Free NFL Picks For Today 1/18/2024
Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Pick Prediction 1/18/2024
Texans at Chiefs Injuries
Running back Mixon and receiver Woods are questionable for Houston. On defense a linebacker is questionable. Kansas City starters on offense are healthy with a cornerback questionable. KC has an injury advantage based on Dr. Chao rating. The lowest rating is the Texans offense at 81.1 based on their players on IR.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Texans at Chiefs 4:30PM ET—Houston comes off the 32-12 home victory to LA Chargers in the Wildcard round. The Texans gained 429 yards with 168 rushing for 4.9 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 261 yards to the Chargers with 50 rushing for 2.8 yards a carry. C.J. Stroud completed 22 of 33 for 282 yards with a touchdown and interception. Kansas City comes off a bye week as the number one seed. They rested starters in the final week of the regular season with nothing to play for.
The Pick with the Explanation
The temperature will be 22 degrees with no precipitation and winds of 14MPH. The Texans came with a strong defensive performance in their win against the Chargers last week. They have been competitive against the Chiefs in their past two meetings as they dropped an eight-point decision this year and by six in overtime last season in the playoffs. The Houston defense in their past three games has allowed 19 points per game with 54.7% completion rate. They have been able to run the football effectively on the road. KC offense at home this season rushed for 3.9 yards a carry with only 6.5 yards per pass attempt. the Chiefs have been 1-4 to the spread this season at home as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Play Houston +9.
Washington Commanders vs. Detroit Lions NFL Pick Prediction 1/18/2024
Commanders at Lions Injuries
Washington starters on offense and defense are healthy. Detroit right guard is out with their defensive starters healthy. The Commanders have a clear injury advantage based on Dr Chao ratings. The Lions defense has the lowest health rating of 72.1 based on their number of players on the IR.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Commanders at Lions 8PM ET—Washington moves into the Divisional Round with their 23-20 road win at Tampa Bay in the Wildcard. The Commanders gained 350 yards with 82 rushing for 2.5 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 284 yards to the Bucs with 101 rushing for 4 yards a carry. Jayden Daniels completed 24 of 25 for 268 yards with two touchdowns. Detroit is coming off a bye. They came off the 31-9 home win to Minnesota to clinch the NFC North and bye. The Lions put up 394 yards with 178 rushing for 5.7 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 262 yards to the Vikings with 142 passing on 41 attempts. Jared Goff hit 27 of 33 for 231 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Commanders have covered six straight. Their past four losses have all been by one possession. The Commander’s defense has shown improvement as in their past five games allowed 21 points per game with 62% completion rate. Jayden Daniels on the road completed 74% of his passes for 7.2 yards per pass attempt. The Lions defense in their past three games, allowing 7.1 yards per pass attempt. Detroit has failed to cover two of three at home facing teams that average 350 yards per game or greater. Play Washington +9.5.