Xavier v Providence Prediction

Xavier vs Providence Game Information

Xavier vs Providence Preview

Providence (11-13, 5-8 in Big East) welcomes Xavier (14-10, 6-7 in Big East) to the Amica Mutual Pavilion, Providence on Wednesday night for this Big East battle. In their last 5 games, the Musketeers are 2-3, losing at St. John’s by 8 in OT (79-71), beating two-time defending national champions Connecticut by 4 (76-72), losing at Creighton by 9 (86-77), topping Georgetown by 5 (74-69), before losing at Villanova by 12 in their last game (80-68). In their last 5 games, the Friars are also 2-3, beating Georgetown by 8 (76-68) and Seton Hall by 2 (69-67) and then losing their last 3 in a row to St. John’s by 2 (68-66), Creighton by 11 (80-69), and at Butler by 1 (82-81).

Futures Book Look: Online sportsbook DraftKings currently has Xavier at 150/1 to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball Tournament with Providence at 500/1 monster longshots. Auburn (4/1) and Duke (4/1) are co-Favorites to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball Championship followed by Alabama (9/1), Houston (12/1) Florida (13/1), Tennessee (14/1), Iowa State (18/1) and Purdue (28/1). The NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Tournament 1 will tip off on March 19-20 with the First Four with the First Round getting underway on March 21-22. The Final Four will be held on Saturday, April 5 with the Championship Game on Monday, April 7 at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas.

Xavier Still Looking to Get Off the Big Dance Bubble

Xavier (12-12-0 ATS, 10-13-1 O/U) is still fighting to get into the 2025 NCAA Tournament, and in the latest Bracketology, Joe Lunardi from ESPN has the Musketeers as one of the Next Four Out—along with Pitt, San Diego, and Boise State. Veteran Head Coach Sean Miller and the Musketeers are led by F Zach Freemantle (16.6 PPG, 7.0 RPG, 234 APG), G Ryan Conwell (15.5 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 2.4 APG), G Dailyn Swain (10.0 PPG, 5.1 RPG, 2.3 APG), G Dayvlon McKnight (9.9 PPG, 2.5 RPG, 4.5 APG), G Marcus Foster (8.4 PPG, 4.9 RPG), F Jerome Hunter (5.7 PPG, 3.5 RPG), and G Dante Maddox Jr. (6.6 PPG, 2.3 RPG). Xavier didn’t make the 2024 NCAA Tournament and Xavier was eliminated in the 2024 NIT in the First Round by Georgia (78-76). The Musketeers (-130 Moneyline) average 76.5 PPG (#124) and allow 70.5 PPG with an average of 16.4 Assists Per Game (#45) and 33.9 Rebounds Per Game (#310). Xavier is just 2-7 on the Road (11-2 at Home) this year and really needs this game.

Xavier Betting Trends

• Xavier is 1-3-0 ATS in its last 4 games overall
• The Musketeers are 5-5 SU in their last 10 games
• The Over is 5-0-0 in the last 5 Xavier games
• Xavier went 16-18-0 ATS in the 2023-24 NCAAB season (47.1%)
• The Musketeers are 2-4-0 ATS in their last 6 Road games

Providence Looks to Snap 3-Game Losing Streak

Providence (12-12-0 ATS, 13-10-1 O/U) is led by F Bryce Hopkins (17.0 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 3.0 APG), G Jayden Pierre (12.8 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 3.2 APG), G Bensley Joseph (12.3 PPG, 3.8 RPG,, 2.9 APG), G Corey Floyd Jr. (9.4 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 2.0 APG), G Wesley Cardet Jr. (9.3 PPG, 3.5 RPG), and G Jabari Abdur-Rahim (7.2 PPG, 2.6 RPG). With two 3-game Losing Streaks and a 5-game Losing Streak already and Losses to some average teams, Head Coach Kim English has his work cut out for him in Little Rhoddy. The Friars average 71.9 PPG (#264) while giving up 70.3 PPG and average 38.0 RPG (#81) and 12.5 APG (Tied-#310). Providence (+110 Moneyline) went 10-10 in the Big East last season (21-14 overall) and 4-7 on the Road and are 9-3 at Home and 2-6 on the Road this time around.

Providence Betting Trends

• Providence is 4-6 SU over its last 10 games overall 
• The Over is 9-1-0 in the last 10 Friars games
• Providence 0-3 SU in its last 3 games
• The Friars were 19-15-1 ATS in the 2023-24 NCAAB season (55.9%)
• Providence is 3-7-0 AT its last 10 vs Xavier

Xavier vs Providence Prediction

In the last 10 series meetings, both teams have won 5 times with Xavier going 7-3-0 ATS, although Providence won SU and covered ATS the last meeting (at Xavier) by a 79-75 Final Score. The Over is a profitable 7-3-0 in the last 10 meetings, winning 4 of the last 5 and the last 5 in a row at Providence. With that in mind, this Xavier vs Providence NCAAB pick will predict another Over with 5 straight in the series at Amica Mutual Pavilion and the Over 9-1-0 in the last 10 Friars games. Neither team here has anything to lose and Xavier will be desperate for the Win to climb from the Last Four Out to the First Four Out category for the NCAA Tournament. A Loss here will put a nice dent in their chance to make the Big Dance.

Kevin’s Prediction: Xavier-Providence Over 147.5

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