New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction 1/5/25 NFL

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction 01/05/25 NFL Pick

by

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction

Game Time: 1:00 PM EST
New York Giants Line: 3.0
Philadelphia Eagles Line: -3.0
Total: 37.5
TV: CBS

 

Are you ready for some football?  Here is your New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction. On Sunday 01/05 the New York Giants will take on the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The forecast for Sunday is for a temp of 33 °F with 10.3 mph wind and 2% chance of rain. This game features a match-up of two NFC East teams.  

The NFC East is the #3 ranked conference in the NFL with a 53.2% Win-Loss percentage as a conference.  The 3-13 Giants are ranked #4 in the NFC East and the 13-3 Eagles are ranked #1. 

 

 

Last Week’s Re-Cap and Playoff Picture

Last week the Giants defeated the Colts 45 to 33 in which they allowed the Colts to gain a total of 446 yards of offense. The Giants picked up the win by 12 while being out gained by the Colts by 57 yards with 3 fewer turnovers.  The Giants are not in the playoff picture but are looking to gather more info in evaluating their younger talent such as Malik Nabers.

Last week the Eagles came out with the victory against the Cowboys 41 to 7 while allowing the Cowboys to gain 268 yards of total offense. The Eagles won by 34 out gaining the Cowboys by 108 yards with 4 fewer turnovers against the Cowboys.  The Eagles have clinched a playoff spot and will not be playing many starters in this game.

What’s the Giants plan this week against the Eagles?

Skill Position Impact 

The Giants will go with Drew Lock who has a record of 1-3 as starting quarterback this season.  Lock is ranked #42 for QB’s this week and he has completed 85 passes on 152 attempts and has averaged 133.3 yards per game with a completion percentage of 55.9% with 5 TDs and 4 INTs. His QBR is 15.8% below the league average and he has 0 fourth quarter comebacks and 0 game winning drives this season.

The Giants running back Tyrone Tracy Jr. is the #26 ranked RB this week and he is averaging 48.8 yards per game and 4.4 yards per rush attempt while scoring 5 TDs and having 5 fumbles. He has an advanced rushing success rate of 45.5% which is 10.7% less than the league average.

The Giants tight end 1 Daniel Bellinger is the #239 ranked TE\WR this week and he is averaging 0.8 receptions per game while averaging 9.7 yards per reception with no TDs.

Wide receiver 1 for the Giants is Malik Nabers who is ranked #5 for WR\TE’s this week.  He averages 7.4 receptions per game with a 11 yards per catch average to go along with 6 TDs and 1 fumble on the season. When it comes to the advanced receiving stats, he has a catch success rate of 64.2% which is 2.8% above league average and a receiving success rate of 51.9% which is 0.1% more than the league average for wide receivers.

Overall Offense Analysis for the Giants

The Giants offense has scored 260 points this season which is 28.9% less than the NFL average and have 22 turnovers which is an average of 1.4 turnovers per game. The Giants offensive per drive statistics show that 27.6% of their drives end in either a FG or touchdown while 12.1% of drives end with a turnover. The Giants average 10.9 offensive drives per game and they average 5.9 plays, 27.4 yards, starting field position on their Own 30.2 yard line, and result in 1.45 points per drive. 

We all know the importance of Red Zone efficiency and the Giants have scored 19 red zone TDs on 43 red zone opportunities which is 36.7% lower and 17.5% lower than league averages respectively.

Overall Defense Analysis for the Giants

The defense for Giants has allowed 395 points in 2024 which is 8% more than the NFL average for points allowed while causing 15 turnovers which is an average of 0.9 turnovers per game which is 25% less than the league average. The rush defense for the Giants is allowing 141.6 rush yards per game and 18 rushing TDs which is 18.4% higher and 19.2% higher than league averages respectively for rush defense stats. The Giants pass defense is allowing 208 passing yards per game, 21 TDs, and 5 INTs. 

A look into the advanced team defense stats show that the Giants defense blitzes at 27.3% with a QB hurry rate of 7.3%, a QB knockdown rate of 8% and a QB pressure rate of 22.3%.

Significant Injury Report Updates for the Giants 

  • Giants OT Evan Neal (ribs/hip) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday’s matchup against the Eagles, Dan Salomone of the Giants’ official site reports.
  • Giants CB Greg Stroman Jr (shin) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday’s matchup against the Eagles, Dan Salomone of the Giants’ official site reports.
  • Giants C John Michael Schmitz Jr. (ankle) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday’s matchup against the Eagles, Dan Salomone of the Giants’ official site reports.
  • Giants DT Armon Watts (knee) was placed on injured reserve Friday, Dan Salomone of the Giants’ official site reports.
  • Giants LB Micah McFadden (neck) has been ruled out for Sunday’s game against the Eagles, Dan Salomone of the Giants’ official site reports.

There are 20 players on the Giants injury report for this week which is 21.4% more than the NFL average of 16.47 injuries and is 6.1% more than the Eagles.

Player Prop:

  • Not sure there will be much for props in this game.

Fantasy Forecast:

  • Drew Lock (QB) is the #26 ranked QB for fantasy this week and is facing the Eagles defense who are the #6 ranked defense against allowing fantasy points to quarterbacks.
  • Tyrone Tracy Jr. (RB) is the #17 ranked RB for fantasy this week and is facing the Eagles defense who are the #2 ranked defense against allowing fantasy points to running backs.

Who are the Eagles playing this week against the Giants?

Skill Position Impact 

Eagles will start QB Tanner McKee is ranked #60 on the QB Rankings for this week and he has completed 3 passes on 4 attempts and has averaged 54 yards per game with a completion percentage of 75% with 2 TDs and 0 INTs.

The Eagles running back Kenneth Gainwell is the #70 ranked RB this week and he is averaging 17.3 yards per game and 4.3 yards per rush attempt to go along with 1 TDs and 0 fumbles. He has an advanced rushing success rate of 28.1% which is 44.9% less than the league average.

The Eagles tight end 1 Grant Calcaterra is the #181 ranked TE\WR this week and he is averaging 1.4 receptions per game while averaging 13.1 yards per reception to go along with 1 TDs and 0 fumbles for the season. The advanced receiving stats put his catch success rate at 84.6% which is 16.3% above league average for tight ends and his receiving success rate of 69.2% is 19.9% more than the league average.

For the Eagles at wide receiver 1 is Jahan Dotson who is ranked #243 for all WR\TE’s this week in the NFL.  He averages 0.8 catches per game and 10.2 yards per reception to go with 0 TDs on the season.

At wide receiver 2 the Eagles have Johnny Wilson.  He is ranked at #404 on the WR\TE’s ranks this week and averages 0.1 receptions per game and 7 yards per reception with season totals of 1 TD.

Overall Offense Analysis for the Eagles

The offense for the Eagles has scored 443 points so far this year which is 21.2% more than the NFL average and they have 15 turnovers on offense for an average of 0.9 turnovers per game. The offense per drive stats for the Eagles show they are scoring a FG or touchdown in 44.8% of their drives whereas 7% of drives end with a fumble or interception. 

When it comes to winning in the NFL, Red Zone efficiency is critical and the Eagles have scored 37 red zone TDs on 64 attempts which is 23.3% higher and 22.9% higher respectively than NFL red zone averages.

Overall Defense Analysis for the Eagles

The Eagles defense has allowed 290 points so far this year which is 20.7% less than the league average for points allowed while creating 25 turnovers for an average of 1.6 turnovers per game which is 33.3% more than the rest of the league. The Eagles rush defense is giving up 104.4 rush yards per game to go along with 9 rushing TDs. The pass defense for the Eagles is allowing 176.4 pass yards per game, 21 passing TDs, and 12 INTs. 

The Eagles advanced team metrics have the defense blitzing at 19.3%, QB hurry rate of 4.7%, QB knockdown rate of 7.6% and QB pressure rate of 18.3%..

Significant Injury Report Updates for the Eagles

  • Eagles LB Nakobe Dean (coach’s decision) is listed as doubtful for Sunday’s game against the Giants.
  • Eagles LB Zack Baun (rest) is listed as doubtful ahead of Sunday’s matchup against the Giants.
  • Darius Slay Jr. – Doubtful.
  • Jordan Mailata – Doubtful.
  • Lane Johnson – Doubtful.
  • Landon Dickerson – Doubtful.
  • Jalen Carter – Doubtful.
  • Eagles TE Dallas Goedert is on Injured Reserve but the latest update is Goedert (knee) doesn’t have an injury designation for Sunday’s game against the Giants.
  • Eagles QB Kenny Pickett (ribs) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s contest versus the Giants.
  • Eagles QB Jalen Hurts (concussion/left finger) has been ruled out for Sunday’s contest against the Giants.
  • Eagles RB Will Shipley (concussion) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game against the Giants.
  • Saquon Barkley – Doubtful.
  • Eagles WR A.J. Brown (knee/rest) is listed as doubtful for Sunday’s game against the Giants.
  • Eagles WR DeVonta Smith (rest/wrist) is listed as doubtful for Sunday’s game against the Giants.
  • C.J. Uzomah – Injured Reserve.

The Eagles have 21 players on their injury report which is 27.5% more than the NFL average of 16.47 injuries for this week and is 6.1% less than the Giants.

Player Prop:

  • There is not going to be much in this game for props due to injuries.

Fantasy Highlight:

  • Tanner McKee (QB) is the #30 ranked QB for fantasy this week and is facing the Giants defense who are the #20 ranked defense against allowing fantasy points to quarterbacks.
  • Kenneth Gainwell (RB) is the #38 ranked RB for fantasy this week and is facing the Giants defense who are the #17 ranked defense against allowing fantasy points to running backs.

Mindy’s Pick: Giants +3 @ -115

The Giants have more to play for since they have players that need to prove they are worth investing in.  The Giants also have Drew Lock, who is playing for a better job somewhere next year while the Eagles just don’t want anyone else to get hurt.  Take the points!  

 

If you enjoyed this article, make sure you check out this prediction between the Saints and the Buccaneers here: https://www.tonyspicks.com/2025/01/04/new-orleans-saints-vs-tampa-bay-buccaneers-prediction-01-05-25-nfl-pick/

 

About Mindy: 

Mindy has been in the business of picking winners for over 30 years.  Her analytical mind has given her the insight to find the edges over Vegas in all the major sports.  This is her 4th year at Tony’s Picks and loves to give out her Data Driven Picks.  If you love Mindy’s free picks make sure you check out the link to her profile page here, to get her very best picks every day.  Mindy has been crushing the books this NFL season and is 38-5 on her Moneyline predictions this year!!!  Let’s get some wins!