Missouri vs Tennessee Prediction
Missouri vs Tennessee Game Information
What: | Missouri vs Tennessee 2/5/2025 College Basketball Picks |
When: | Wednesday, February 5, 2025 at 7:00 EST/4:00 PST |
Where: | Food City Center, Knoxville, Tennessee |
Missouri vs Tennessee Line: | Tennessee -9.5 |
Total: | 133.5 |
TV: | SEC Network |
Missouri vs Tennessee Preview
No. 15 Missouri (17-4, 6-2 in SEC) heads to Rocky Top to face No. 4 Tennessee (18-4, 5-4 in SEC) in Knoxville on Wednesday night. In their last 5 games, the Tigers have gone 4-1, beating Florida by 1 (83-82), topping Arkansas by 18 (83-65), losing at Texas by 8 (61-53), and then beating Ole Miss by 8 (83-75), and Mississippi State by 27 (88-61). In their last 5 games, the Volunteers lost to rivals Vanderbilt by 1 (76-75), beating Mississippi State by 12 (68-56), losing to No. 1 Auburn by 2 (53-51), falling to Kentucky by 5 (78-73), and then topping Florida by 20 (64-44).
Futures Book Look: Online sportsbook DraftKings has Tennessee priced at 18/1 and Missouri at 70/1 to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball Championship. Auburn (+370), Duke (+380), Houston (9/1), Alabama (11/1), Iowa State (15/1), and Tennessee (18/1) are the top 6 in this market.
Missouri Looking For a Big Upset in Knoxville
Missouri (12-9-0 ATS, 11-10-0 O/U) has been a nice surprise this season and the Tigers (+325 Moneyline) 4 Losses have come against very good programs in Memphis (in the season opener), Illinois, then-No. 2 and now-No. 1 Auburn, and Texas. Mizzou is led by G Tamar Bates (13. 5 PPG, 3.0 RPG), G Caleb Grill (13.2 PPG, 3.3 RPG), G Mark Mitchell (12.8 PPG, 4.8 RPG), G Anthony Robinson II (9.9 PPG, 3.6 RPG, 3.6 APG), G Trent Pierce (8.4 PPG, 3.5 RPG), G Tony Perkins (7.7 PPG, 2.3 RPG, 2.4 APG), and G Marques Warrick (7.1 PPG). The Tigers rank No. 4 in the nation in Bench Points (36.9 PPG), are No. 17 in Points Per Game (83.4) while allowing 68.6 PPG, are No. 190 in Assists Per Game (14.0) and are tied for No. 244 in Rebounds Per Game (35.1).
Missouri Betting Trends
- Missouri is 7-3-0 SU/ATS in its last 10 overall
- The Over is 2-0-0 in Mizzou’s last 2 games
- The Tigers are 7-1-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall
- Missouri is 3-0-0 ATS the last 3 vs Tennessee
- The Tigers are 8-2-0 ATS in their last 10 games
- Missouri is a perfect 15-0 at Home this season
Tennessee Looks For 13th Win at Home Wednesday
Head Coach Rick Barnes and Tennessee (13-8-1 ATS, 8-14-0 O/U) are led by G Chaz Lanier (17.9 PPG, 3.2 RPG), G Zakai Zeigler (12.3 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 7.4 APG), G Jordan Gainey (11.0 PPG, 3.3 RPG), F Igor Milicic Jr. (10.4 PPG, 8.1 RPG, 2.1 APG), F Felix Okpara (7.4 PPG, 6.6 RPG), G Jahmal Mashack (6.0 PPG, 4.0 RPG), F Cade Phillips (5.4 PPG, 3.7 RPG), G Cameron Carr (4.8 PPG), F JP Estrella (4.7 PPG, 2.7 RPG), and G Darlinstone Dunbar (3.9 PPG, 2.7 RPG). Tennessee (-425 Moneyline) averages 74.5 PPG (Tied-#190) while allowing just 58.6 PPG, and averages 38.6 RPG (#57) and 15.6 APG (Tied-#79).
Tennessee Betting Trends
- Tennessee is 6-4 SU over its last 10 games overall
- Tennessee was 18-17-1 ATS last 2023-24 NCAAB season
- The Volunteers are 28-7 SU in their last 35 games overall
- Tennessee Team Total Under is 24-13 the last 37 (+9.10 Units, 22% ROI)
- Volunteers are 12-1 at Home (Lone loss Kentucky)
Missouri vs Tennessee Prediction
In the last 10 series meetings, Tennessee has gone 6-4 SU and 6-4-0 ATS with the Over also 6-4-0 in the last 10 meetings. Missouri has won 2 of the last 3 games outright—both as big Underdogs (+12, +5.5)—and the Tigers have won the last 3 ATS. The Over is 4-1-0 in the last 5 but the Under cashed in the last meeting, a 72-67 Tennessee Win at Columbia last February in a game that went Under the closing Total of 149 by 10 points. This Missouri vs Tennessee NCAAB pick will back the Road Underdogs and take the points with the Tigers already having some big upsets on its résumé (No. 1 Kansas, No. 5 Florida, No. 16 Ole Miss, No. 14 Mississippi State) with the Florida and Ole Miss victories both on the Road. This team possesses one of the best Benches (#4) in College Basketball and at these current 70/1 odds, is worth a look right now in the Big Dance.
Kevin’s Prediction: Missouri +9.5
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