Maryland vs Michigan 3/5/2025 College Basketball Picks

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Maryland vs Michigan Prediction

Maryland vs Michigan Game Information

What: Maryland vs Michigan 3/5/2025 College Basketball Picks
When: Wednesday, March 5, 2025 6:30 EST/3:30 PST
Where: Crisler Center, Ann Arbor, Michigan
Maryland vs Michigan Line: Michigan -1.5
Total: 154.5
TV: BTN

Maryland vs Michigan Preview

 

 

No. 13 Maryland (22-7, 12-6 in Big Ten) heads to Ann Arbor to face No. 17 Michigan (22-7, 14-4 in Big Ten) at the Crisler Center on Wednesday night in this Big Ten Conference showdown. In their last 5 games, the Terrapins are 4-1, beating Nebraska by 8 (83-75), Iowa by 26 (101-75), and USC by 17 (88-81), losing vs Michigan State by 3 (88-85) before topping Penn State by 4 (68-64). In their last 5 games, Michigan is 3-2, edging Ohio State by 3 (86-83), losing vs Michigan State by 13 (75-62), winning back-to-back games vs Nebraska by 3 (49-46) and Rutgers by 2 (84-82) before losing to Illinois by 20 (93-73).

 

Futures Book Look: DraftKings currently has Michigan at 75/1 to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball Tournament with Maryland at 45/1. Auburn (+340), Duke (+350), Houston (+750), Florida (+950), Alabama (12/1), Tennessee (12/1), Iowa State (20/1), St John’s (25/1), Michigan State (28/1), Texas A&M (30/1), and Missouri (30/1) are the other top Favorites to win the NCAAB championship. The 2025 NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Tournament will tip off on March 19-20 with the First Four with the First Round starting on March 21-22. The Final Four will be on Saturday, April 5 at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas with the Championship Game set for Monday, April 7.

Maryland’s Bench Scoring Still a Major Liability

Maryland (15-14-0 ATS,17-11-1 O/U) has a fantastic Starting 5 in C Derik Queen (15.9 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 2.0 APG), G Ja’Kobi Gillespie (15.1 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 4.8 APG), G Rodney Rice (13.7 PPG, 2.2 RPG, 2.0 APG), F Julian Reese (13.3 PPG, 9.4 RPG), and G Selton Miguel (11.9 PPG, 1.9 RPG) with Georgia Tech Transfer F Tafara Gaspare (4.0 PPG, 2.2 RPG) the Dribbling Turtles only other real contributor. Bench Scoring has been a liability for this team this season and something to think about if considering a Futures bet on Maryland. The Terrapins average 82.1 PPG (#23) and allow just 66.9 PPG with 37.0 Rebounds Per Game (Tied-#104) and 14.8 Assists Per Game (Tied-#116). Bracketology from ESPN guru Joe Lunardi still has the Terps as a No. 5 seed up from a projected No. 6 seed 2 weeks ago.

Maryland Betting Trends

  • Maryland is 8-2-0 SU in its last 10 games overall
  • The Terrapins are 4-5 on the Road (16-2 at Home) 
  • Maryland was 13-20 ATS in the 2023-24 NCAAB season (39.4 %)
  • Maryland is 5-1-0 SU in its last 6 games overall
  • The Terrapins are 4-2-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall

Michigan Remains No. 4 Seed in New Bracketology

Michigan (15-14-0 ATS, 16-13-0 O/U) is 13-2 at Home at the Crisler Center and still sits as a projected No. 4 seed for the NCAA Tournament in Bracketology on ESPN. The Wolverines are led by C Vladislav Goldin (16.1 PPG, 6.4 RPG), C Danny Wolf (12.4 PPG, 9.7 RPG, 3.7 APG), G Tre Donaldson (11.9 PPG, 3.6 RPG, 3.9 APG), Roddy Gayle Jr. (10.2 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 2.5 APG), G Nimari Burnett (10.1 PPG, 3.4 RPG), F Will Tschetter (7.1 PPG, 2.3 RPG) and F Sam Walters (5.0 RPG). Michigan is averaging 79.6 PPG (Tied-#53) while allowing 71.4 PPG and averages 38.0 RPG (Tied-#61) and 16.1 APG (#47). The Wolverines have Quality Wins against Xavier, Wisconsin, Iowa, Rutgers, Indiana, Purdue, Ohio State, Nebraska as well as against all 4 of the Big Ten’s 4 new teams who left the Pac-12, USC, UCLA, Oregon, and Washington. This team is firmly in the Big Dance but absolutely has no chance of making it to the Final Four like most Big Ten teams. Don’t believe the hype.

Michigan Betting Trends

  • Michigan is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games overall
  • The Over is 2-0-0 in the last 2 Wolverines games 
  • The Wolverines are 2-8-0 ATS in their last 10 games
  • Michigan is 6-12-0 ATS in the Big Ten Conference
  • The Wolverines are 13-2 SU at Home (7-2 on Road)

Maryland vs Michigan Prediction

In the 10 meetings between these two teams, Michigan is 7-3 SU and the Wolverines are also 7-3-0 ATS covering 5 of the last 7 meetings. But the last 2 meetings—both at Maryland—were won and covered by the Terrapins so it seems the worm has turned a bit in the Big Ten pecking order. The Over is 6-4-0 but the last 3 meetings have all been Unders. Although the Wolverines will have the Homecourt and Bench advantages, Maryland has the better Starting 5 and a Win here may switch projected seedings for both if the visitors can pull off the upset. This Maryland vs Michigan NCAAB pick will side with the Terrapins and Road team and take the minimal points.

Kevin’s Prediction: Maryland +1.5

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