Free NFL Picks For Today 1/11/2025
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LA Chargers vs. Houston Texans NFL Pick Prediction 1/11/2025
Chargers at Texans Injuries
LA receiver Palmer is out. Running back Dobbins, receiver Johnston and right guard Pipkins are questionable. On defense a linebacker is out. Houston receiver Metchie is questionable with a right guard out. On defense a linebacker is questionable. The Chargers have a slight injury advantage based on the Dr Chao ratings. The lowest health rating is the Texans offense at 84.6 with their players on the IR.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Chargers at Texans 4:30PM ET—LA is 11-6 after their 34-20 road win at Las Vegas to set up this matchup in the Wildcard round. The Chargers gained 473 yards with 137 rushing for 3.9 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 264 yards to the Raiders with 39 rushing on 12 attempts. Justin Herbert completed 26 of 36 for 346 yards with two touchdowns. Houston is 10-7 after their 23-14 road win at Tennessee. The Texans were locked in the fourth seed and had nothing to play for. CJ Stroud saw limited work going 6 of 6 for 50 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
LA on the road is holding teams to 13.9 points per game with 4.3 yards per run and 5.4 yards per pass attempt. The Texans offense in their past three games is averaging 14.7 points per game with 59.6% completions for 5.5 yards per pass attempt. Their defense in this period is allowing 66% completions for 7.9 yards per pass attempt. LA offense in great form in this period by putting up 36 points per game with 72% completions for 8.2 yards per pass attempt. The Chargers are 5-1 to the spread as a road favorite. Play LA Chargers -2.5.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Pick Prediction 1/11/2025
Steelers at Ravens Injuries
Pittsburgh right guard is questionable. Their defensive starters are healthy. Baltimore receiver Flowers is out. Their defensive starters are healthy. Baltimore has a slight injury advantage based on the Chao rating. Healthy units for both teams.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Steelers at Ravens 8PM ET—Pittsburgh fell to 10-7 following their 19-17 home defeat to Cincinnati. The Steelers played starters to try and avoid this matchup and draw Houston. They put up 193 yards with 74 rushing on 23 carries. On defense they allowed 314 yards to the Bengals with 68 rushing on 21 carries. Russell Wilson completed 17 of 31 for 148 yards with a touchdown. Baltimore is 12-5 with their 35-10 home win to Cleveland. The Ravens gained 437 yards with 220 rushing for 6.3 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 230 yards to the Browns with 174 passing on 34 attempts. LaMar Jackson went 16 of 32 for 217 yards with two touchdowns. The Ravens with a win clinched the division so they played the starters in the final regular season week.
The Pick with the Explanation
The temperature will be 29 degrees with 3% chance of snow and light wind. The Steelers form poor as in their past three games putting up 14.7 points per game with 4.7 yards per pass attempt. Their defense in this span is allowing 27 points per game with 76% completions for 7.1 yards per pass attempt. The Ravens in this span put up 33.3 points per game with 6 yards per run and 8.3 yards per pass attempt. Defensively they are allowing 9.7 points per game with 3.9 yards per run and 5.3 yards per pass attempt. Pittsburgh is 1-3 to the spread on the road facing teams that average 4.5 yards per run. Baltimore is 4-1 to the spread at home against winning teams. Wild Card home teams favored by 9.5 or greater have covered 14 of 15. Play Baltimore -9.5.
Free NFL Picks For Today 1/11/2025