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Mississippi State vs Auburn Prediction 1/14/2025 College Basketball Picks

Mississippi State vs Auburn Prediction

Mississippi State vs Auburn Game Information

What: Mississippi State vs Auburn Prediction 1/14/2025 College Basketball Picks
When: Tuesday, January 14, 2025 at 7:00 EST/4:00 PST
Where Neville Arena, Auburn, Alabama
Mississippi State vs Auburn Line: Auburn -7.5
Total: 151.5
TV: SEC Network

Mississippi State vs Auburn Preview

No. 15 Mississippi State (14-2, 2-1 in SEC) heads to Alabama to face new No. 1 Auburn (15-1, 3-0 in SEC) at Neville Arena for this SEC Conference meeting between these two schools on Tuesday night. In their last 5 games, the Bulldogs are 4-1, beating Memphis by 13 (79-66), Boston College by 14 (87-73), South Carolina by 35 (85-50), and Vanderbilt by 12 (76-64), before losing to Kentucky by 5 in their last game on Saturday (95-90), In their last 5, the Tigers are a perfect 5-0, knocking off defending national runners-up Purdue by 19 (87-58), Monmouth by 29 (87-58), Missouri by 16 (84-68), Texas by 5 (87-82) and South Carolina by 3 (66-63), so Auburn has already played a number of very talented teams this season. Popular online sportsbook DraftKings currently has Mississippi State at 60/1 to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball Tournament with Auburn the second-Favorites in the Futures book and priced at +650 odds (Duke +550).

Mississippi State Would Love to Upset New #1 Team

No. 15 Mississippi State (9-7-0 ATS, 8-8-0 O/U) has already had 6- and 8-game Win Streaks and the Bulldogs (+250 Moneyline) only 2 Losses have been to Butler and Kentucky. Mississippi State is a very deep team and led in scoring by G Josh Hubbard (17.0 PPG, 2.2 RPG, 3.2 APG), G Claudell Harris Jr. (11.2 PPG, 3.2 RPG), F Keshawn Murphy (9.8 PPG, 7.4 RPG, 2.1 APG), G Riley Kugel (9.6 PPG, 2.9 RPG). F RJ Melendez (9.1 PPG, 3.8 RPG), F Cameron Matthews (8.7 PPG, 7.1 RPG, 4.0 APG), C Michael Nwoko (7.3 PPG, 4.9 RPG), G Kanye Cleary (6.3 PPG, 2.6 APG), and G Shawn Jones Jr. (4.9 PPG, 2.4 RPG). Mississippi State averages 83.9 PPG while allowing 68.3 PPG and average 38.9 RPG (Tied-#62) and 17.0 APG (Tied-#41) and runs 9 deep. Next up for Mississippi State? Two more dribbles against ranked teams, vs rivals and No. 21 Ole Miss on Saturday, January 18 (6 EST/3 PST) and then at No. 6 Tennessee on Tuesday, January 21 (ESPN2, 7 EST/4 PST).

Mississippi State Betting Trends

  • Mississippi State is 8-2-0 ATS in the its last 10 games 
  • The Under is 5-2-0 in the Bulldogs last 7 games overall
  • Mississippi State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
  • The Bulldogs are 9-6-0 ATS on Road last 15 (+2.35 Units, 14 ROI%)
  • Mississippi State is 2-8 SU in the last 10 series meetings

Auburn the New #1 After Tennessee Loses at Florida

Auburn (10-6-0 ATS, 9-7-0 O/U) moves up from No. 2 after Tennessee was left for gator bait in Gainesville by Florida this past weekend in a Top 25 rankings heavily held by SEC schools. The Tigers (-310 Moneyline) have won 8 straight games after losing to Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium in the ACC/SEC Challenge. Auburn is 3-0 in SEC play and the Tigers have already defeated No. 4 Houston, No. 5 Iowa State, No. 9 North Carolina, Memphis, and Ohio State. Auburn is led in scoring by star F Jonhi Broome (17.9 PPG, 10.7 RPG, 3.3 APG), G Chad Baker-Maraza (12.7 PPG, 3.7 RPG), G Tahaad Petiford (11.3PPG, 2.8 APG), G Miles Kelly (10.3 PPG, 3.0 RPG), G Denver Jones (10.5 PPG, 2.9 APG), F Chaney Johnson (10.1 PPG, 5.3 RPG), and F Jahki Howard (6.8 PPG).

Auburn Betting Trends

  • Auburn is 0-4-0 ATS in its last 4 games overall
  • The Tigers are 9-1-0 SU their last 10 games
  • The Under is 4-3-0 in the Tigers last 7 games 
  • Auburn went 21-14-0 ATS last season (60%)
  • Auburn has now been a Favorite 9 straight games (counting this game)
  • The Tigers are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games overall

Mississippi State vs Auburn Prediction

The series Trends show that Auburn has been the best Moneyline choice in the last 10 (8-2) with the two schools split at 5-5-0 in the ATS market with Mississippi State going 3-1 ATS over the last 4. The Under has hit 3 straight times, going Under the closing Totals by 3.5, 4.5, and 22.5 points. The Tigers have won the last 2 meetings and in this game last year, Auburn won 78-63 covering ATS as 11-Point Road Favorites on March 2, 2024. This Mississippi State vs Auburn NCAAB pick will back the Road Underdogs and the 7.5 points because of the Bulldogs savvy, depth and lack of fear here, facing the No. 1 team in the land and on their own sacred Home court who haven’t covered ATS in their last 4 games. This Mississippi State side is a really good basketball team and they could really test Auburn in this must-watch main course from The Jungle and Neville Arena.

Kevin’s Prediction: Mississippi State +7.5