Washington vs Philadelphia Prediction 1/26/2025
Washington vs Philadelphia Prediction
Story: | Washington vs Philadelphia Prediction 1/26/2025 NFL Picks |
What: | NFC Championship Game |
When: | Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 3:00 EST/12:00 PST |
Where: | Lincoln Financial Park (Grassmaster Hybrid) Philadelphia, Pennsylvania |
Washington vs Philadelphia Line: | Eagles -6 |
Total: | 47.5 |
TV: | FOX |
Washington vs Philadelphia Prediction
Championship Sunday kicks off on Sunday with the NFC Championship Game from Lincoln Financial Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania with two teams from the NFC East, the Eagles (14-3, 8-1 at Home in Regular Season) and the Commanders (12-5, 5-3 on Road), facing off with the winner headed to the Super Bowl. The Eagles won the NFC East and headed in as the No. 2-seeded team and defeated the Packers in the Wild Card Round and the NFC West champion Rams in the Divisional Round while the No. 6-seeded Commanders beat the Bucs in the Wild Card Round and knocked off the No. 1-seeded and NFC North champion Lions in the Divisional Round last weekend. DraftKings has the Eagles priced at +180 and the Favorites (for now) to win the Super Bowl with the Commanders at +800 and the longest shots to become the NFL champions. Super Bowl LIX will be played on Sunday, February 9 at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana (FOX, 6:30 EST/3:30 PST).
In their last 6 games, the Commanders are a perfect 6-0, beating the Saints by 1 (20-19), the Eagles by 3 (36-33), the Falcons by 6 in OT (30-24), the Cowboys by 4 (23-19), the Buccaneers in the Wild Card Round by 3 (23-20), and the Lions by 14 (35-21) in the Divisional Round. In their last 6 games, the Eagles are 5-1, welding the Steelers by 14 (27-13), falling to this Washington team by 3 (36-33), beating the Cowboys by 34 (41-7), defeating the Giants by 7 in their last game of the 2024-25 NFL Regular Season (20-13), eliminating Green Bay by 12 (22-10) in the NFC Wild Card Round and then downing the Rams by 6 in the Divisional Round (28-22), the last 2 games at Home at The Linc. Sunday NFL Countdown will lead up to the game (ESPN. 12 EST/9 PST).
Commanders Hoping to Keep the Dream Alive Here
Washington (12-6-1 ATS, 12-7-0 O/U) looked very good at Tampa Bay and at Detroit and QB Jayden Daniels and the Commanders (+235 Moneyline) are a team no one wants to be playing right about now. Ask the Lions. With a strong Rushing attack (154.1 PPG, #3) with RB’s Brian Robinson Jr. (799 Rushing yards, 6 TD, 4.3 YPC) and Austin Ekeler (367 Rushing Yards, 4 TD), and the magnificent Daniels (891 Rushing Yards, 6 TD, 6.0 YPC), Washington is tough to defend as this helps open up the Passing game. The Commanders Passing attack (215.6 YPG, #17) might not be its strength, but Washington has some nice and reliable targets in WR Terry McLaurin (82 Receptions, 1,096 Receiving Yards, 13 TD) and veteran TE Zach Ertz (66 Receptions, 654 Receiving Yards, 7 TD).
Four of the Commanders (+1 TO Margin Regular Season) 5 Losses were against Playoff teams (PHIL, PIT, BALT, TB). Washington’s Defense (23.0 PPG, #18) has been a little better than expected but this is more of a team who will try to beat you with its Offense. Veteran LB Bobby Wagner (Ankle) is hobbled but expect him to play here as well as the others listed as Questionable including TE Ertz, DT Daron Payne (Knee/Finger), DE Clelin Ferrell, and DE Javontae Jean-Baptiste. Washington will definitely need Ertz and Wagner on the field if they want to upset these Eagles.
Washington Commanders Betting Trends
- The Commanders are 2-0-0 SU/ATS the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs
- Washington is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games overall
- The Commanders are 5-5-0 ATS in their last 10 games
- The Under is 5-3-0 in Washington’s last 8 games
- Washington is 6-0-0 ATS in its last 6 games overall
- The Commanders are 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 vs the Eagles
Is Philadelphia Riding Barkley to the Super Bowl?
The Eagles (12-7-0 ATS, 8-11-0 O/U) made one of the best Offseason moves in years, signing RB Saquon Barkley from their NFC East rivals, the Giants, and his presence has allowed other Offensive players Philadelphia (-290 Moneyline) on Philadelphia not feel the pressure of having to produce as much as in past seasons. Starting QB Jalen Hurts seems free of any Concussion issues now, and he and Barkley will be the two main skill guys trying to nail down the NFC Championship and head to New Orleans. Hurts (Knee), WR AJ Brown (Knee) and TE Dallas Goedert (Ankle) were limited at Practice on Wednesday but expect all three to be ready for Sunday. Hurts threw for 131 Passing Yards and 2 TDs vs the Packers and 128 Passing Yards vs the Rams with Barkley rushing 25 times for 119 yards vs Green Bay and 26 times for 205 yards and 2 TD vs Los Angeles.
On Offense (27.2 PPG, #7), the Eagles are driven by QB Hurts (2,90 Passing Yards, 18 TD, 67.7 QBR), RB Barkley (2,005 Rushing Yards, 13 TD), and WR Brown (67 Receptions, 1,079 Receiving Yards, 7 TD). Expect Philadelphia to employ a similar game plan like the Wild Card and Divisional rounds of controlling Time of Possession, making no mistakes, and taking their Points where they can find them. The Eagles have a great Rushing attack (179.3 YPG, #2) but a sketchy Passing attack (187.9 YPG, #29), so the Defense (17.8 PPG, #2) will have to be strong against the slithery Rookie Daniels who is very hard to tackle. The Eagles have 6 total Takeaways in the Playoffs while turning over the football 0 times.
Philadelphia Eagles Betting Trends
- Philadelphia is 9-1-0 SU in its last 10 games overall, 4-0 the last 4
- The Eagles are 3-1 SU in their last 4 games vs the Commanders
- Philadelphia is 10-1-0 SU at Home at Lincoln Financial Field
- The Eagles are 11-3-0 vs the NFC
- The Under is 5-3-0 in the last 8 Philadelphia games
- Philadelphia scored at least 22 Points in 11 of its last 12 games
Washington vs Philadelphia Prediction
The Eagles are 6-4 SU the last 10 meetings vs the Commanders but Washington is 6-2-2 ATS and has been the play at the betting window. The Over is 6-4-0 in the Totals market, going 4-1-0 in the last 5. These 2 teams played twice already in the Regular Season, with the Eagles winning and covering ATS (PHI -4.5) at Home on November 14 (26-18) in a game that went Under the closing Total of 49.5 while the Commanders won 36-33 at Home on December 22, covering and winning outright as 4-Point Home Underdogs in a game that went Over (47). The forecast is for nasty Weather in Philadelphia on Sunday, with 40° and heavy Winds.
This Washington vs Philadelphia NFL pick will look to the whiz kid Daniels to keep impressing as this team has proved it can rally late if they need to and the LSU Rookie’s demeanor is beyond his years. Getting 6 Points (or more) seems like a lot in a game like this, and this is a game that Washington can definitely win anyway. If there is a scared team heading into this one, it’s the Eagles. The doubts from the Past, Hurts head problems and Injuries to others make it seem like the Commanders are in a better position heading in here, and establishing Robinson, Jr., Ekeler, and McLaurin early on will be huge for Washington. Look around for the best number here, as you can find (Philadelphia minus) 6’s and 6.5’s in the market right now (Wednesday).
Kevin’s Prediction: Commanders +6.5 (FanDuel)