Michigan State vs UCLA Prediction
Michigan State vs UCLA Game Information
What: | Michigan State vs UCLA 2/4/2025 College Basketball Picks |
When: | Tuesday, February 4, 2025 at 10:00 EST/7:00 PST |
Where: | Pauley Pavilion, Los Angeles, California |
Michigan State vs UCLA Line: | UCLA -2.5 |
Total: | 140.5 |
TV: | Peacock |
Michigan State vs UCLA Preview
No. 9 Michigan State (18-3, 9-1 in Big Ten) heads west to Westwood to dribble with UCLA (16-6, 7-4 in Big Ten) at Pauley Pavilion in Los Angeles on Tuesday night in a Big Ten Conference showdown. In their last 5 games, the Spartans are 4-1, winning 4 straight vs Penn State by 5 (90-84), vs Illinois by 2 (80-78), at Rutgers by 7 (81-74), and vs Minnesota by 22 (73-51), before losing at USC by 6 (70-64). In their last 5 games, the Bruins are a perfect 5-0, beating Iowa by 24 (94-70), vs Wisconsin by 2 (85-83), at Washington by 5 (65-60), at USC by 6 (82-76), and vs Oregon by 26 (78-52) as an Unranked Home Favorite in a handicap we provided for you here.
Futures Book Look: Online sportsbook DraftKings has Michigan State at 35/1 to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball Championship with UCLA currently at 110/1. Auburn (+370), Duke (+380), Houston (9/1), Alabama (11/1), Iowa State (14/1), and Tennessee (18/1) are the top six in the updated Futures market. The Spartans are +165 and the Bruins at 45/1 to be the Regular Season winner in the conference.
Michigan State’s Lead in Big Ten Now Just 0.5 Game
Michigan State (13-8-0 ATS, O/U 8-13-0) was the only unbeaten team left in the Big Ten before the Spartans (+125 Moneyline) lost at USC on Saturday. Michigan State is led in scoring by G Jaden Adkins (13.5 PPG, 3.9 RPG), G Jase Richardson (9.6 PPG, 2.6 RPG, 2.1 APG), F Coen Carr (8.8 PPG, 3.6 RPG), G Tre Holloman (8.2 PPG, 3.7 APG), F Frankie Fidler (8.1 PPG, 3.5 RPG), G Jeremy Fears Jr. (7.8 PPG, 6.2 APG), F Jaxon Kohler (7.3 PPG, 7.6 RPG), F Xavier Booker (6.3 PPG, 2.9 RPG), and C Szymon Zapala (5.5 PPG, 4.5 RPG). The Spartans average 80.4 PPG (Tied-#48), allow 67.3 PPG, and average 40.5 Rebounds Per Game (#20) and 18.3 Assists Per Game (#10) under veteran Head Coach Tom Izzo. Sparty has won 13 of 14 games heading into this very tricky game on Tuesday evening.
Michigan State Betting Trends
- Michigan State is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games overall
- The Spartans are 6-4-0 ATS their last 10 games overall
- The Under is 7-3-0 in the last 10 Spartans games
- Michigan State went 19-15-1 in the 2024 NCAAB season (55.1%)
- The Spartans had been ATS Favorites in 9 of their last 10 games (OSU -2.5)
- Michigan State is a perfect 11-0 at Home at the Breslin Center
UCLA Unranked Home Favorites Once Again
UCLA (12-10-0 ATS, 9-13-0 O/U) will head in here again as an Unranked Home Favorite (UHF), a betting pattern many NCAAB (and NCAAF) bettors are very aware of and one that wins more than would be expected. The Bruins (-150 Moneyline) are led by Tyler Bilodeau (14.0 PPG, 4.7 RPG), G Eric Dailey Jr. (12.4 PPG, 4.3 RPG), G Sebastian Mack (10.0 PPG, 2.0 RPG), G Dylan Andrews (8.0 PPG, 2.9 APG), the electric G Kobe Johnson (8.0 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 3.0 APG), G Skyy Clark (7.1 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 2.8 APG), C Aday Mara (6.0 PPG, 3.8 RPG), and G Lazar Stefanovic (5.2 PPG). UCLA allows only 64.5 PPG and averages 76.0 PPG (Tied-#140) and averages 32.6 RPG (#362) and 15.8 APG (Tied-#70). The Bruins head in here on a nice 5-game Winning Streak and are currently projected by Joe Lunardi to make the NCAA Tournament as a No. 7 seed.
UCLA Betting Trends
- UCLA is 6-4-0 SU in its last 10 games overall
- The Over is 6-2-0 in the Bruins last 8 games
- UCLA is 3-6-0 ATS in its last 9 games overall
- The Over is 3-1-0 in the Bruins last 4 Home games
- UCLA is 11-1 SU at Home at Pauley Pavilion, 3-3 on the Road
- The Bruins are 2-0-0 ATS in their last 2 games vs Michigan State
Michigan State vs UCLA Prediction
In the last 5 series meetings, UCLA is 3-2 SU, covering ATS the last 2 with the Bruins winning the last meeting 88-81 in OT last season in the First Four of the 2024 NCAA Basketball Tournament at Mackey Arena on March 18. The Bruins went 3-1-1 in those 5 games, with the Over/Under 2-3-0. With that aforementioned Unranked Home Favorite (UHF) clicking 3 times last week—Arizona over #3 Iowa State, Maryland over #15 Wisconsin, and this UCLA side blasting #16 Oregon—this Michigan State vs UCLA NCAAB pick will back another UHF and the Bruins who are on a mini-roll. UCLA already has 4 Wins vs ranked opponents (Oregon 2x, Gonzaga, and Wisconsin). But expect the Bruins to possibly be ranked when the new Top 25 is released.
Kevin’s Prediction: UCLA -2.5
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