Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Prediction 01/21/2025: NBA Picks

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Prediction

Game Time 7:30 pm EST
Portland Trail Blazers Line +11.5
Miami Heat Line -11.5
Total 219.5
TV: NBA TV

 

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Prediction

Below is a detailed analysis for Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat game.

 

 

 

PREGAME WARM-UP:

Two teams coming off wins that snapped their previous losing streaks are clashing in this matchup, when the Miami Heat are hosting the Portland Trail Blazers. The Heat snapped a three-game winning streak with a home blowout win versus the Spurs, and are playing their third consecutive game at home. The Blazers also snapped a five-game losing streak with a home win against the Bulls, but are now back on the road, where they have been significantly weaker than at home.

 

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Prediction

Miami Heat Injury Report: Josh Richardson, Nikola Jovic is questionable, Dru Smith is out.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury Report: Donovan Clingan, Matisse Thybulle are out.

Miami Heat Form and Trends

The Heat have a 21-20 record this season and are sitting on the 8th place of the East. Miami is 18-23 against the spread and 23-18 in over/under, while having a 11-8 home record. The Heat are 1-3 in their last 4 games, and 3-7 against the spread in their last 10. Over is 3-0 in their last 3 games.

 

Miami is coming off a 128-107 home win over the San Antonio Spurs. Tyler Herro leads Miami in scoring with an average of 24 points, adding 5.7 rebounds and 5 assists. Jimmy Butler adds 17.2 points, 5.3 rebounds and 4.7 assists.

 

Portland Trail Blazers Form and Trends

The Blazers have a 14-28 record this season and are sitting on the third to last place of the West. Portland is 21-20-1 against the spread and 20-22 in over/under, while having a 5-16 road record. The Blazers are 1-5 in their last 6 games, and 1-4 against the spread in their last 5.

 

The Blazers are coming off 113-102 home win against the Chicago Bulls. Shaedon Sharpe leads the Blazers in scoring with an average of 18.1 points and 3.9 rebounds per game. Anfernee Simons adds 18 points and 4.9 assists per game.

 

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Prediction

Statistical Breakdown

Offensively, the Heat are averaging 111.2 points per game, which is 20th in the league. Miami shoots with 45.8% from the field (18th), and with 37% from beyond the arc (11th). Defensively, they allow 110 points per game, which is the 7th-best in the NBA.

 

Offensively, the Blazers average 107.9 points per game, ranking 26th in the league. Portland does not shoot the ball very well, with just 44.7% from the field (25th) and 33.8% from beyond the arc (28th). Defensively, they are allowing 116.7 points per game, which ranks 24th in the league.

 

In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Heat won 119-98 on the road. The Heat are 7-1 in their last 8 meetings against the Blazers, and 7-1 against the spread. Under is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.

 

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Prediction

In this Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Prediction, the Heat are coming as -11.5 home favorites. The Heat are rightfully favored, as they have been the better team throughout the season, and have been better at home, while the Blazers are extremely weak on the road. the Heat have already won the Blazers this season by 21 points in Portland, and have been dominating them in recent years, so they will have no trouble taking care of business today. Take the Miami Heat and lay the points at home.

Nick’s Free Pick: Miami Heat -11.5

 

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