Saint Mary's Gaels vs Gonzaga Bulldogs 3-8-22

Saint Mary’s vs San Francisco 2/6/2025 College Basketball Picks

by

Saint Mary’s vs San Francisco Prediction

Saint Mary’s vs San Francisco Game Information

What: Saint Mary’s vs San Francisco 2/6/2025 College Basketball Picks
When: Thursday, February 6, 2025 at 9:00 EST/6:00 PST
Where: The Sobrato Center, San Francisco
Saint Mary’s vs USF Line: Saint Mary’s -6.5
Total: 131.5
TV: ESPN2, ESPN+  

Saint Mary’s vs San Francisco Preview

Saint Mary’s (20-3, 10-0 in WCC) heads to San Francisco (18-6, 8-3 in WCC) and The Sobrato Center on Thursday night for this pivotal West Coast Conference clash. In their last 5 games, the Gaels are 5-0, salting Pepperdine by 24 (74-50), trouncing this San Francisco side by 20 (71-51), winning by at new conference members Washington State by 5 (80-75), beating Santa Clara by 13 (67-54), and knocking off rivals Gonzaga by 4 (62-58). In their last 5, the Dons are 4-1, topping Pepperdine by 17 (80-63), beating Oregon State by 11 (81-70), losing at Saint Mary’s by 20 (71-51), topping San Diego by 12 (81-69), and rolling over Washington State by 24 in their last game (75-51).

 

 

 

Futures Book Look: Online sportsbook DraftKings currently has Saint Mary’s priced at 80/1 with San Francisco at  500/1 to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball Championship. Auburn (+370), Duke (+380), Houston (9/1), Alabama (11/1), Iowa State (15/1), and Tennessee (18/1) are the top 6 schools in this Futures betting market.

Saint Mary’s Running Away With the WCC

Saint Mary’s (11-11-0 ATS, 10-11-1 O/U) has always had to fight Gonzaga for the WCC Regular Season crown, but this year, it has been all Gaels after they bopped the Zags last game, handing them their 3rd Loss and essentially winning the league in early February. Only freakish Losses to San Francisco and the next meeting with Gonzaga could stop Saint Mary’s from winning the WCC and that isn’t going to happen. DK has the Gaels at -900 to win the WCC with Gonzaga at +650. Saint Mary’s returned WCC Player of the Year Augustus Marciulionis (13.4 PPG, 2.4 RPG, 5.8 APG, 1.1 SPG) and this team were the third best team in Points Allowed on a Per Possession Basis last season, so Defense is this team’s bread and butter. Top rebounder Mitchell Saxen (10.4 PPG, 7.9 RPG), Luke Barrett (10.3 PPG, 6.8 RPG), and 7-1 Harry Wessels (4.0 PPG, 2.7 RPG) also return and the Gaels also welcome Transfer Ashton Hardaway (Memphis)—the son of Penny Hardaway—and talented Freshmen Liam Campbell (ranked No. 166 by 247 Sports) and Mikey Williams (No. 126) and have received great support from F Paulius Murauskas (13.1 PPG, 8.9 RPG).

Saint Mary’s Betting Trends

  • Saint Mary’s was the #1 team in Rebound Rate in Division I last year
  • The Gaels went 18-15-0 ATS in 2023-24
  • Saint Mary’s First Half Moneyline is 27-5 the last 32 (+18.45 Units, 8% ROI)
  • The Gaels are 8-1-0 ATS in their last 9 games
  • The Under is 4-1-0 in Saint Mary’s last 5 games
  • Saint Mary’s is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games overall
  • The Gaels are a perfect 6-0 on the Road this year

San Francisco Seeks Revenge After 20-Point Blowout

San Francisco (10-12-1 ATS, 11-12-0 O/U) got its lunch handed to them in the first meeting between these two this season, so the Dons will do what they can to protect the Homecourt and try to hand Saint Mary’s (-255 Moneyline) its first Loss in the WCC. San Francisco has a nice nucleus in G Malik Thomas (19.7 PPG, 3.6 RPG, 2.3 APG), G Marcus Williams (14.1 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 4.4 APG), G Tyrone Riley IV (9.9 PPG, 5.3 RPG), C Carlton Linguard Jr. (8.5 PPG, 4.2 RPG), F Ndewedo Newbury (8.4 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 2.6 APG), G Ryan Beasley (6.8 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 2.3 APG, and F Junjie Wang (6.4 PPG, 2.9 RPG) and last year, the Dons (+205 Moneyline) went an impressive 23-11 SU and 19-14 ATS. The Dons average 76.0 PPG (#140) and allow 67.0 PPG (+9.0 PPG PD) and average 35.3 RPG (#228) and 14.3 APG (#155).

San Francisco Betting Trends

  • San Francisco is 7-3-0 SU in its last 10 games overall
  • The Dons are 3-7-0 ATS their last 10 games 
  • San Francisco is a perfect 14-0 at Home this season
  • The Dons have played no ranked teams yet this season 
  • The Under is 4-2-0 in the last 6 San Francisco games

Saint Mary’s vs San Francisco Prediction

In the last 10 meetings in this series, Saint Mary’s has gone a dominating 10-0 with the Over/Under 6-4-0 over that span with 6 Overs in the last 8 times. The Gaels have also been a money-maker vs San Francisco, going 8-2-0 ATS and covering the Point  Spread in the last 5 here at The Sobrato Center in The City By The Bay. In the 20-point blowout on January 23 (71-51), Saint Mary’s shot 62% from the Field (32-for-52) and outscored SF by 8 in the First Half and by 12 in the Second Half. This Saint Mary’s vs San Francisco NCAAB pick will respect the series Trend and predict the Road Favorites will win by 8 to 12 points and hand the 2nd-place Dons their first Home Loss of the 2024-25 NCAAB Basketball season.

Kevin’s Prediction: Saint Mary’s -6.5

Want to see when the 25+ Tony’s Picks Handicappers really like a game? Get the “CONSENSUS REPORT” https://members.tonyspicks.com/consensus-report/view