per attempt which will help in play action. Prefer the run game and defense for the favorite. Play San Jose St -3.
Utah vs. Colorado Pick Prediction 12/12/2020
Utah at Colorado—College football pick is Colorado Buffaloes -2. Colorado has quality wins at home to UCLA and San Diego St on the season. They are balanced offensively with 432 yards per game with 245 rushing for 4.8 yards per rush. This is an inexperienced Utah team losing many starters from last year. They have lost two of their three games. Only win didn’t cover as they caught Oregon St utilizing a backup quarterback with the starter injured. Utes transfer quarterback Jake Bentley does not look like a quality PAC 12 quarterback. Arm strength is not there downfield and has thrown for three touchdowns, four picks and 6.3 yards per attempt. Buffaloes senior quarterback Sam Noyer is averaging 8.3 yards per pass attempt. Against the Bruins and Aztecs at home the Buffs defense surrendered an average of 316 yards defensively and only 5.6 yards per pass attempt. Play Colorado -2.
Stanford vs. Oregon St Pick Prediction 12/12/2020
Stanford at Oregon St—College football pick is Oregon St Beavers +3. Stanford will be without two of their top three receivers for this game. Oregon St lead running back Jemar Jefferson is expected to play. Jefferson is averaging 7.4 yards per carry on the season. He rushed for 226 yards against Oregon and 196 to California resulting in victories. Stanford has failed to cover three of four losing two outright. Beavers can exploit with Jefferson a Cardinal defense that is allowing 201 yards rushing per game with 5.2 pe rush. Beavers are running for 5.3 yards per attempt and better when Jefferson gets the ball. Play Oregon St +3.
Fresno St vs. New Mexico Pick Prediction 12/12/2020
Fresno St at New Mexico—College football free pick is Fresno St Bulldogs -12. Game played on a neutral site in Las Vegas. New Mexico did pick up their first victory last week but it came against a one dimensional team in Wyoming who had to utilize a backup quarterback who has not been effective. Fresno St a strong offensive team that averages 493 yards per game. Quarterback Jake Haener has passed for over 400 yards in his past two games. On the season Haener is averaging 8.7 yards per pass attempt. Lobos a poor defensive team allowing 453 yards with 272 passing with 9.3 yards per pass attempt. New Mexico not getting accuracy or downfield passing at the quarterback position and will not keep up with the scoring from the Bulldogs. Play Fresno St -12.
UNLV vs. Hawaii Pick Prediction 12/12/2020
UNLV at Hawaii—Free pick is UNLV Rebels +20. No path for a bowl game for the Rainbow Warriors with the Hawaii Bowl cancelled. They come off a home defeat to San Jose St last week behind 339 yards of offense. Team has now lost three of four. Rebels trying to avoid a winless season. Hawaii is surrendering 416 yards per game with 233 rushing for 5.4 yards per rush average. Rebels have extra rest coming off the bye. Three of their past four losses have been by under 20 points so they can generate enough offense to cover here. Play UNLV +20.