Florida vs Tennessee Prediction
Florida vs Tennessee Game Information
What: | Florida vs Tennessee 2/1/2025 College Basketball Picks |
When: | Saturday, February 1, 2025 at 12:00 EST/9:00 PST |
Where: | Food City Center, Knoxville, Tennessee |
Florida vs Tennessee Line: | Tennessee -3.5 |
Total: | 140.5 |
TV: | ESPN |
Florida vs Tennessee Preview
No. 5 Florida (18-2, 5-2 in SEC) heads to Rocky Top to face No. 8 Tennessee (17-4, 4-4 in SEC) early Saturday in a big rematch of their game on January 7 in Gainesville. In their last 5 games, the Gators are 4-1, beating Arkansas by 8 (71-63), losing to Missouri by 1 (83-82), beating Texas by 24 (84-60), edging South Carolina by 1 (70-69), and crushing Georgia by 30 (89-59). In their last 5 games, the Volunteers are just 2-3, defeating Georgia by 18 (74-56), losing at Vanderbilt by 1 (76-75), topping Mississippi State by 12 (68-56), losing at No. 1 Auburn by a bucket (53-51), and then getting upset by Kentucky at Home by 5 in their last game (78-73).
Futures Look: DraftKings has Florida at 16/1 to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball Championship with Tennessee at 20/1. Duke (+475), Auburn (5/1), Houston (8/1), Iowa State (11/1), Alabama (13/1) and Florida (15/1) are the top six. No. 2 ranked Duke will lock horns with North Carolina at Cameron Indoor Stadium this evening in one of the great rivalries in sports (ESPN, 6:30 EST/5:30 CST/3:30 PST).
Florida Catching Slumping Vols at the Right Time?
Florida (14-6-0 ATS, 7-12-1 O/U) has been a great team to back at the betting window, winning at a 70% rate. The Gators are led by Walter Clayton Jr. (17.8 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 4.0 APG), Alijah Martin (16.1 PPG, 5.2 RPG, 2.7 APG), G Will Richard (13.6 PPG, 4.9 RPG), F Alex Condon (10.7 PPG, 8.2 RPG, 2.4 APG), F Thomas Haugh (7.6 PPG, 5.6 RPG), G Denzel Aberdeen (7.1 PPG), C Rueben Chinyelu (5.4 PPG, 7.1 RPG), and F Sam Alexis (5.0 PPG, 4.2 RPG). Florida averages 85.3 PPG (#9) and allows 65.1 PPG and average an impressive 44.3 RPG (#4) and 15.5 APG (Tied-#94). The Gators (+150 Moneyline) rank No. 3 in Division I in Scoring Margin (+19.9 PPG PD) behind Houston (#1) and Duke (#2).
Florida Betting Trends
- Florida is 8-2-0 SU/ATS in its last 10 games overall
- The Under is 4-1-1 in the Gators last 6 games
- Florida went 16-19-1 ATS last 2023-24 NCAAB season (45.7%)
- The Gators are 3-1 SU on the Road (Loss to KENTUCKY)
- Florida is 27-9 on the Moneyline in its last 36 games (+11.15 Units, 1% ROI)
Tennessee Covets Revenge After 30-Point Blowout
Tennessee (12-8-1 ATS, 8-13-0 O/U) lost to Florida by 30 points (73-43) when these two met in Gainesville on January 7 in a game that humbled this then-undefeated and No. 1-ranked Volunteers squad. So does Tennessee have the capability to rebound from that and avenge that humiliation? Head Coach Rick Barnes and the Volunteers are led by G Chaz Lanier (17.8 PPG, 3.1 RPG), G Zakai Zeigler (12.3 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 7.4 APG), G Jordan Gainey (10.8 PPG, 3.2 RPG), F Igor Milicic Jr. (10.4 PPG, 8.1 RPG), F Felix Okpara (7.3 PPG, 6.5 RPG), G Jahmal Mashack (5.9 PPG, 3.8 RPG), F Cade Phillips (5.3 PPG, 3.7 RPG), G Cameron Carr (4.8 PPG), F JP Estrella (4.7 PPG, 2.7 RPG), and G Darlinstone Dunbar (3.9 PPG, 2.6 RPG). Tennessee (-180 Moneyline) averages 75.0 PPG (Tied-#178) while allowing just 59.3 PPG, and averages 38.5 RPG (Tied-#65) and 15.7 APG (Tied-#84).
Tennessee Betting Trends
- Tennessee is 6-4 SU over its last 10 games overall
- Tennessee was 18-17-1 ATS last 2023-24 NCAAB season
- The Volunteers are 27-7 SU in their last 34 games overall
- Tennessee Team Total Under is 24-14 the last 38 (+7.95 Units, 18% ROI)
- Volunteers are 11-1 at Home after losing to Kentucky last game
Florida vs Tennessee Prediction
In the last 10 series meetings, Tennessee is 7-3, winning all 5 meetings in Knoxville (by 11, 12, 11, 7 and 19), but those numbers were carved when the Gators weren’t as good of a team. The Under has been a money-maker over that span, going 7-3-0 and winning the last meetings, including that aforementioned 73-43 blowout in the Sunshine State. Don’t expect the Gators to get many calls or breaks here, but I am not sure this talented team will need any and with the hosts just 2-3 in their last 5, it wouldn’t surprise me if Florida found a way to upset the hosts here in the first game on the betting board on Saturday. But this Florida vs Tennessee NCAAB pick will look to the Totals market and for another low-scoring rock fight in Knoxville.
Kevin’s Prediction: Florida-Tennessee Under 140.5
Want to see when the 25+ Tony’s Picks Handicappers really like a game? Get the “CONSENSUS REPORT” https://members.tonyspicks.com/consensus-report/view