Arkansas vs Texas 2/5/2025 College Basketball Picks

Arkansas vs Texas Prediction

Arkansas vs Texas Game Information

What: Arkansas vs Texas 2/5/2025 College Basketball Picks
When: Wednesday, February 5, 2025 at 9:00 EST/6:00 PST
Where: Moody Center, Austin, Texas 
Arkansas vs Texas Line: Texas -7.5
Total: 143.5
TV: ESPN2 

Arkansas vs Texas Preview

Texas (15-7, 4-5 in SEC) plays host to Arkansas (13-8, 2-6 in SEC) at the Moody Center in Austin on Wednesday night in a showdown of old Big 12 and Southwest Conference schools. In their last 5 games, the Razorbacks are 2-3, losing at LSU by 4 (78-74) and at Missouri by 18 (83-65), winning vs Georgia by 3 (68-65), falling to Oklahoma by 3 (65-62) and then upsetting Kentucky by 10 in their last game (89-79). In their last 5 games, the Longhorns are 3-2, losing at Florida by 24 (84-60), winning vs Missouri by 8 (61-53) and Texas A&M by 1 (70-69), losing at Mississippi by 3 (72-69), and then defeating LSU in Baton Rouge by 31 (89-58).

 

 

 

Futures Book Look: Online sportsbook DraftKings currently has Texas priced at 150/1 and Arkansas at 200/1 to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball Championship. Auburn (+370), Duke (+380), Houston (9/1), Alabama (11/1), Iowa State (15/1), and Tennessee  (18/1) are the top 6 schools in this Futures betting market.

Arkansas Struggling on Hardwood This Season 

Arkansas (6-14-1 ATS, 8-12-0 O/U) has beat (then) No. 14 Michigan and (then) No. 12 Kentucky in its last game, but the Razorbacks (+275 Moneyline) have had a very disappointing season and now sit in 14th place in the now 16-team SEC Conference. Arkansas has a fairly deep Roster and are led by F Adou Thiero (16.4 PPG, 6.3 RPG), G Boogie Fland (15.1 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 5.7 APG), G DJ Wagner (10.5 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 3.0 APG), G Johnell Davis (9.4 PPG, 3.6 RPG), F Zvonimir Ivisic (7.8 PPG, 3.8 RPG), Karter Knox (6.9 PPG, 3.0 RPG), F Trevon Brazille (6.3 PPG, 4.5 RPG), F Jonas Aidoo (5.6 PPG, 4.3 RPG), and F Billy Richmond III (4.3 PPG, 2.5 RPG). The Razorbacks currently average 76.8 PPG (#121) while allowing 68.6 PPG with 35.6 RPG (#209) and 14.7 APG (Tied-#135).

Arkansas Betting Trends

  • Arkansas is 2-6 SU/ATS in its last 8 games overall
  • The Under is 3-1-0 in the Razorbacks last 4 games
  • Arkansas is 3-7-0 ATS in its last 10 games overall
  • The Razorbacks are 19-13 on the Moneyline in their last 32 (+8.10 Units, 1% ROI)
  • Arkansas went 12-21-0 ATS in the 2023-24 NCAAB season (36.4%)
  • The Razorbacks are just 18-35-1 ATS in their last 54 games overall (40%)

Texas Still on Track to Make 2025 NCAA Tournament

Texas (13-8-1 ATS, 10-11-1 O/U) is a projected No. 9 seed in the latest Joe Lunardi Bracketology on ESPN, so unless the wheels fall off, the Longhorns (-350 Moneyline) should be in the Big Dance again next month. Texas is led by G Tre Johnson (19.0 PPG, 2,7 RPG, 2.3 APG), F Arthur Kaluma (13.6 PPG, 8.0 RPG, 2.0 APG), G Jordan Pope (11.6 PPG), G Tramon Mark (9.6 PPG, 3.5 RPG), F Kadin Shedrick (8.4 PPG, 6.2 RPG), G Chendall Weaver (6.7 PPG, 5.1 RPG), and G Julian Larry (5.0 RPG, 3.5 APG). The Longhorns (+200 Moneyline) average a healthy 78.9 PPG a game (#75) while allowing 66.2 PPG, and average 13.7 Assists Per Game (Tied-#210) and 35.5 Rebounds Per Game (Tied-#219).

Texas Betting Trends

  • Texas is 10-3 at Home, 3-3 on the Road
  • The Under is 4-1-0 in the Longhorns last 5 games
  • Texas is 3-0-1 ATS in its last 4 games
  • The Longhorns are 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall
  • Texas was 14-20-0 last 2023-24 NCAAB season (41.2%)

Arkansas vs Texas Prediction

These two teams haven’t played since 2018 and in the last 6 meetings in this series, Texas is 4-2 SU but the Razorbacks are 5-1-0 ATS with the Totals split at 3-3-0 over that span. The Razorbacks are 2-0-0 ATS and won and covered ATS the last 2 meetings both in Austin so this is a quirky season. The best idea here? Throw out the series Trends and handicap this from what both have been doing this season with both playing in the SEC now after the Longhorns joined along with Oklahoma. With the Longhorns so good at Home, 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 and 13-8-1 ATS this season, it’s tempting to predict a Texas ATS cover, but this Arkansas vs Texas NCAAB pick will avoid picking a Side back the Under. Why? The Under has cashed in 4 of the last 5 Longhorns games and the Under has also won in 3 of the last 4 Razorbacks games. Shop around for a 144.5 online (BetRivers) while they are still out there. Betting Unders are great because all games in all sports are Under until and unless they eventually go Over. Confucius?

Kevin’s Prediction: Arkansas-Texas Under 144.5

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