Iowa vs Maryland Prediction

Iowa vs Maryland Game Information

What:	Iowa vs Maryland 2/16/2025 College Basketball Picks
When:	Sunday, February 16, 2025 at 5:00 EST/2:00 PST
Where:	XFINITY Center, College Park, Maryland
Iowa vs Maryland Line:	Maryland -7
Total:	154
TV:	FS1

Iowa vs Maryland Preview

No. 25 Maryland (19-6, 9-5 in Big Ten) welcomes Iowa (14-10, 5-8 in Big Ten) to the XFINITY Center in College Park on Sunday for this Big Ten Conference affair. In their last 5 games, the Hawkeyes are 2-3, winning vs Penn State by 1 (76-75), losing 3 straight to Ohio State by 17 (82-65), vs Purdue by 9 (90-81), and vs Wisconsin by 11 (74-63), before beating Rutgers by 11 (78-75). In their last 5, the Terrapins are 4-1, winning at Indiana by 1 (79-78) and vs Wisconsin by 8 (76-68), losing at Ohio State by 3 (73-70), and then winning vs Rutgers by 9 (90-81) and at Nebraska by 8 (83-75).

 

 

 

Futures Book Look: Online sportsbook DraftKings currently has Maryland priced at 65/1 to capture the 2025 NCAA Basketball Tournament with Iowa longshots at 250/1. Duke (+390), Auburn (+390), Houston (+850), Alabama (+950), Florida (11/1), Iowa State (15/1), Tennessee (17/1), Purdue (30/1) and St. John’s (30/1) are the other top Favorites to win the NCAAB championship. The 2025 NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Tournament tips off on March 19-20 with the First Four with the First Round starting on March 21-22. The Final Four will be on Saturday, April 5 at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas with the Championship Game on Monday, April 7.

Iowa’s Tournament Berth Chances Slowly Fading

Iowa (10-14-0 ATS, 13-11-1 O/U) is feeling the pressure of the former Pac-12 schools (UCLA, USC, Oregon, Washington) joining this more-than-deep Power 4 conference, and having a Record strong enough to make the Big Dance annually may be in the rearview window. The Hawkeyes (+500 Moneyline) are led by F Owen Freeman (16.7 PPG, 6.7 RPG), F Payton Sandfort (16.1 PPG, 5.8 RPG, 2.9 APG), G Josh Dix (14.4 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 2.8 APG, G Drew Thelwell (10.5 PPG, 2.4 RPG, 3.0 APG), G Brock Harding (8.9 PPG, 2.1 RPG, 5.6 APG), F Pryce Sandfort (8.4 PPG, 2.6 RPG)—brother of Payton—and F Seydou Traore (6.2 PPG, 3.1 RPG). Iowa currently ranks No. 12 in D-I in Points Per Game (84.5) while allowing 78.6 PPG, are No. 371 in Rebounds Per Game (32.3), and are an impressive No. 5 in Assists Per Game (18.8).

Iowa Betting Trends

• Iowa is 4-6 SU in its last 10 games
• The Under is 5-1-0 in the Hawkeyes last 6 games overall
• The Hawkeyes are 3-7-0 ATS in their 10 games overall
• Iowa is 1-7-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall
• The Hawkeyes are 1-5 on the Road and a 11-4 at Home (Win was last game at RUT)

Maryland is Now an Impressive 14-1 SU at Home

Maryland (13-12-0 ATS,15-9-1 O/U) has been extremely impressive this year with a great Starting 5, Scoring Margin and ability to protect the Homecourt. The Terrapins (-700 Moneyline) Starting 5 is C Derik Queen (15.9 PPG, 8.6 RPG, 2.1 APG), G Ja’Kobi Gillespie (14.3 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 4.7 APG), F Julian Reese (13.7 PPG, 9.1 RPG), G Rodney Rice (13.2 PPG, 2.3 RPG) and G Selton Miguel (11.8 PPG) with Georgia Tech Transfer F Tafara Gaspare (4.5 PPG, 2.5 RPG) the team’s only other real contributor, so Bench scoring isn’t a quality this team possesses. Maryland averages 82.8 PPG (#21) and allow just 66.8 PPG with 36.9 Rebounds Per Game (Tied-#128) and 15.0 Assists Per Game (Tied-#106). The 16.0 Scoring Margin for Maryland is No. 6 behind Duke, Houston, Florida, Auburn, and Gonzaga, Saturday’s Bracketology by ESPN’s Joe Lunardi has the Terps as a No. 6 seed.

Maryland Betting Trends

• Maryland is 5-5-0 ATS in its last 10 games overall
• The Terrapins are 14-1 at Home this 2024-25 NCAAB season, 3-5 on Road
• Maryland was 13-20 ATS in the 2023-24 NCAAB season (39.4 %)
• Maryland is 2-0-0 SU/ATS in its last 2 meetings vs Iowa
• The Terrapins are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games overall

Iowa vs Maryland Prediction

Looking at the last 10 series meetings, we find that both teams have won 5 times, with the Terrapins 6-4-0 ATS, and winning the last 2 meetings (by 12 and 2 points). The Over/Under is also 5-5-0 with 3 consecutive Unders but 4 Overs in the 5 meetings at College Park (Under in the last meeting). This Iowa vs Maryland NCAAB pick will lean slightly to an Over. with Iowa’s last game seeing 157 points with Maryland’s last 2 having seen 171 and 158, so this one should be high-scoring with the Dribbling Turtles so good at Home and visiting Iowa having nothing to lose and able to put the ball in the bucket.

 

Kevin’s Prediction: Iowa-Maryland Over 154

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