Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
| Game Time | 10:00 pm EST |
| Boston Celtics Line | -5.5 |
| Denver Nuggets Line | +5.5 |
| Total | 235 |
| TV: | NBA TV |
Below is a detailed analysis for Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets game.
PREGAME WARM-UP:
The team with the second-best record in the Eastern conference, the Boston Celtics, are visiting the Denver Nuggets, in their fourth and final stop of a four-game road trip in the West. The Nuggets have been playing good basketball lately, as they have lost just once in their last five matches. On the other hand, the Celtics are coming off a loss that snapped their previous three-game winning streak, and are looking to bounce back tonight.
Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
Denver Nuggets Injury Report: Spencer Jones, Aaron Gordon are questionable, Daron Holmes and Vlatko Cancar are out
Boston Celtics Injury Report: Al Horford is questionable.
Denver Nuggets Form and Trends
The Nuggets have a 20-14 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the West. Denver is 15-18-1 against the spread and 21-12-1 in over/under, while having a 10-6 home record. Denver is 4-1 in their last 5 games, and 4-1 against the spread. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 games.
Denver is coming off a 122-111 win in San Antonio, as they shot with just 44% from the field, but held the Spurs into just 39%. Nikola Jokic dominated the Spurs with a game-high 46 points, adding 9 rebounds and a team-high 10 assists.
Jokic leads Denver in scoring with an average of 31.5 points, in rebounding with 13 and in assists made with 9.7. Jamal Murray adds 19.4 points, 4.2 rebounds and 6.3 assists.
Boston Celtics Form and Trends
The Celtics have a 26-10 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the East. Boston is 14-21-1 against the spread and 16-19-1 in over/under, while having a 13-4 road record. Boston is 3-1 in their last 4 games, and just 3-4-1 against the spread in their last 8. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 games.
Boston is coming off a 92-105 loss in Oklahoma City, as they struggled mightily with their shot, connecting to just 36% from the field and 20% from beyond the arc. Jason Tatum led the Celtics’ offense with 26 points and 10 rebounds, while Jaylen Brown added 21 points.
Tatum leads Boston in scoring this season, with an average of 28.1 points, adding 9.4 rebounds and a team-high 5.5 assists. Jaylen Brown adds 24.3 points, 5.9 rebounds and 4.6 assists.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Nuggets are averaging 120.8 points per game, which is the third-best in the NBA. Denver shoots with 49.8% from the field, which is the third-best in the NBA, and with 37.9% from beyond the arc, which is the 4th-best in the league. Defensively, they are allowing 117.2 points per game, which ranks 24th in the NBA.
Offensively, the Celtics are 4th-best in the NBA with 118.5 points per game. Boston shoots 46% from the field (18th) and 36.6% from beyond the arc (14th). Defensively, they allow 108.3 points per game, which is 6th in the league.
The Nuggets have won their last three meetings against the Celtics, and their last two in Denver. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.
Prediction
In this Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, the Celtics are coming as -5.5 road favorites. The Celtics are playing their fourth consecutive road game, and are the 5th-worst covering team on the road this season, so I don’t trust them as road favorites against a solid Denver team. The Nuggets are just 7-8-1 against the spread at home, and 2-2 in their last 4 home games, so I don’t trust them either. Both teams have top-4 offenses this season with 239.3 points per game combined, and the Nuggets are 24th defensively, so I’m expecting a lot of points in this matchup. Take the over the point total. Nick’s Free Pick: Over 235
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