Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz 12-31-22

Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz Prediction 01/09/2025: NBA Picks

Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz Prediction

Game Time 8:30 pm EST
Miami Heat Line -5.5
Utah Jazz Line +5.5
Total 222
TV: NBA TV

 

Below is a detailed analysis for Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz game.

 

 

 

PREGAME WARM-UP:

The Miami Heat, coming off a big win in Golden State, are making their third stop in their current road trip, as they are visiting the Utah Jazz. The Jazz are coming off a loss that snapped their previous two-game winning streak, and are playing their second straight game at home, where they have been one of the weakest teams in the NBA this season. The Heat bounced back after a three-game losing streak, but are playing their third consecutive game on the road, where they have been significantly weaker than at home this season.

 

Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz Prediction

Utah Jazz Injury Report: John Collins, Keyonte George, Taylor Hendricks are day-to-day.

Miami Heat Injury Report: Josh Richardson is day-to-day, Jimmy Butler and Dru Smith are out

Utah Jazz Form and Trends

The Jazz have a 9-26 record this season and are sitting on the second to last place of the West. The Jazz are 18-17 against the spread and 20-15 in over/under, while having a 2-13 home record. The Jazz are 2-6 in their last 8 games but 8-2 against the spread in their last 10. Over is 6-2 in their last 8 games.

 

The Jazz are coming off a 121-124 loss by Atlanta, as they struggled with their shot, connecting to just 42% from the field. Lauri Markkanen led Utah’s offense with 35 points and 8 triples, but grabbed just two rebounds in 30 minutes of action.

 

Markkanen leads the Jazz in scoring with 19.9 points, adding 6.2 rebounds per game. John Collins adds 17.9 points and 8.3 rebounds per game.

 

Miami Heat Form and Trends

The Heat have a 18-17 record this season and are sitting on the 6th place of the East. Miami is 16-19 against the spread and 20-15 in over/under, while having a 7-10 road record. The Heat are 1-3 in their last 4 games, and 1-3 against the spread. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games.

 

Miami is coming off a 114-98 win in Golden State, as they held the Warriors into just 41% shooting from the field. Nikola Jovic led the Heat’s offense with 20 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists off the bench.

 

Tyler Herro leads Miami in scoring with an average of 23.6 points, adding 5.6 rebounds and 5 assists. Jimmy Butler adds 19.4 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5 assists.

 

Statistical Breakdown

Offensively, the Jazz are averaging 111.6 points per game, which ranks 18th in the league. Utah shoots with 46% from the field (178th) and with 36.7% from beyond the arc (14th). Defensively, they are the 5th-worst team in the NBA, allowing 118.5 points per game.

 

Offensively, the Heat are averaging 111.3 points per game, which is 20th in the league. Miami shoots with 45.6% from the field (20th), and with 37% from beyond the arc (12th). Defensively, they allow 110.1 points per game, which is the 7th-best in the NBA.

 

The Heat are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Jazz, but the Jazz are 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 meetings. Over is 7-1 in their last 8 meetings.

 

Prediction

In this Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz Prediction, the Heat are coming as -5.5 road favorites. The Heat are rightfully favored, as they have been the better team throughout the season, but they are just 8-10 against the spread on the road, so I cannot trust them as road favorites in this spot. Utah is 6-9 against the spread at home, losing by an average of 9.3 points, so I don’t trust them either. Both teams have been involved in higher scoring games lately, as they are 10-3 to the over in their last 13 games combined, and I expect this trend to continue. Take the over the point total. Nick’s Free Pick: Over 222

 

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