Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction 01/06/2025: NBA Picks

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

Game Time 8:00 pm EST
Dallas Mavericks Line +5.5
Memphis Grizzlies Line -5.5
Total 232.5
TV: NBA TV

 

Below is a detailed analysis for Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies game.

 

 

 

PREGAME WARM-UP:

In this high caliber Western battle between two of the top-6 teams currently in the conference, the Memphis Grizzlies are hosting the Dallas Mavericks. The Grizzlies have been struggling lately, with just one win in their last four games, as they return back home from a lengthy five-game road trip. The Mavericks are on a free fall without Luka Doncic lately, as they have four consecutive losses, and are looking to stop the bleeding against the third-best team of the West.

 

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

Memphis Grizzlies Injury Report: Y. Kawamura, J. LaRavia, Zach Edey, Brandon Clarke are questionable, GG Jackson, Marcus Smart, Ja Morant, Santi Aldama, Vince Williams are out.

Dallas Mavericks Injury Report: Kyrie Irving is questionable, Luka Doncic, Dante Exum are out

Memphis Grizzlies Form and Trends

The Grizzlies have a 23-13 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the Western Conference. Memphis is 23-13 against the spread and 22-13-1 in over/under, while having a 14-4 home record. Memphis is 1-4 in their last 5 games and 1-3 against the spread. Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games.

 

The Grizzlies are coming off a 113-121 loss in Golden State, even though they shot with 52% from the field. Jaren Jackson and Desmond Bane led Memphis’ offense with 23 and 22 points respectively, as the team still plays without Ja Morant.

 

Jaren Jackson leads the Grizzlies in scoring with 22.3 points and 6.2 rebounds. Ja Morant adds 21.2 points, 4.4 rebounds and a team-high 7.9 assists but he is out with an injury.

 

Dallas Mavericks Form and Trends

The Mavs have a 20-15 record this season and are sitting on the 6th place of the West. The Mavs are 18-16-1 against the spread and 17-17-1 in over/under, while having a 10-9 road record. The Mavs are 1-5 in their last 6 games and 1-5 against the spread. Under is 4-2 in their last 6 games.

 

The Mavericks are coming off a 122-134 loss by Cleveland, as they shot with just 43% from the field and 27% from downtown. Six Dallas players reached double figures in scoring, led by Quentin Grimes with 26 points and a team-high 6 assists.

 

Luka Doncic leads the Mavs in scoring with 28.1 points, adding 8.3 rebounds and a team-high 7.8 assists per game. Kyrie Irving adds 24.3 points, 4.6 rebounds and 4.9 assists.

 

Statistical Breakdown

Offensively, the Grizzlies are the best team in the NBA, with 123.2 points per game. They have the 6th-best field goal percentage, with 48.3% and a 37% three-point percentage (12th). Defensively, they allow 115 points per game, which ranks 21st in the league.

 

Offensively, the Mavs average 116.7 points per game, which is the 8th-best in the NBA. They shoot 48.2% from the field, which is the 5th-best in the NBA, and 37.3% from beyond the arc (9th). Defensively, the Mavs allow 112.1 points per game, which is 14th in the league.

 

In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Mavs won 121-116 at home. The Mavericks have back-to-back wins in Memphis, and are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 meetings against the Grizzlies. Under is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings.

 

Prediction

In this Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, the Grizzlies are coming as -5.5 home favorites. The Grizzlies are rightfully favored, as they have been the better team this season, and have been extremely strong at home. Memphis is the third-best home team in the whole league this season, and are the best covering team at home, with 13-5 against the spread, winning by an average of 13.2 points. The Mavs look helpless without Luka in the lineup and with Kyrie also questionable, they do not stand a chance in Memphis. Take the Memphis Grizzlies and lay the points at home. Nick’s Free Pick: Memphis Grizzlies -5.5

 

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