Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prediction
| Game Time | 8:00 pm EST |
| Denver Nuggets Line | +1.5 |
| Miami Heat Line | -1.5 |
| Total | 226 |
| TV: | NBA TV |
Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prediction
Below is a detailed analysis for Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat game.
PREGAME WARM-UP:
The Miami Heat are finally back home after a lengthy six-game road trip, and are hosting the Denver Nuggets in this matchup. The Heat cooled off in the two final games of their road trip, as they lost to both Los Angeles teams, but are back home, where they have been playing better basketball. The Nuggets are coming off a loss that snapped their previous four-game winning streak, and both teams are looking to bounce back in this game.
Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prediction
Miami Heat Injury Report: Josh Richardson is questionable, Dru Smith is out.
Denver Nuggets Injury Report: Daron Holmes and Vlatko Cancar are out
Miami Heat Form and Trends
The Heat have a 20-19 record this season and are sitting on the 9th place of the East. Miami is 17-22 against the spread and 21-18 in over/under, while having a 10-7 home record. The Heat are 3-2 in their last 5 games, and 2-6 against the spread in their last 8. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Miami is coming off a 108-117 road defeat against the Los Angeles Lakers. Tyler Herro leads Miami in scoring with an average of 24.3 points, adding 5.7 rebounds and 5 assists. Jimmy Butler adds 17.6 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4.7 assists, but he is waiting to be traded.
Denver Nuggets Form and Trends
The Nuggets have a 24-16 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the West. Denver is 19-20-1 against the spread and 24-15-1 in over/under, while having a 12-8 road record. Denver is 4-1 in their last 5 games, and 7-3 against the spread in their last 10. Under is 3-0 in their last 3 road games.
Denver is coming off a 108-128 road defeat by the Houston Rockets. Nikola Jokic leads Denver in scoring with an average of 30.6 points, in rebounding with 13.2 and in assists made with 9.9. Jamal Murray adds 19.8 points, 3.9 rebounds and 6 assists.
Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prediction
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Heat are averaging 110.7 points per game, which is 21st in the league. Miami shoots with 45.5% from the field (20th), and with 36.9% from beyond the arc (12th). Defensively, they allow 109.5 points per game, which is the 7th-best in the NBA.
Offensively, the Nuggets are averaging 120 points per game, which is the third-best in the NBA. Denver shoots with 50% from the field, which is the second-best in the NBA, and with 38.2% from beyond the arc, which is the third-best in the league. Defensively, they are allowing 116 points per game, which ranks 23rd in the NBA.
In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Nuggets won 135-122 at home. The Nuggets are 9-1 in their last 10 meetings against the Heat, and are 7-3 against the spread. Under is 7-2 in their last 9 meetings.
Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prediction
In this Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prediction, the Heat are coming as -1.5 favorites. The Nuggets should be favored in this spot, as they have been the better team this season, but they are just 10-10 against the spread on the road. Miami is 8-9 against the spread at home, so I don’t see value on either side of this matchup.
Both teams have been involved in some lower scoring games lately, as they are 7-1 to the under in their last 8 games combined, and most of their meetings in recent years have been low-scoring ones. I expect this trend to continue tonight, so take the under the point total.
Nick’s Free Pick: Under 226
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