Cincinnati vs Central Florida Prediction
Cincinnati vs Central Florida Game Information
What: | Cincinnati vs Central Florida 2/5/2025 College Basketball Picks |
When: | Wednesday, February 5, 2025 at 7:00 EST/4:00 PST |
Where: | Addition Financial Arena, Orlando, Florida |
Cincinnati vs Central Florida Line: | UCF -3.5 |
Total: | 144.5 |
TV: | CBSSN |
Cincinnati vs Central Florida Preview
Central Florida (13-8, 4-6 in Big 12) welcomes Cincinnati (13-8, 4-6 in Big 12) at the Addition Financial Arena in Orlando on Wednesday night. In their last 5 games, the Bearcats are 1-4, beating new conference members Arizona State by 7 (67-60) and then losing its last 4 to Texas Tech by 10 (81-71), at BYU by 28 (80-52), at new conference members Utah by 3 (69-66), and vs West Virginia by 13 (63-50). In their last 5, the Knights are also 1-4, losing vs Houston by 1 (69-68), at Iowa State by 25 (108-83), beating TCU by 27 (85-58), losing to Kansas by 4 (91-87) and falling to BYU by 6 (81-75).
Futures Book Look: Online sportsbook DraftKings has Cincinnati priced at 250/1 and UCF at 400/1 to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball Championship. Auburn (+370), Duke (+380), Houston (9/1), Alabama (11/1), Iowa State (15/1), and Tennessee (18/1) are the top 6 schools in this Futures betting market.
Cincinnati Riding a 12-1-0 Streak of Unders
Not too long ago Cincinnati (7-14-0 ATS, 3-18-0 O/U) was ranked in the Top 25, but now the Bearcats (+140 Moneyline) are really in a world of hurt and have lost 8 of their last 10 and now aren’t projected to make the NCAA Tournament come March. Cincinnati was ranked and 10-1 on December 22 and after a 3-7 Big 12 start, are 13-8 and now just hanging on for dear life. But no team has been a better Under team in the Totals market than Cincinnati with 18 Unders in 21 games (85.7%). The Bearcats have four players in double-digit scoring in G Simas Lukosius (12.0 PPG. 3.3 RPG, 2.4 APG), G Dan Skillings Jr. (10.5 PPG, 3.7 RPG), F Dillon Mitchell (10.3 PPG, 6.7 RPG), and G Jizzie James (10.3 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 3.9 APG), and solid support from guys like F Aziz Bandaogo (7.5 PPG, 5.8 RPG), G Day Day Thomas (7.2 PPG, 2.6 RPG, 2.2 APG), and F Arrinten Page (5.1 PPG, 3.2 RPG). Cincinnati averages 70.0 PPG (Tied-#300) while allowing 63.0 PPG (+7.0 PPG Point Differential), 14.0 Assists Per Game (Tied-#178) and 35.7 Rebounds Per Game (#200).
Cincinnati Betting Trends
- Cincinnati is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games overall
- The Under is 12-1-0 in the Bearcats last 13 games
- The Under is 8-0-0 in Cincinnati’s 8 Road games, 10-3-0 at Home
- Cincinnati went 19-18-0 ATS in the 2023-24 NCAAB season (51.4%)
- The Under is 18-3-0 in the Bearcats 21 games, the best Under team in D1
UCF Named First Team Out in Latest Bracketology
According to ESPN guru Joe Lunardi and his Bracketology, Central Florida (11-10-0 ATS, 12-7-2 O/U) is the First Team Out of the Big Dance right now, so the Knights (-165 Moneyline) need to win games like this to keep their hopes alive of playing in one of the best 4 tournaments in all sports (FIFA World, UEFA Champions League, CFP Playoffs). UCF is led by G Keyshawn Hall (18.1 PPG, 6.9 RPG. 2.5 APG), G Darius Johnson (14.8 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 4.1 APG), G Jordan Ivy-Curry (14.5 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 2.7 APG), C Moustapha Thiam (9.6 PPG, 5.3 RPG), G Dailan Coleman (6.4 PPG, 4.4 RPG), G Jaylin Sellers (6.0 PPG), F JJ Taylor (5.1 PPG, 2.6 RPG), and F Benny Williams (4.5 PPG, 2.6 RPG). The Knights are currently averaging 78.6 PPG (#65) and allowing 78.8 PPG heading in here and average 37.0 RPG (#137) and 14.7 APG (Tied-#135). Central Florida is 10-3 at Home this season.
Central Florida Betting Trends
- Central Florida is 4-6-0 SU in its last 10 games overall, 2-5 SU the last 7
- The Knights are 5-2-0 ATS in their last 7 games
- The Over is 4-1-1 in UCF’s last 6 games overall
- Central Florida is 1-2 in its last 3 at Home (Lost to HOU, BYU)
- UCF is 15-6 on the First Half Moneyline at Home last 21 (+11.05 Units, 14% ROI)
Cincinnati vs Central Florida Prediction
In the last 10 meetings in this series, Cincinnati is 6-4 SU with both teams 5-5-0 ATS with the Over 5-4-1 over that span. The Bearcats are 4-0-0 ATS and won and covered ATS the last 2 meetings in Orlando. This Cincinnati vs Central Florida NCAAB pick will back the Under because of the Bearcats 12-1-0 streak of Unders, 18-3-0 season mark of Unders and 8-0-0 mark in Cincinnati’s 8 Road games this campaign. With the Bearcats needing to win games like this to have any chance of making the Tournament and Central Florida currently pegged as the First Team Out, this one could be a low-scoring rock fight with both struggling to get off to a decent start in the first 10 minutes on Wednesday evening.
Kevin’s Prediction: Cincinnati-Central Florida Under 145 (Caesars)
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