Southern California vs Illinois Prediction
Southern California vs Illinois Game Information
What: | USC vs Illinois Prediction 1/11/2025 College Basketball Picks |
When: | Saturday, January 11, 2025 at 12:00 EST/9:00 PST |
Where | State Farm Center, Champaign, Illinois |
USC vs Illinois Line: | Illinois -14 |
Total: | 154.5 |
TV: | BTN |
Southern California vs Illinois Preview
No. 13 Illinois (12-3, 4-1 in Big Ten) welcomes new conference members USC (9-6, 1-3 in Big Ten) to Champaign early Saturday in a Big Ten Conference showdown from the State Farm Center in the first-ever meeting between these two teams as Big Ten members. In their last 5 games, the Trojans are 3-2, beating Montana State by 26 (89-63), CSUN by 21 (90-69), and Southern by 31 (82-51) before losing back-to-back games to Michigan by 11 (85-74) and Indiana by 13 (82-69). In their last 5 games, the Fighting Illini are a perfect 5-0, defeating Missouri by 3 (80-77), Chicago State by 53 (117-64), Oregon by 32 (109-77), Washington by 4 (81-77), and Penn State by 39 (91-52). Online sportsbook DraftKings currently has Illinois at 30/1 to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball Tournament with USC at longshot 350/1 odds.
USC Finding Life in the Big Ten Can be Very Difficult
USC (5-10-0 ATS, 10-5-0 O/U) has been a good team to fade ATS as well as a strong Over team and are realizing the Big Ten Conference may be a little bit harder than things were on the hardwood in the Pac-12, especially when three other of the best Basketball programs (Arizona, Washington, UCLA) also left to conference for this newlook Power 4 mega-conference which is more like the Big Twenty. The Trojans (+575 Moneyline) are led by G Desmond Claude (14.9 PPG, 3.9 RPG, 3.9 APG), G Chibuzo Agbo (12.7 PPG, 4.5 RPG), F Terrance Williams II (10.6 PPG, 4.5 RPG), F Saint Thomas (9.7 PPG, 5.9 RPG, 4.1 APG), and F Josh Cohen (9.3 PPG, 2.7 RPG) and USC averages 75.7 (#178) and allows 70.4 PPG and averaging 32.1 RPG (#383) and 16.0 APG (Tied-#84).
USC Betting Trends
- USC is 7-3-0 SU in its last 10 games overall
- The Over is 7-3-0 in the Trojans last 10 games, 5-1-0 last 6
- USC is 0-2-0 SU/ATS in its last 2 games (MICH, IND)
- The Trojans are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games overall
- USC has been Underdogs 3 straight game, 7 of last 11
Illini Off to Impressive Start in the Big Ten Conference
Illinois (8-6-1 ATS, 8-7-0 O/U) continues to pad its résumé, adding Washington and Penn State to the list of impressive teams the Fighting Illini (-850 Moneyline) have already faced along with Alabama, Missouri, Arkansas, Northwestern, Wisconsin, Tennessee, and Oregon. Illinois is led in scoring by G Kasparas Jakucionis (16.4 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 5.4 APG), C Tomislav Ivisic (12.1 PPG, 9.9 RPG), F Will Riley (11.1 PPG, 3.9 RPG), G Kylan Boswell (11.3 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 4.0 APG), G Tre White (11.3 PPG, 5.6 RPG), F Ben Humrichous (9.0 PPG, 3.4 RPG), G Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn (6.9 PPG), and F Morez Johnson Jr. (6.1 PPG, 6.5 RPG). The Fighting Illini rank No. 6 in Points Per Game (87.9 PPG) while allowing 66.2 ppg (+21.7 ppg Scoring Differential) and tied at No. 2 in Rebounds Per Game (45.9) thanks in great part to big men Tomislav (7-foot-1), Johnson (6-foot-9), White (6-foot-7), and Jakucionis (6-foot-6),
Illinois Betting Trends
- Illinois is 5-0-0 SU in its last 5 games overall
- The Fighting Illini are 8-2 SU their last 10 games overall
- Illinois ranks No. 6 (AZ) in Scoring Margin (+21.7 ppg)
- Illinois is has been Favorites in 12 of its last 13 games (Underdogs vs ALA, TENN)
- The Over is 4-2-0 in the Fighting Illini’s last 6 games
- The Fighting Illini have scored 100+ Points 4 times
Southern California vs Illinois Prediction
These teams have only played one time in the last 13 years with Illinois beating Southern California by 30 (94-64) on November 19, 2012, covering ATS and winning outright as 2-Point Home Underdogs in a game that went Over the low 126.5 Total by 31.5 points in the Land of Lincoln. This Southern California vs Illinois NCAAB pick will look to the Totals market and a high-scoring game with Over is 7-3-0 in USC’s (10-5-0 Overs) last 10 and 5-1-0 in the last 6 and Jakucionis, Ivisic, and the Fighting Illini such a high-scoring team (87.9 PPG, #6) and having played 4 Overs in their last 6 games. This Final Score could be very close to the one we saw back in 2012.