Arizona vs Baylor Prediction

Arizona vs Baylor Game Information

Arizona vs Baylor Preview

No. 13 Arizona (17-9, 11-3 in Big 12) travels to Waco, Texas to face Baylor (16-9, 8-6 in Big 12) at Foster Pavilion in this Big 12 Conference matchup on Monday night. In their last 5 games, the Wildcats are 3-2, winning 3 straight at Arizona State by 9 (81-72), at BYU by 11 (85-74), and vs Texas Tech by 9 (82-73), then losing back-to-back games at Kansas State by 3 (73-70), and vs Houston by 4 (62-58). In their last 5 games, Baylor is also 3-2, winning vs Kansas by 11 (81-70), losing at Texas Tech by 14 (73-59), winning vs UCF by 15 (91-76), losing at Houston by 11 (76-65), and then winning vs West Virginia by 3 in OT (74-71).

Futures Book Look: DraftKings currently has Arizona priced at 35/1 to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball Tournament with Baylor longshots at 110/1. Auburn (+330), Duke (+390), Florida (+950), Houston (10/1), Alabama (10/1), Iowa State (16/1), Tennessee (17/1), Purdue (30/1), Texas A&M, (30/1), Texas Tech (35/1) and St. John’s (35/1) are the other top Favorites to win the NCAAB championship. The 2025 NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Tournament tips off on March 19-20 with the First Four with the First Round starting on March 21-22. The Final Four will be on Saturday, April 5 at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas with the Championship Game set for Monday, April 7.

Arizona Looking to Snap a 2-Game Losing Streak

Arizona (14-11-0 ATS, 14-11-0 O/U) is a projected No. 3 seed in the NCAA Tourney in Bracketology, and the Wildcats (+100 Moneyline) have been excellent in their first season of Big 12 play so far but come in here losers of 2 in a row (Kansas State, Houston). Arizona is led by G Caleb Love (15.9 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 3.4 APG), G Jaden Bradley (11.8 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 3.8 APG), F Trey Townsend (8.8 PPG, 4.0 RPG), G KJ Lewis (10.6 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 3.1 APG), F Henri Veesaar (8.5 PPG, 4.8 RPG), F Tobe Awaka (7.9 PPG, 7.7 RPG), C Motiejus Krivas (7.9 PPG, 4.5 RPG), G Anthony Dell’Orso (7.8 PPG), and F Carter Bryant (6.3 PPG, 3.8 RPG). The Wildcats are averaging 81.3 PPG (#33) while allowing 69.5 PPG and average 40.8 RPG (Tied-#11) and 16.8 APG (Tied-#30).

Arizona Betting Trends

• Arizona is 7-3 SU/ATS in its last 10 games overall 
• The Wildcats went 22-14-0 ATS in the 2023-24 NCAAB season (61.1%)
• The Over is 4-2-0 in Arizona’s last 6 games but the Under is 2-0-0 the last 2
• The Wildcats were 16-20-0 (O/U) in the Totals markets last season
• The winner in all 10 of Arizona’s last 10 games has also covered ATS
• Arizona is 36-25-0 ATS in its last 61 games overall (59%)

Baylor Comes in Here as an Unranked Home Favorite

Baylor (9-14-1 ATS, 15-9-0 O/U) is a projected No. 8 seed in the Tournament and the Bears (-120 Moneyline) won’t be a team anyone will want to be playing come March Madness time. Baylor has 4 guys scoring in scoring in double-digits in star F Norchad Omier (15.7 PPG, 10.2 RPG), G VJ Edgecombe (14.6 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 3.3 APG), G Robert Wright III (12.8 PPG, 2.3 RPG, 4.6 APG) and G Jeremy Roach (10.8 PPG, 3.3 APG), with VCU Transfer G Jayden Nunn (9.1 PPG, 2.9 RPG), G Langston Love (9.1 PPG, 2.9 RPG), G Jalen Celestine (8.0 PPG, 3.2 RPG), and F Josh Ojanwuna (7.4 PPG, 6.4 RPG) also extremely for the Bears and 21-year Head Coach Scott Drew. Last season, Baylor went 24-11 (11-7 in the Big 12) and made it to March Madness where they hammered Colgate in the First Round (92-67) before being bounced by Clemson in the Second Round (84-72). The Bears average 79.1 PPG (#68) while giving up 69.9 PPG and average 36.1 RPG (#162) and 15.3 APG (#90).

Baylor Betting Trends

• Baylor has alternated Wins and Losses in its last 7 games (WLWLWLW)
• The Over is 3-0-0 in the Bears last 3 games 
• Baylor is an impressive 12-1 at Home but a weak 2-7 SU on the Road
• The Bears went 20-12-0 ATS last 2023-24 NCAAB season (62.5%)
• The Over is 7-3-0 in the Bears last 10 games overall

Arizona vs Baylor Prediction

With Arizona just joining the Big 12 Conference after being a Pac-12 Conference powerhouse for so long, there isn’t a great body of work between these two, but the Bears are 2-1 SU/ATS in the last 3 series meetings, although the Wildcats won the first-ever meeting between the schools last month in Tucson by 11 (81-70), getting the butter as 5.5-Point Home Favorites in a game that went Over the closing Total (148.5), by just 2.5 points. Although the Unranked Home Favorite can be a powerful thing, it has bit me in the ass the last 2 times in this corner of Cyberspace so I am done blindly backing UHF’s like they are ATM’s because they are not. This Arizona vs Baylor NCAAB pick will instead look to the Totals market and like the Duke-Virginia game that precedes this on ESPN, choose to back the Over. The Over is 4-2-0 in Zona’s last 6 games and the Over is 7-3-0 in Baylor’s last 10 and these two teams can both score and run the court.

Kevin’s Prediction: Arizona-Baylor Over 151 (Caesars)

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