Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
Game Time | 9:30 pm EST |
Denver Nuggets Line | -4.5 |
Dallas Mavericks Line | +4.5 |
Total | 231.5 |
TV: | NBA TV |
Below is a detailed analysis for Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks game.
PREGAME WARM-UP:
In a rematch of Sunday’s game, the Dallas Mavericks are hosting once again the Denver Nuggets, in a high caliber Western battle between two of the top-5 teams of the conference. The Mavericks lost Sunday’s game and saw their two-game winning streak getting snapped, but they are playing their fourth consecutive game at home, where they have been playing better than on the road. The Nuggets also have three consecutive wins, and are looking to extend their winning streak tonight.
Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report: Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic, Dante Exum are out
Denver Nuggets Injury Report: Daron Holmes and Vlatko Cancar are out
Dallas Mavericks Form and Trends
The Mavs have a 22-17 record this season and are sitting on the 5th place of the West. The Mavs are 19-19-1 against the spread and 18-20-1 in over/under, while having a 12-7 home record. The Mavs are 2-6 in their last 8 games and 1-7 against the spread. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 games.
The Mavericks are coming off a 101-112 home defeat by the Denver Nuggets. Luka Doncic leads the Mavs in scoring with 28.1 points, adding 8.3 rebounds and a team-high 7.8 assists per game. Kyrie Irving adds 24.3 points, 4.6 rebounds and 4.9 assists, but both are out with injuries.
Denver Nuggets Form and Trends
The Nuggets have a 23-15 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the West. Denver is 18-19-1 against the spread and 23-14-1 in over/under, while having a 11-8 road record. Denver is 7-2 in their last 9 games, and 7-2 against the spread. Under is 4-2 in their last 6 games.
Denver is coming off a 112-101 road victory against the Dallas Mavericks. Nikola Jokic leads Denver in scoring with an average of 31.2 points, in rebounding with 13.2 and in assists made with 9.8. Jamal Murray adds 19 points, 3.9 rebounds and 6 assists.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Mavs average 116.1 points per game, which is the 9th-best in the NBA. They shoot 47.9% from the field, which is the 6th-best in the NBA, and 37.4% from beyond the arc (6th). Defensively, the Mavs allow 111.8 points per game, which is 14th in the league.
Offensively, the Nuggets are averaging 120.4 points per game, which is the third-best in the NBA. Denver shoots with 49.9% from the field, which is the second-best in the NBA, and with 37.8% from beyond the arc, which is the third-best in the league. Defensively, they are allowing 116.1 points per game, which ranks 23rd in the NBA.
The Nuggets lead the Mavs 2-1 wins this season, having won their previous meeting in Dallas by 112-101. The Nuggets are 4-2-1 against the spread in their last 7 meetings, and under is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Dallas.
Prediction
In this Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, the Nuggets are coming as -4.5 road favorites. The Nuggets are rightfully favored in this spot, as they currently are the healthier team and in far better form than the Mavs. Dallas is 10-9 against the spread at home, while Denver is 9-10 against the spread on the road, so I there is no value on either side. Both teams are top-10 offensively this season, with 236.5 points per game combined, and top-6 in both shooting percentages. I expect a high scoring game, so take the over the point total. Nick’s Free Pick: Over 231.5
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