Baltimore vs Buffalo Prediction 1/19/2025
Baltimore vs Buffalo Prediction
Story: | Baltimore vs Buffalo Prediction 1/19/2025 NFL Picks |
What: | AFC Divisional Playoffs |
When: | Sunday, January 19, 2025 at 6:30 EST/3:30 PST |
Where: | Highmark Stadium (A-Turf Titan 50), Orchard Park, New York |
Baltimore vs Buffalo Line: | Ravens -1 |
Total: | 51.5 |
TV: | CBS |
Baltimore vs Buffalo Prediction 1/19/2025
Baltimore vs Buffalo Preview
The final game of NFL Divisional Playoffs Weekend will see the Baltimore Ravens (12-5, 5-3 on the Road) in Buffalo to face the No. 2-seeded Bills (13-4, 8-0 at Home) in an AFC showdown at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park on Sunday night. The Ravens came in as the No. 3 seed after winning the AFC North and eliminated the No. 6 seed and fellow AFC North side Pittsburgh in the Wild Card Round to create this showdown with the AFC East champion and No. 2-seeded Bills. The winner of this game will face the winner of Saturday’s Houston vs Kansas City AFC Divisional Playoff in the AFC Championship Game next weekend. Sportsbook DraftKings has the Ravens priced at +475 to win the Super Bowl with the Bills sitting at +550. The Super Bowl LIX will be played on Sunday, February 9 at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana (FOX, 6:30 EST/3:30 PST).
In their last 5 games, the Ravens are 5-0, winning at the Giants by 21 (35-14), topping the Steelers by 17 (34-17), the Texans by 29 (31-2), the Browns by 25 (35-10), and vs the Steelers by 14 in the AFC Wild Card Round last weekend in Crab City (28-14). In their last 5 games, the Bills are 4-1, beating the Lions by 6 (48-42), the Patriots by 3 (24-21), the Jets by 26 (40-14), losing at New England by 7 (23-16), and then eliminating Denver in the AFC Wild Card Round by 24 last weekend (31-7).
Baltimore Money Makes the Ravens Small Favorites
The Ravens (11-6-1 ATS, 13-5-0 O/U) have been a solid Over team and head in here on a nice 5-game Win Streak and Baltimore (-115 Moneyline) is tied with AFC No. 1-seed Buffalo with the best Point Differential in the AFC (+157). This could and would be the AFC championship in other seasons but we live in The Age Of Patrick Mahomes. This team started 0-2 and actually lost to the Raiders in Baltimore in Week 2. Let that sink in, Bubba. There are essentially 5 teams in these NFL Playoffs who could win the Super Bowl and the Ravens are definitely one of them.
The Ravens Offense (30.5 PPG, #13) is led by superstar QB Lamar Jackson (4,172 Passing yards, 41 TD, 77. 4 QBR), RB Derrick Henry (1,921 Rushing yards, 16 TD), and WR Zay Flowers (74 Receptions, 1,059 Receiving yards, 4 TD), but Flowers has been hurt (Knee) and he didn’t participate in Wednesday’s Practice and is listed as Questionable—the same as last week. This means WRs Rashod Bateman, Deonte Harty (Knee) Nelson Agholor, and TE Mark Andrews will have to step up. Harty did practice on Wednesday. With Jackson and Henry able to run wild with the NFL’s No. 1 Rushing attack (187.6 YPG), Buffalo will really be tested and this one could be high-scoring even with two excellent Defenses (Ravens 21.2 PPG, #9).
Baltimore vs Buffalo Prediction 1/19/2025
Baltimore Ravens Betting Trends
- Baltimore is 8-2-0 SU in its last 10 games overall
- The Ravens are 5-0-0 SU/ATS in their last 4 games
- Baltimore was 7-2-0 SU at Home at M&T Bank Stadium
- The Ravens went 5-2-0 vs the AFC North (Lost to PIT, CLE)
- The Under is 8-2-0 in the last 10 series meetings
- Baltimore is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 series meetings
Bills Path to Winning the Super Bowl All Landmines
The Bills (11-7-0 ATS, 11-6-0 O/U) may have to beat Baltimore, the two-time defending champion Chiefs, and the possible Eagles vs Lions winner from the NFC just to get the monkey off the franchise’s back, so if they finally do it this time around, it will be well-deserved. Buffalo (-105 Moneyline) benefitted from playing in the weaker AFC East schedule with Miami (8-9) and the Jets (5-12) being huge disappointments and the Patriots (4-13) just being themselves. But Buffalo has beaten some quality teams this year, including those AFC top-seeded Chiefs, the defending NFC champion 49ers, and the NFC’s top-seeded Lions.
The Bills Offense (30.9 PPG, #2) is led by star QB Josh Allen (3,731 Passing yards, 28 TD, 76.6 QBR in Regular Season), RB James Cook (1,009 Rushing yards, 16 TD), and WR Khalil Shakir (76 Receptions, 821 Receiving yards, 4 TD) and this team is extremely balanced with the No. 9 Rushing attack (131.2 YPG) and the No. 9, Passing attack (227.9 YPG), and the No. 11 (tied) Scoring Defense (21.6 PPG). The biggest area where the Bills have excelled is in Turnover Differential where Buffalo ranked No. 1 in the NFL in the Regular Season (+24). Buffalo had 471 yards of Total Offense vs the Broncos and had 3 TD and 3 FGs (and a 2-Point Conversion) in last week’s Postseason opener.
Buffalo Bills Betting Trends
- Buffalo is 8-2-0 SU in its last 10 games overall
- The Bills have alternated ATS Losses/Wins in their last 7 (WLWLWLW)
- Buffalo is a perfect 9-0-0 SU at Home at Highmark Stadium
- The Bills went 5-1-0 vs the AFC East (Lost to NE last game)
- The Over is 7-2-1 in the last 10 Bills games, 4-1-0 last 5 at Home
- Buffalo is 10-3-0 vs the AFC in the 2024-25 NFL season
Baltimore vs Buffalo Prediction 1/19/2025
Baltimore vs Buffalo Prediction
The Ravens are 6-4 in the last 10 series meetings and 5-4-1 ATS, but 1-3 ATS in the last 4 games played here in Buffalo. The Under is a profitable 8-2-0, winning 4 straight times and going 4-0-0 at Highmark Stadium. The Weather will be extremely Cold for this one (17°) and may make tackling harder. With Allen, Jackson, and Henry we can expect to see a handful of longer runs with so much on the line and all three healthy. These two met earlier this season in Week 4 in Baltimore where the Ravens scored 5 TDs and won 35-10, outgaining the visitors 427-236 and getting 22 First Downs to Buffalo’s 12.
This Baltimore vs Buffalo NFL pick will look for the Ravens to score at least 3 TDs and a FG (24 points) with the Bills also likely to generate at least 20 points at Home in this do-or-die spot. But that’s just 44 and with the frigid temperatures, staunch Defenses, and series Trends of Unders—especially in Buffalo—let’s suggest shopping around for the highest Totals number (51.5) and back the Under and start praying.
Kevin’s Pick: Ravens-Bills Under 51.5
Baltimore vs Buffalo Prediction 1/19/2025
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Baltimore vs Buffalo Prediction 1/19/2025