Duke vs Miami-Florida Prediction
Duke vs Miami-Florida Game Information
What: | Duke vs Miami-Florida 2/25/2025 College Basketball Picks |
When: | Tuesday, February 25, 2025 7:00 EST/4:00 PST |
Where: | Watsco Center, Coral Gables, Florida |
Duke vs Miami-Florida Line: | Duke -22.5 |
Total: | 150.5 |
TV: | ESPN |
Duke vs Miami-Florida Preview
No. 2 Duke (24-3, 15-1 in ACC) heads to suburban Miami to face Miami-Florida (6-21, 2-14 in ACC) at the Watsco Center in Coral Gables on Tuesday night for this ACC Conference mismatch. In their last 5 games, the Blue Devils are 4-1 (3-2-0 ATS), losing at Clemson by 6 (77-71), then winning their last 4 vs new conference members California by 21 (78-57) and Stanford by 36 (106-70) and then defeating Virginia by 18 (80-62) and a sick Illinois squad on Saturday by 43 at MSG (110-67). The Hurricanes are 1-4 in their last 5 (4-1-0 ATS), losing to Louisville by 10 (88-78), knocking off Syracuse by 7 (91-84), and then losing their last 3 at Pitt by 9 (74-65), at FSU by 8 (74-66), and vs Virginia Tech by 13 (81-68).
Futures Book Look: DraftKings currently has Duke at +370 to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball Tournament. Auburn (+360), Houston (8/1), Florida (+850), Alabama (12/1), Tennessee (16/1), Iowa State (18/1), Missouri (30/1), St John’s (30/1), Wisconsin (30/1), and Texas A&M (30/1) are the other top Favorites to win the NCAAB championship. The 2025 NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Tournament will tip off on March 19-20 with the First Four with the First Round starting on March 21-22. The Final Four will be on Saturday, April 5 at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas with the Championship Game set for Monday, April 7.
Duke Massive Road Chalks at Lowly Hurricanes
No. 3 Duke (17-10-0 ATS, 15-11-1 O/U) is led by Wooden Award Favorite Freshman Cooper Flagg (19.5 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 4.0 APG), 6-foot-7 Freshman G Kon Knueppel (13.2 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 2.4 APG), and 7-foot-2 Freshman Khaman Maluach (8.2 PPG, 6.2 RPG), G Tyrese Proctor (12.0 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 2.3 APG), G Sion James (8.3 PPG, 4.1 RPG, 3.4 APG), G Isaiah Evans (7.0 PPG), G Caleb Foster (5.3 RPG), and F Mason Gillis (4.4 PPG, 2.5 RPG). Last season the Blue Devils made it to the Elite Eight as a No. 4 seed, clobbering No. 13-seed Vermont in the First Round (64-47), knocking out No. 12-seed James Madison (93-55) in the Round of 32, and then eliminating No. 1-seed Houston in the Sweet 16 (54-51) before falling to No. 4-seed and ACC rivals NC State in the South Regional Final (75-64). Duke averages 82.0 PPG (#26) and allows just 61.0 PPG (+21.0 PPF PD) and averages 38.7 RPG (#44) and 17.1 APG (#22).
Duke Betting Trends
- Cooper Flagg is -140 to win Wooden Award; Johni Broome (AUB) is +100
- The Blue Devils are 20-1 SU in their last 21 games overall
- Duke went 21-14-1 ATS last 2023-24 NCAAB season (60%)
- Duke is #1 in D1 in Scoring Margin (+21.0 PPG)
- The Blue Devils are 38-24-1 ATS in their last 63 games (61.3%)
Miami-Florida Facing a Blue Devils Hurricane Tuesday?
Miami Florida (9-18-0 ATS, 15-11-1 O/U) has been straight fade material this 2024=25 College Basketball season and this has been a miserable year for the Hurricanes with a 2-14 mark now in conference and no chance at making any Postseason tournaments. Miami Florida is averaging 74.6 PPG while allowing 79.7 PPG and have been below average in Assists (15.0 APG, Tied-#277) and Rebounding (31.9 RPG, Tied-#390). The Hurricanes (+590 Moneyline) are led by G Matthew Cleveland (16.3 PPG, 4.3 RPG), G Nijel Pack (13.9 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 4.3 APG), C Lynn Kidd (11.3 PPG, 7.2 RPG), F Brandon Johnson (7.9 PPG, 6.6 RPG), G AJ Stanton-McCray (7.6 PPG, 2.6 RPG), G Jalen Blackmon (6.9 PPG), and G Jalili Bethea (6.8 PPG, 2.0 RPG). Miami Florida’s only Wins have come against Fairleigh Dickinson, Binghamton, Coppin State, and Presbyterian and ACC schools Notre Dame and Syracuse.
Miami (Florida) Betting Trends
- Miami Florida is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games overall
- The Hurricanes are 5-1-0 ATS in their last 6 games
- The Hurricanes lost their last 10 games SU last year
- The Over is 5-3-0 in the Hurricanes last 8 games overall
- Miami Florida was 14-16-2 ATS last season
- The Hurricanes are 6-28-0 SU in their last 34 games
Duke vs Miami-Florida Prediction
In the last 10 series meetings, Duke is 8-2 SU, winning and covering ATS the last 3 consecutive and winning by 7, 29, and 35 points. Both teams are 5-5-0 ATS over that span while the Under is 6-4-0. Miami-Florida has been close most of its Home games but was thrashed by new ACC members SMU in Coral Gables by 43 (117-74), so with the way Duke has been playing and this team humming like a well-oiled machine, you can see why the line here is (Duke minus) 22.5. These Duke vs Miami-Florida NCAAB picks will expect a 20- to 30-point blowout with things likely getting out hand early and making a bet on Duke in the First Half market (as well) seems like the best approach for this one.
Kevin’s Predictions: Duke -22.5, Duke First Half
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