Xavier vs Villanova Prediction
Xavier vs Villanova Game Information
What: | Xavier vs Villanova 2/9/2025 College Basketball Picks |
When: | Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 12:00 EST/9:00 PST |
Where: | Finneran Pavilion, Villanova, Pennsylvania |
Xavier vs Villanova Line: | Villanova -3.5 |
Total: | 141.5 |
TV: | FS1 |
Xavier vs Villanova Preview
Xavier (14-9, 6-6 in Big East) squares off with Villanova (13-10, 6-6 in Big East) at the Finneran Pavilion in Villanova in a Big East Conference showdown on Sunday afternoon between two schools fighting desperately to make the NCAA Tournament. In their last 5 games, the Musketeers are 3-2, winning at Marquette by 2 (59-57), losing at Saint John’s by 8 in OT (79-71), knocking off 2-time defending national champions Connecticut by 4 (76-72), losing at Creighton by 9 (86-77), and winning vs Georgetown by 5 (74-69), In their last 5 games, the Wildcats are 2-3, beating Providence by 2 (75-73), losing 3 straight to Georgetown by 1 (64-63), Marquette by 14 (87-74), and vs Creighton by 2 (62-60), before beating De Paul by 10 in their last game (59-49),
Futures Book Look: Online sportsbook DraftKings currently has Xavier priced at 150/1 to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball Championship with Villanova at 200/1. Auburn is still the top Futures Favorite (+370) in the Big Dance followed by Duke (+380), Houston (10/1), Iowa State (16/1) and Tennessee (18/1). The Men’s Tournament tips off on March 19-20 with the First Four with the First Round getting underway on March 21-22. The Final Four will be on April 5 with the Championship Game on Monday, April 7 at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas.
Xavier Looking to Get Off of the Big Dance Bubble
Xavier (12-11-0 ATS, 9-13-1 O/U) is looking to get into the NCAA Tournament, and right now Joe Lunardi from ESPN has the Musketeers as one of the First Four Out—along with Arkansas, SMU, and UCF—in the latest (Saturday morning) Bracketology. Esteemed Head Coach Sean Miller and the Musketeers are led by F Zach Freemantle (16.5 PPG, 7.2 RPG, 2.4 APG), G Ryan Conwell (16.0 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 2.3 APG), G Dailyn Swain (10.3 PPG, 5.1 RPG, 2.3 APG), G Dayvlon McKnight (9.9 PPG, 2.5 RPG, 4.6 APG), G Marcus Foster (8.3 PPG, 4.9 RPG), F Jerome Hunter (6.0 PPG, 3.6 RPG), and G Dante Maddox Jr. (5.8 PPG).
Xavier didn’t make the 2024 NCAA Tournament and the Musketeers were eliminated in the 2024 NIT in the First Round by Georgia (78-76). The Musketeers (+136 Moneyline) average 76.8 PPG (#115) and allow 70.1 PPG with an average of 16.5 Assists Per Game (#45) and 34.1 Rebounds Per Game (#300). Xavier is just 2-6 on the Road this year and needs this one.
Xavier Betting Trends
- Xavier is 1-3-0 ATS in its last 4 games overall
- The Musketeers are 6-4 SU in their last 10 games
- The Over is 4-0 in the last 4 Xavier games
- The Under is 24-15 in the Musketeers last 39 games
- Xavier went 16-18-0 ATS in the 2023-24 NCAAB season (47.1%)
- The Musketeers are 4-2-0 ATS in their last 6 Road games
Villanova 10-3 at Home But Still Struggling Overall
Villanova (11-12-0 ATS, 14-9-0 O/U) is led in scoring this season by stud F Eric Dixon (23.8 PPG, 5.2 RPG, 2.1 APG), G Wooga Poplar (14.0 PPG, 6.3 RPG), G Jordan Longino (11.6 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 2.2 APG), G Jhamir Brickus (10.3 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 5.4 APG), G Tyler Perkins (6.1 PPG, 3.7 RPG), and F Enoch Boakye (3.9 PPG, 6.5 RPG) but the Wildcats scoring ability really drops off after the Starting 5 guys and Villanova could really use some additional Bench Scoring (12.4 PPG, #346). The Wildcats average 75.3 PPG (Tied-#163) and allow 67.6 PPG and average 35.0 RPG (Tied-#246) and 13.1 APG (Tied-#269), so this isn’t the same strong Villanova team we all grew up with.
Villanova Betting Trends
- Villanova is 1-5-0 ATS in the its last 6 games
- The Under is 3-1-0 in Villanova’s last 4 games overall
- Villanova 11-3 SU at Home this 2024-25 NCAAB season, 2-5 on the Road
- The Wildcats are 7-3 SU the last 10 vs Xavier
- The Under is 8-2-0 in the last 10 series meetings
- The Under is 4-0-0 in the last 4 series meetings
Xavier vs Villanova Prediction
In the last 10 meetings in this series, Villanova has gone 7-3, but has lost the last 2 after winning the 7 of the previous 8 times. The Totals market is the real story for NCAAB bettors, with the Under a profitable 8-2-0, winning the last 4 in a row and by some considerable margins (5, 40.5, 11.5, 20). So with that in mind, this Xavier vs Villanova NCAAB pick will head to the Totals market and predict another Under in this series. The Under is 3-1-0 in the last 4 played at Villanova (-164 Moneyline).
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Kevin’s Prediction: Xavier-Villanova Under 141.5
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