Texas vs Mississippi Prediction
Texas vs Mississippi Information
What: | Texas vs Mississippi 1/29/2025 College Basketball Picks |
When: | Wednesday, January 29, 2025 at 9:00 EST/6:00 PST |
Where: | The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss, Oxford, Mississippi |
Texas vs Mississippi Line: | Ole Miss -5.5 |
Total: | 141 |
TV: | ESPN2 |
Texas vs Mississippi Preview
No. 23 Mississippi (15-5, 4-3 in SEC) welcomes SEC-newcomers Texas (14-6, 3-4 in SEC) to Oxford on Wednesday in an SEC Conference game from The Sandy and John Black Pavilion. In their last 5 games, the Longhorns are 3-2, losing to Tennessee by 4 in Austin (74-70), winning at Oklahoma by 4 (77-73), losing at Florida by 24 (84-60), and then beating Missouri by 8 (61-53) and Texas A&M by 1 (70-69). In their last 5 games. ESPN’s Joe Lunardi has Texas as one of the Last Four In the 2025 NCAA Basketball in his latest Bracketology rankings. In their last 5, the Rebels are 2-3, winning back-to-back games vs LSU by 12 (77-65) and Alabama by 10 (74-64) then losing their last 3 outings at Mississippi State by 3 in OT (84-81), vs Texas A&M by 1 (63-62) and at Missouri by 8 (83-75). DraftKings has Mississippi at 90/1 to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball Championship with Texas at 150/1. Duke (+475), Auburn (5/1), Houston (9/1), Iowa State (10/1), Alabama (13/1) and Florida (16/1) are the oddsmakers’ top six for now. Duke faces North Carolina at Cameron Indoor Stadium this Saturday, February 1 in one of the best rivalries in sports (ESPN, 6:30 EST/3:30 PST).
Texas Looks For Quality Wins in SEC Conference Play
Texas (11-8-1 ATS, 9-10-1 O/U) has a very good basketball team, but after leaving the Big 12 for the Southeastern Conference, the Longhorns are finding life a bit harder and this new alignment reality may be easier for the UT football team compared to the basketball program. Texas is led by G Tre Johnson (18.8 PPG, 2,7 RPG, 2.1 APG), F Arthur Kaluma (13.8 PPG, 8.2 RPG, 2.1 APG), G Jordan Pope (12.1 PPG), G Tramon Mark (9.3 PPG, 3.4 RPG), F Kadin Shedrick (8.0 PPG, 6.0 RPG), G Chendall Weaver (6.7 PPG, 5.1 RPG), and G Julian Larry (5.3 RPG, 3.9 APG). The Longhorns (+200 Moneyline) average a healthy 78.9 PPG a game (Tied-#81) while allowing 66.3 PPG, and average 13.4 Assists Per Game (Tied-#250) and 35.2 Rebounds Per Game (Tied-#242).
Texas Betting Trends
- Texas is 10-3 SU at Home, 2-2 SU on the Road
- The Under is 3-0-0 in the Longhorns last 3 games
- Texas is 3-1-0 ATS in its last 4 games
- The Longhorns are 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall
- Texas has been the Favorite in the last 2 after being Underdogs in its previous 4 games
Ole Miss Seeking to Snap 3-game Losing Streak
Mississippi (13-7-0 ATS, 8-12-0 O/U) is still in the Top 25 for now, but expect that to change after 3 straight Losses heading into this one in Oxford. The Rebels (-245 Moneyline) fell to rivals No. 15 Mississippi State (84-81, OT), No. 13 Texas A&M (63-62), and No. 22 Missouri (83-75) but are still a force to be reckoned with and should still make the Big Dance. Joe Lunardi currently has the Rebels as a No. 6 seed. Ole Miss is led by G Sean Pedulla (14.3 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 3.7 APG), G Jaylen Murray (11.6 PPG, 2.4 RPG, 3.9 APG), G Matthew Murell (11.3 PPG, 3.4 RPG), F Jaemyn Brakefield (10.4 PPG, 5.0 RPG), F Malik Dia (10.0 PPG, 6.2 RPG), G Dre Davis (9.5 PPG, 4.7 RPG), F Mikeal Brown-Jones (6.1 PPG), and G Davon Barnes (5.5 PPG, 3.2 RPG). The Rebels haven’t made it to the Big Dance since 2019, where they lost to Oklahoma in First Round, and the farthest Ole Miss has gone in the Big Dance (5-9 lifetime) is to the Sweet Sixteen back in 2001. Expect that to change this year.
Mississippi Betting Trends
- Mississippi is 5-5-0 ATS in their last 10 games
- The Under is 7-3-0 in Ole Miss’s last 10 games overall
- The Rebels are 0-3 SU in their last 3 games
- Ole Miss is 9-1 SU at Home in Oxford
- Mississippi started last NCAAB season with a 13-game win streak
Texas vs Mississippi Prediction
These two teams haven’t played since 2018, when the Longhorns bopped the Rebels 85-72 in Austin when Texas was still in the Big 12, covering ATS as 5.5-Point Home Favorites. With the Longhorns 2-2 on the Road and Ole Miss desperate for a Win, this Texas vs Mississippi NCAAB pick will look to the Totals market and back the Under (141) with the last 3 Longhorns games all Unders and Mississippi playing 12 Unders in its 20 games so far this season (60%). Worth noting, the last 6 Rebels Home games have all been Unders (A&M, LSU, GA, QNPC, SOU, LIN) with the last Over at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss coming way back on November 21 against Oral Roberts in a 100-68 Rebs win (149.5)when we were still young.
Kevin’s Prediction: Texas-Ole Miss Under 141
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