Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction 01/06/2025: NBA Picks

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction

Game Time 10:00 pm EST
Miami Heat-Line +3.5
Sacramento Kings-Line -3.5
Total 224
TV: http://www.nba.com/watch/nba-tv

 

Below is a detailed analysis of the Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings game and Prediction:

 

 

 

PREGAME WARM-UP:

The Sacramento Kings, who are playing their second game in two nights, are hosting the Miami Heat. The Kings played in Oakland against the Golden State Warriors last night, and are now back home to face the Heat. Sacramento is finally playing good basketball, following a lengthy six-game losing streak, and is now winners of three straight. On the other hand, the Heat have back-to-back losses, following a two-game winning streak, and are back on the road, where they haven’t been playing their best basketball of the season.

 

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction

Sacramento Kings Injury Report: Keegan Murray, and De’Aaron Fox are questionable

Miami Heat Injury Report: Josh Richardson is day-to-day, Jimmy Butler and Dru Smith are out

Sacramento Kings Form and Trends

The Kings have a 16-19 record this season and are sitting in the 12th place of the West. The Kings are 13-21-1 against the spread and 18-17 in over/under, while having a 7-7 road record. The Kings have three consecutive wins, but are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games. Under is 5-3 in their last 8 games.

 

The Kings are coming off a 138-133 win over Memphis, as they shot with 49% from the field and made 21 triples on 45% shooting. All five Sacramento starters scored double figures, led by Malik Monk with 31 points with 6 triples and 6 assists.

 

De’Aaron Fox leads the Kings in scoring with an average of 26.7 points, adding 4.9 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game. Demar DeRozan adds 20.8 points, 3.9 assists and 3.9 rebounds.

 

Miami Heat Form and Trends

The Heat have a 17-16 record this season and are sitting on the 6th place in the East. Miami is 15-18 against the spread and 19-14 in over/under while having a 6-9 road record. The Heat are 2-3 in their last 5 games, and 2-3 against the spread. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games.

 

Miami is coming off a 100-136 loss to Utah, as they allowed the Jazz to shoot 52% from the field. Only two Miami starters scored double figures, led by Nikola Jovic with 17 points and 3 assists.

 

Tyler Herro leads Miami in scoring with an average of 23.8 points, adding 5.5 rebounds and 5.1 assists. Jimmy Butler adds 19.4 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 5 assists.

 

Statistical Breakdown

Offensively, the Kings average 115.4 points per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. They shoot 47.6% from the field, which ranks 8th in the league, and 34.2% from beyond the arc (24th). Defensively, the Kings allow 114.1 points per game, ranking 17th in the league.

 

Offensively, the Heat are averaging 111.1 points per game, which is 19th in the league. Miami shoots with 45.7% from the field (20th), and with 37.2% from beyond the arc (7th). Defensively, they allow 110.1 points per game, which is the 7th-best in the NBA.

 

In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Kings won 111-110 in Miami. The Heat are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Kings, and under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

 

Prediction

In this Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, the Kings are coming as -3.5 home favorites. The Kings are rightfully favored in this spot, as they are in far better form than the Heat, but they are the 5th-worst covering home team in the NBA. The Heat are the 7th-worst covering team on the road, so I’m going to pass on the side. With De’Aaron Fox questionable for this game, Sacramento’s offense takes a huge hit, and the Heat have the 7th-best defense in the NBA, so I’m expecting a low-scoring affair. Take UNDER the point total.   Nick’s Free Prediction: Under 224

 

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