The Sacramento Kings (33-31) and Golden State Warriors (37-28) are set to clash in a pivotal Western Conference matchup on Thursday night. With playoff implications looming large, both teams will look to assert their dominance at the Chase Center. Sacramento has been on an ATS tear recently, while Golden State is riding a hot streak, winning their last five games straight up. Can the Kings continue their strong road play, or will the Warriors defend their home court and extend their winning streak? Let’s dive into our expert premium analysis picks for this highly anticipated showdown.
| Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors Game Info
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| When: | Thursday, March 13, 2025, at 10:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Chase Center, San Francisco, CA |
| TV: | TNT/truTV/Max |
| Stream: | NBA League Pass |
Sacramento Kings (33-31) vs. Golden State Warriors (37-28)
The Sacramento Kings are coming off a rollercoaster stretch, going 2-3 in their last five outings. They suffered tough losses against the New York Knicks (104-133), Los Angeles Clippers (110-111), and Denver Nuggets (110-116). However, they secured solid wins over the San Antonio Spurs (127-109) and Dallas Mavericks (122-98), showing flashes of offensive dominance. Sacramento is 7-1 ATS in their last eight games, including a perfect 5-0 ATS on the road. Keegan Murray has been a key contributor, averaging 12.3 points per game while being an active presence on the boards. The Kings’ offense, averaging 116.6 points per game, will need to step up against a Golden State squad that thrives in high-scoring affairs.
Golden State, on the other hand, has been unstoppable, winning their last five games in convincing fashion. They took down the Portland Trail Blazers (130-120), Detroit Pistons (115-110), Brooklyn Nets (121-119), New York Knicks (114-102), and Charlotte Hornets (119-101). Their offense has been clicking, averaging 113.6 points per game, led by sharpshooter Buddy Hield. Golden State has also been dominant at home, winning seven of their last eight at Chase Center. However, they are just 1-4 ATS in their last five home games against Sacramento, which raises some concerns against a Kings team that has been covering the spread at a high rate on the road.
Why Golden State Will Win
- Golden State’s Offense is on Fire: Averaging 113.6 PPG, the Warriors have scored 114+ points in each of their last five games.
- Home Court Advantage: Golden State is 7-1 SU in their last eight home games.
- Sacramento’s Recent Defensive Struggles: The Kings allowed 133 points to the Knicks and 116 to the Nuggets in recent losses.
- Buddy Hield’s Shooting Prowess: Averaging 11.5 PPG, Hield’s three-point shooting (36.1%) can stretch Sacramento’s defense.
- Sacramento’s Inconsistency: The Kings have lost three of their last five and struggle in tight games, as seen in their one-point loss to the Clippers.
NBA Odds/Point Spread: Golden State Warriors -6.5, Total Odds: 233.5
Golden State is favored by 6.5 points, reflecting their strong home performance and recent form. The total is set at 233.5, which aligns with both teams’ tendencies for high-scoring games. The Warriors have hit the OVER in five of their last six games against the Kings, making the OVER a tempting bet, despite Sacramento’s recent scoring inconsistencies.
Sacramento Kings Betting Trends
- 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games.
- 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games against Golden State.
- 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against Golden State.
- 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. Golden State.
- OVER in 13 of their last 19 games vs. Western Conference teams.
Golden State Warriors Betting Trends
- 5-0 SU in their last 5 games.
- OVER in 5 of their last 6 games vs. Sacramento.
- 7-1 SU in their last 8 home games.
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. Sacramento.
- 4-1 SU in their last 5 games vs. Western Conference opponents.
- OVER in 5 of their last 5 games vs. Pacific Division opponents.
Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors 3/13/25 Betting Picks
Golden State’s recent surge and home dominance make them the clear favorites, but Sacramento’s ability to cover the spread on the road adds intrigue to this matchup. The Kings have covered in five straight road games and have had Golden State’s number in recent matchups, going 5-1 SU in their last six meetings. However, the Warriors are in elite form, and their offensive firepower may prove too much for Sacramento’s shaky defense. Expect a competitive game, but Golden State should have the edge in crunch time.
For bettors, taking the OVER at 233.5 looks promising, given both teams’ trends. Sacramento has seen the OVER hit frequently against Western Conference foes, while Golden State has exceeded the total in five straight against Pacific Division teams. Prop bets on Buddy Hield’s three-pointers or Keegan Murray’s rebounding totals could also provide value.