Arkansas vs Auburn Prediction

Arkansas vs Auburn Game Information

What:	Arkansas vs Auburn 2/19/2025 College Basketball Picks
When:	Wednesday, February 19, 2025 at 9:00 EST/6:00 PST
Where:	Neville Arena, Auburn, Alabama
Arkansas vs Auburn Line:	Auburn -16.5
Total:	153.5
TV:	ESPN

Arkansas vs Auburn Preview

 

No. 1 Auburn (23-2, 11-1 in SEC) plays host to Arkansas (15-10, 4-8 in SEC) in an SEC showdown at Neville Arena on Wednesday night and a game way more important to the Razorbacks who are on the NCAA Tournament Bubble and the Last Four In at this point in time. In their last 5 games, the Razorbacks are 3-2, winning at Kentucky by 10 (89-79), and at Texas by 8 (78-70), losing to Alabama by 4 (85-81), winning vs LSU by 12 (70-58), and losing at Texas A&M by 8 (69-61). In their last 5 games, the Tigers are 4-1, winning at Ole Miss by 10 (92-82), beating Oklahoma by 28 (98-70), losing vs Florida by 9 (90-81), and then winning at Vanderbilt by 12 (80-68) and at Alabama by 9 in one of the most anticipated games of the season (94-85).

 

 

 

Futures Book Look: DraftKings currently has Auburn at +330 and the Favorites to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball Tournament with Arkansas at 200/1. Duke (+390), Florida (+950), Houston (10/1), Alabama (10/1), Iowa State (16/1), Tennessee (17/1), Purdue (30/1), and Texas A&M at (30/1) are the other top Favorites to win the NCAAB championship. The 2025 NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Tournament tips off on March 19-20 with the First Four with the First Round starting on March 21-22. The Final Four will be on Saturday, April 5 at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas with the Championship Game set for Monday, April 7.

Arkansas Can Hit the Lotto With Upset at Auburn 

Arkansas (9-15-1 ATS, 9-16-0 O/U) moved up from the On The Bubble distinction of First Four Out to Last Four In in Joe Lunardi’s latest (Tuesday) Bracketology, so a huge upset here at Auburn would likely secure a berth in the Big Dance. The Razorbacks have a deep Roster led by F Adou Thiero (15.8 PPG, 6.1 RPG), G Boogie Fland (15.1 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 5.7 APG), G DJ Wagner (10.2 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 3.4 APG), G Johnell Davis (10.3 PPG, 3.6 RPG), F Zvonimir Ivisic (9.5 PPG, 4.3 RPG), Karter Knox (7.2 PPG, 3.4 RPG), F Trevon Brazille (5.5 PPG, 4.3 RPG), and F Jonas Aidoo (5.0 PPG, 3.9 RPG). Arkansas (+1100 Moneyline) averages 76.1 PPG (#129) while allowing 68.9 PPG and 35.5 RPG (Tied-#206) and 14.7 APG (#132).

Arkansas Betting Trends

• Arkansas is 4-6 SU in its last 10 games overall
• The Under is 3-0-0 in the Razorbacks last 3 games
• The Razorbacks are 20-13 on the Moneyline in their last 33 (+10.55 Units, 2% ROI)
• Arkansas went 12-21-0 ATS in the 2023-24 NCAAB season (36.4%)
• The Razorbacks are 4-1-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall

Auburn Now the Team to Beat in NCAA Basketball

Auburn (16-9-0 ATS, 15-10-0 O/U) is now the projected No. 1 seed in the tournament, No. 1 in all Polls, No. 1 in the Ken Pomeroy Ratings, and unless they somehow flop in the SEC Tournament, will be the team to beat next month. The Tigers have won 16 of their last 17 games and their 2 Losses have been to Duke (in the ACC-SEC Challenge) and Florida, respectively ranked No. 2 and No. 3. Auburn is led in scoring by superstar F Jonhi Broome (18.1 PPG, 10.9 RPG, 3.4 APG), G Chad Baker-Maraza (12.3 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 2.6 APG, 1.3 SPG), G Tahaad Petiford (11.6 PPG, 2.6 APG), G Miles Kelly (10.9 PPG, 3.5 RPG), G Denver Jones (10.7 PPG, 2.1 RPG, 2.6 APG), F Chaney Johnson (10.4 PPG, 5.2 RPG), F Jahki Howard (5.3 PPG), and C Dylan Caldwell (5.5 PPG, 5.2 RPG). The Tigers (-2100 Moneyline) average 85.1 PPG (#6)—they are No. 1 in D-I in Scoring Efficiency—while giving up 68.4 PPG and average 38.5 RPG (#56) and 16.8 APG (#30).

Auburn Betting Trends

• Auburn is 5-1-0 ATS in its last 6 games overall
• The Tigers are 16-1-0 SU their last 17 games
• The Over is 5-1-0 in the Tigers last 6 games 
• Auburn went 21-14-0 ATS last season (60%)
• The Over is 20-14 in the Tigers last 34 games (+4.60 Units, 12% ROI)
• Auburn is 20-14-0 ATS in its last 34 games (+5.60 Units, 15% ROI)

Arkansas vs Auburn Prediction

Both teams have won 5 times in the last 10 series meetings with Arkansas going 4-2 SU in the last 6. Auburn is a profitable 6-3-1 ATS over that span, getting the broccoli 5 of the last 8 with 2 Losses and a Push. The Totals are also split 5-5-0  with the Under/Over alternating Wins the last 7 meetings (UOUOUO). This Arkansas vs Auburn NCAAB pick will lean to the Home team with the Razorbacks being outscored in their last 10 (4-6 SU) and the Tigers 10-1 at Home, leading the nation in Scoring Efficiency behind Wooden Award candidate Broome (+120, FanDuel) and boasting a beyond impressive 14-2 Record versus Quad I teams. If Auburn can beat rivals Alabama by 9 in Tuscaloosa, it should be able to beat Arkansas at Home by 18 or more in this spot, even with Arkansas knowing a Win would make its season and get them in the Big Dance.

Kevin’s Prediction: Auburn -16.5

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