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Baylor vs Texas Tech 2/4/2025 College Basketball Picks

Baylor vs Texas Tech Prediction

Baylor vs Texas Tech Game Information

What: Baylor vs Texas Tech 2/4/2025 College Basketball Picks
When: Tuesday, February 4, 2025 at 9:00 EST/6:00 PST
Where: United Supermarkets Arena, Lubbock, Texas
Baylor vs Texas Tech Line: Texas Tech -8.5
Total: 140.5
TV: ESPN2

Baylor vs Texas Tech Preview

No. 13 Texas Tech (17-4, 8-2 in Big 12) welcomes Baylor (14-7, 8-2 in Big 12) to Lubbock in a Big 12 Conference clash on Tuesday night. In their last 5 games, the Bears are 3-2, losing vs TCU by 3 (74-71), winning vs Kansas State by 8 (70-62), winning at Utah by 15 (76-61), losing at BYU by 4 in OT (93-89), and upsetting Kansas by 11 on Saturday (81-70) after trailing by 19 points. In their last 5 games, the Red Raiders are a perfect 5-0, trouncing Arizona by 16 (70-54), winning at Cincinnati by 10 (81-71), also winning by 10 at Home to Oklahoma State (64-54), beating TCU by 14 (71-57), and edging Houston by 1 in OT (82-81).

 

Futures Book Look: Online sportsbook DraftKings has Baylor at 100/1 to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball Championship with Texas Tech currently at 30/1. Auburn (+370), Duke (+380), Houston (9/1), Alabama (11/1), Iowa State (14/1), and Tennessee (18/1) are the top six in the updated Futures market. The Bears are 150/1 and the Red Raiders are priced at 5/1 to be the Regular Season winners in the Big 12 Conference.

Baylor Has Played to 4 Overs in its Last 6 Games

Baylor (8-11-1 ATS, 12-8-0 O/U) went 24-11 (11-7 in the Big 12) and made it all the way to March Madness where they brushed Colgate in the First Round (92-67) before being ousted by Clemson in the Second Round (84-72). Twenty-one-year Head Coach Scott Drew and the Bears lost some key cogs from last year’s team to the NBA including Keyonte George (Jazz) and Adam Flagler (Thunder), while sparkplug LJ Cryer transferred to Houston, Dale Bonner transferred to Ohio State, and Jordan Turner transferred to Louisiana Tech. Baylor (-340 Moneyline) currently has 4 players scoring in double-digits in stud F Norchad Omier (15.4 PPG, 10.3 RPG), G VJ Edgecombe (14.9 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 3.2 APG), G Robert Wright III (13.0 PPG, 2.2 RPG, 4.9 APG) and G Jeremy Roach (11.9 PPG, 3.5 APG), with VCU Transfer G Jayden Nunn (9.7 PPG, 3.1 RPG) also very productive.

Baylor Betting Trends

  • Baylor has alternated 2 Overs and 2 Unders in its last 6 games (OOUUOO)
  • The Bears have 4 Losses to ranked teams (BAY, TENN, UCONN, IA STATE) 
  • Baylor is 2-0-1 ATS in its last 3 games overall after losing 4 ATS straight
  • The Bears went 20-12-0 ATS last 2023-24 NCAAB season (62.5%)
  • Baylor is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games vs Texas Tech

Texas Tech seeking its 7th Straight Win Overall

Texas Tech (12-9-0 ATS, 12-8-1 O/U) has been a pleasant surprise this season and ESPN’s Joe Lunardi has the Red Raiders ( -340 Moneyline) pegged as a No. 9 seed in the NCAA Basketball Tournament in his latest Bracketology crystal basketball. Texas Tech is led by F JT Toppin (15.4 PPG, 8.4 RPG), G Chance McMillan (15.4 PPG, 4.3 RPG), F Darrion Williams (14.6 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 4.4 APG), G Christian Anderson (9.4 PPG, 2.5 RPG, 2.1 APG), G Elijah Hawkins (9.4 PPG, 2.4 RPG, 5.9 APG), G Kevin Overton (9.2 PPG, 3.9 RPG), F Federiko Federiko (6.7 PPG, 5.4 RPG)—a man so nice they named him twice—and F Devan Cambridge (5.5 PPG, 3.5 RPG). The Red Raiders average 81.6 PPG while allowing 65.4 PPG and average 37.0 RPG (Tied-#123) and 16.7 APG (#43).

Texas Tech Betting Trends

  • Texas Tech is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
  • The Under is 4-2-0 in the Red Raiders last 6 games overall
  • Texas Tech is 11-2 at Home and 5-0 on the Road this season
  • The Red Raiders 2 Home Losses were to UCF and Iowa State
  • Texas Tech is 17-6 on Moneyline their last 23 Home games (+7.75 Units, 1% ROI)

Baylor vs Texas Tech Prediction

In the last 10 series meetings, Baylor has gone 7-3 SU and going 5-4-1 ATS with the Over 6-4-0. The last time they met was here in Lubbock on March 9, 2024 where the Red Raiders won 78-68, covering ATS by 7.5 points as 2.5-Point Home Favorites in a game that went Under the closing Total of 147 by just 1 point. Texas Tech led 40-27 at Halftime and never looked back. This Baylor vs Texas Tech NCAAB pick will predict a high-scoring game—the last 2 Baylor games have seen 176 (OT) and 151 points—and back the Over with 4 of the last 5 meetings going Over (OOOOU)..

Kevin’s Prediction: Baylor-Texas Tech Over 140.5

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