Iowa State Cyclones vs. Texas Longhorns 2/6/24

Iowa State vs Central Florida 2/11/2025 College Basketball Picks

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Iowa State vs Central Florida Prediction

Iowa State vs Central Florida Game Information

What: Iowa State vs Central Florida 2/11/2025 College Basketball Picks
When: Tuesday, February 11, 2025 at 7:00 EST/4:00 PST
Where: Addition Financial Arena, Orlando, Florida
Iowa State vs Central Florida Line: Iowa State -7.5
Total: 155.5
TV: ESPN+

Iowa State vs Central Florida Preview

No. 8 Iowa State (18-5, 8-4 in Big 12) heads to Orlando to face Central Florida (13-10, 4-8 in Big 12) at Addition Financial Arena for this Big 12 Conference game on Tuesday night. In their last 5 games, the Cyclones are just 2-3, beating Arizona State by 15 (76-51), losing at Arizona in OT by 11 (86-75), losing vs Kansas State by 19 (80-61), losing at Kansas by 17 (69-52), before beating TCU by 30 at Home on Saturday (82-52). In their last 5, the Knights are 1-4, beating TCU by 27 (85-58), and then losing their next 4 to Kansas by 4 (91-87), vs BYU by 6 (81-75), vs Cincinnati by 10 (93-83), and at Baylor by 15 (91-76).

 

Futures Book Look: Online sportsbook DraftKings currently has Iowa State at 17/1 to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball Championship with UCF priced at 400/1. Auburn and Duke are now co-Favorites (4/1) in the Big Dance followed by Alabama (9/1), Houston (12/1), Florida (13/1), and Tennessee (14/1). The NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Tournament will tip off on March 19-20 with the First Four with the First Round getting underway on March 21-22. The Final Four will be held on Saturday, April 5 with the Championship Game on Monday, April 7 at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas.

Iowa State Very Glad to Have Momcilovic Back Now

Iowa State (13-10-0 ATS, 10-13-0 O/U) snapped a 3-game Losing Streak with its romp over TCU on Saturday, and the Cyclones welcomed back Milan Momcilovic from a (non-shooting) Hand injury and he delivered with 14 points. Iowa State was in line for a No. 1 seed in the 2025 NCAA Tournament but after this recent 2-3 run, the Cyclones are now a projected No. 3 seed in the fresh Bracketology by Joe Lunardi on ESPN. Head Coach TJ Otzelberger and Iowa State are led by G Curtis Jones (17.7 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 2.2 APG), G Keshon Gilbert (14.7 PPG, 3.6 RPG, 4.5 APG), F Joshua Jefferson (12.8 PPG, 8.0 RPG, 2.7 APG), F Momcilovic (10.6 PPG, 3.4 RPG), G Tamin Lipsey (10.4 PPG, 2.4 RPG, 2.9 APG), and C Dishon Jackson (9.1 PPG, 5.1 RPG). The Cyclones (-310 Moneyline) are averaging a healthy 81.7 PPG (#28) while allowing 67.0 PPG and Iowa State ranks tied for No. 107 in Assists Per Game (15.0) and is No. 138 in Rebounds (36.8).

Iowa State Betting Trends

  • The Cyclones are 6-4-0 SU/ATS in their last 10 games overall
  • Iowa State went 25-11-0 ATS last 2023-24 NCAAB season (69.4%)
  • The Under is 7-3-0 in the Cyclones last 10 games
  • The Cyclones are 1-3-0 SU/ATS in their last 4 Road games
  • Iowa State went 17-20-0 in the Totals market last season
  • The Under is 3-0-0 in the last 3 Iowa State games

UCF is Still in First Four Out in Latest Bracketology 

ESPN College Hoops guru Joe Lunardi has Central Florida (11-12-0 ATS, 14-7-2 O/U) still listed as one of the First Four Out in his latest Bracketology, so a Win here vs ranked Iowa State would do wonders for the Knights while a Loss might knock them back to the Next Four Our category. UCF is led by G Keyshawn Hall (18.3 PPG, 6.9 RPG. 2.5 APG), G Darius Johnson (14.9 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 4.2 APG), G Jordan Ivy-Curry (14.1 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 2.5 APG), C Moustapha Thiam (10.2 PPG, 5.3 RPG), G Dailan Coleman (6.1 PPG, 4.6 RPG), G Jaylin Sellers (6.0 PPG), F JJ Taylor (4.8 PPG, 2.6 RPG), and F Benny Williams (4.5 PPG, 2.4 RPG). The Knights are currently averaging 79.6 PPG (Tied-#60) and allowing 79.9 PPG heading in here and average 36.7 RPG (Tied-#142) and 14.4 APG (Tied-#143). Central Florida (+250 Moneyline) is a respectable 10-4 at Home this season.

Central Florida Betting Trends

  • Central Florida is 3-7-0 SU in its last 10 games overall
  • The Knights are 0-3-0 ATS in their last 3 games
  • The Over is 3-0-1 in UCF’s last 4 games overall
  • Central Florida is 0-4- SU in its last 4 games
  • UCF is 15-7 on the First Half Moneyline at Home last 22 (+9.55 Units, 12% ROI)

Iowa State vs Central Florida Prediction

With UCF just joining the Big 12 Conference, there have only been 2 meetings between these schools recently, with Iowa State winning and covering ATS in both. Earlier this 2024-25 NCAA Basketball Regular Season, the Cyclones dusted off the Knights by 25 in Ames (108-83), easily covering the 16-Point Spread as Home Favorites in a game that went Over the closing Total of 155 by 36 points. They also played in this building at the end of the last Big 12 Regular Season, with Iowa State winning by 8 (80-72) in a game that saw them go off as 3.5-Point Road Favorites with that one going Under the lower Total of 132 by 20 points. With Momcilovic back in the starting 5 and the Cyclones having that success vs UCF, this Iowa State vs Central Florida NCAAB pick will lay the lumber on the Road even though this is a huge game for the Knights. The pressure is on now and they may play a good First half, but after 40 minutes my prediction is that they will lose by around 10.

 

Kevin’s Prediction: Iowa State -7.5

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