Free NFL Picks For Today 1/5/2025
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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Pick Prediction 1/5/2025
Jaguars at Colts Injuries
Jacksonville left tackle is out. On defense an end is out with linebacker questionable. Indianapolis quarterback Anthony Ricardson is out, and their defensive starters are healthy. The Colts have a slight injury advantage based on the Dr Chao ratings. Both defenses have high ratings. The Jaguars offense has the lowest health rating at 76.8.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Jaguars at Colts 1PM ET—Jacksonville improved to 4-12 following their 20-13 home win to Tennessee. The Jaguars gained 295 yards with 122 rushing for 3.7 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 337 yards to the Volunteers with 159 rushing for 5.3 yards a carry. Mac Jones completed 15 of 22 for 174 yards with two touchdowns. Indianapolis fell to 7-9 after their 45-33 road defeat to NY Giants. The Colts put up 446 yards with 126 rushing for 3.8 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 389 yards to the Giants with 309 passing on 23 attempts. Joe Flacco hit 26 of 38 for 330 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
Joe Flacco to start at quarterback for Indianapolis. The Colts defense has been in horrid form the past three games by allowing 35 points per game with 67% completions for 7.5 yards per pass attempt. The Jaguars defense in their past three games are holding opponents to 4.4 yards per run with 59.6% completions and 21.3 points per game. The Jaguars have covered three of four against the Division. Play Jacksonville +3.5.
Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots NFL Pick Prediction 1/5/2025
Bills at Patriots Injuries
Buffalo receiver Cooper is out. On defense a linebacker is out. New England quarterback Drake Maye and tight end Hunter Henry are questionable. Their center is out. On defense a safety and corner are out. Their strong safety, and two linebackers are questionable. Buffalo has a slight injury advantage based on the Chao ratings.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Bills at Patriots 1PM ET—Buffalo improved to 13-3 following their 40-14 home win to New York Jets. The Bills gained 348 yards with 97 rushing for 2.9 yards a carry. On defense they held the Jets to 281 yards to 169 passing on 32 attempts. Josh Allen completed 16 of 27 for 182 yards with two touchdowns. New England fell to 3-13 with their 40-7 home defeat to LA Chargers. The Patriots put up 181 yards with 96 rushing for 4.8 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 428 yards to the Chargers with 147 rushing for 4 yards a carry. Drake Maye hit 12 of 22 for 117 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Bills are locked into the #2 seed and unlikely to play starters after a drive or two. Mitchell Trubisky is expected to see action. He has thrown five passes this season. He played in five games last year with Pittsburgh and completed 63% of his passes with 5.9 yards per pass attempt. Media reports have Maye to play on Sunday. Jacoby Brissett and Joe Milton back up. Buffalo must play next week in the Wildcard Round and is likely to have backups see the bulk of the work. The Patriots have averaged 4.6 yards per run the past three games. The rushing numbers have been better at home. Play New England +3.5.
Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Pick Prediction 1/5/2025
Commanders at Cowboys Injuries
Washington center is doubtful. On defense a corner is out. Dallas left tackle is questionable. On defense a tackle, linebacker and safety are questionable. The Commanders have an injury advantage based on the Chao ratings and it is on each side of the ball.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Commanders at Cowboys 1PM ET—Washington improved to 11-5 following their 30-24 home win to Atlanta. The Commanders gained 412 yards with 216 rushing for 6 yards per run. On defense they allowed 337 yards to the Falcons with 126 rushing for 5.5 yards per run. Jayden Daniels hit 24 of 26 for 227 yards with three touchdowns and a pick. Dallas fell to 7-9 after their 41-7 road defeat to Philadelphia. The Cowboys put up 268 yards with 127 rushing for 4.2 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 376 yards to the Eagles with 197 passing on 19 attempts. Cooper Rush went 15 of 28 for 147 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
Washington has clinched a playoff spot. A win and they hold onto the sixth seed. A loss and a Green Bay win and they fall to the seventh seed. Dallas has played hard despite being eliminated from the playoffs and a head coach on a contract year. Don’t see it in the Commanders best interest to risk injuries and play starters against a division rival with a road playoff game next week. A Saturday playoff game is always a possibility as well which impacts recovery time if they play starters. The Commanders defense in their past five games are allowing 5.2 yards per run. The Cowboys in their past three games are averaging 21 points with 65% completions and 6.7 yards per pass attempt. Play Dallas +6.5.
NY Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Pick Prediction 1/5/2025
Giants at Eagles Injuries
New York center and right tackle are out. On defense a linebacker is out. Philadelphia quarterback Hurts is out with many starters on both sides of the field doubtful.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Giants at Eagles 1PM ET—NY is 3-13 following their 45-33 home win to Indianapolis. The Giants gained 389 yards with 80 rushing for 2.7 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 446 yards to the Colts with 320 passing on 38 attempts. Drew Lock completed 17 of 23 for 309 yards with four touchdowns. Philadelphia improved to 13-3 with their 41-7 home win to Dallas. The Eagles posted 376 yards with 179 rushing for 4.3 yards a carry. Defensively they held the Cowboys to 268 yards with 141 passing on 29 attempts. Kenny Pickett went 10 of 15 for 143 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Philadelphia has clinched the second seed and will host a playoff game next weekend. There are playoff games on Saturday, so a short week is possible. Backup quarterback Kenny Pickett is doubtful with rib injury. Media reports have third string Tanner McKee preparing to start for the Eagles. A sixth round pick out of Stanford in 2023 who has thrown four passes this year with two touchdown passes last week against Dallas. New York quarterback Drew Lock threw four touchdowns and passed for over 300 yards in victory last week. NY shown they want to win based on last weeks result. Play New York +2.5.
Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Pick Prediction 1/5/2025
Bears at Packers Injuries
Chicago left guard is out. Their defensive starters are healthy. Green Bay receiver Watson is questionable. On defense a linebacker and safety are out.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Bears at Packers 1PM ET—Chicago fell to 4-12 following their 6-3 home defeat on Thursday to Seattle. The Bears gained 179 yards with 103 rushing for 4.5 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 265 yards to the Seahawks with 122 rushing for 4.9 yards a carry. Caleb Williams hit 16 of 28 for 122 yards and an interception. Green Bay moves to 11-5 after their 27-25 road defeat to Minnesota. The Packers put up 271 yards with 104 rushing for 4.3 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 441 yards to the Vikings with 372 passing on 43 attempts. Jordon Love hit 19 of 30 for 185 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Green Bay has clinched a playoff berth and is the seventh seed. They can move up only to a sixth seed with a win and Commander’s loss. Don’t see the Packers risking more injuries on defense by playing their starters for any length of time for seeding purposes. They are on the road in the playoffs next week and could face a short week if scheduled for Saturday. Backing up Love is Malik Willis who has a career 60.7% completion rate. Play Chicago +10.
Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Pick Prediction 1/5/2025
Panthers at Falcons Injuries
Carolina receiver, right guard and right tackle are questionable. On defense a linebacker, corner and nickel back are out with an end questionable. Atlanta fullback is out with receiver Mooney questionable. Their defensive starters are healthy. Atlanta has a massive injury advantage based on Dr Chao ratings. Carolina has several key starters on IR. It is a wide margin on both sides of the field.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Panthers at Falcons 1PM ET—Carolina fell to 4-12 following their 48-14 road defeat to Tampa Bay. The Panthers gained 204 yards with 39 rushing for three yards a carry. On defense they allowed 551 yards to the Buccaneers with 349 passing on 32 attempts. Bryce Young completed 15 of 28 for 203 yards with two touchdowns. Atlanta is 8-8 after their 30-24 road defeat at Washington. The Falcons 337 yards with 126 rushing for 5.5 yards per run. On defense they allowed 412 yards to the Commanders with 216 rushing for 6 yards per run. Michael Penix went 19 of 35 for 223 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
An Atlanta win and Tampa Bay loss and the Falcons win the NFC South. The Panthers defense in their past three games are allowing 36 points with 5.7 yards per run with 70% completions for 8 yards per pass attempt. Their offensive numbers have improved during the second half of the year. The Falcons in their past three games are rushing for 4.7 yards a carry with 67% completions for 7.7 yards per pass attempt. Defensively the Falcons over this period are giving up 25 points per game with 4.9 yards per run and 69% completions. Carolina is 12-4 to the over this season. Play Carolina and Atlanta over 48.
Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Pick Prediction 1/5/2025
Texans at Titans Injuries
The Houston right guard is out on offense. On defense a tackle and corner are out with linebacker questionable. Tennessee receiver Boyd and right tackle are out. Running back Pollard and tight end are questionable. On defense a linebacker and safety are out. Houston has a significant injury advantage based on the Chao ratings.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Texans at Titans 1PM ET— Houston fell to 9-7 after their 31-2 home defeat to Baltimore. The Texans gained 211 yards with 58 rushing for 3.4 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 432 yards to the Ravens with 251 rushing for 5.8 yards a carry. CJ Stroud hit 17 of 31 for 185 yards and an interception. Tennessee is 3-13 with their 20-13 road defeat at Jacksonville. The Titans put up 332 yards with 159 rushing for 5.3 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 295 yards to the Jaguars with 122 rushing for 3.7 yards a carry. Mason Rudolph hit 19 of 31 for 193 yards with a touchdown and pick.
The Pick with the Explanation
The temperature will be 35 degrees with 10MPH wind and 95% chance of snow. Houston has won the AFC South and is locked into the fourth seed. They usually play the Saturday playoff game and could be looking at a short week next week. Texans quarterback Stroud admitted to feeling soreness. Backups could see the bulk of the action for Houston here. Davis Mills is the backup and has experience as a starter. He has thrown 14 passes this season. Will Levis start for the Titans. Tennessee has failed to cover all seven home games. Prefer Mills over Levis although Rudolph could see action. Play Houston +1.5.
New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Pick Prediction 1/5/2025
Saints at Buccaneers Injuries
New Orleans running back Kamara is doubtful with tight end Johnson questionable. On defense a linebacker is out and questionable. Tampa Bay has a significant injury advantage based on Dr Chao ratings. The Saints offense has the lowest rating at 60.8 based on their players on the IR. The Bucs offense has the highest health rating at 89.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Saints at Buccaneers 1PM ET—New Orleans drops to 5-11 following their 25-10 home defeat to Las Vegas. The Saints gained 269 yards with 81 rushing for 6.2 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 388 yards to the Raiders with 156 rushing for 4.1 yards a carry. Spencer Rattler hit 20 of 36 for 218 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. Tampa Bay improved to 9-7 following their 48-14 home win to Carolina. The Bucs put up 551 yards with 202 rushing for 5.1 yards a carry. On defense they held the Panthers to 204 yards with 39 rushing on 13 carries. Baker Mayfield hit 27 of 32 for 359 yards with five touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
A Tampa Bay win or tie and they win the NFC South. The Buccaneers offense in their past three games are averaging 37 points per game with 5.5 yards per run and 78% completions for 8.9 yards per pass attempt. The Saints defense in this period allows 26 points per game with 65% completions for 6.6 yards per pass attempt. Tampa Bay at home this season is allowing 4.9 yards a carry. They have gone over in fuor of five. Play New Orleans and Tampa Bay over 44.5.
San Francisco 49ers vs. Arizona Cardinals NFL Pick Prediction 1/5/2025
49ers at Cardinals Injuries
San Francisco quarterback Purdy and receiver Samuel are out. Tight end Kittle and their right tackle are questionable. On defense a nickel back is out with safety questionable. Arizona receiver Wilson is questionable. On defense a linebacker and corner are questionable.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
49ers at Cardinals 4:25PM ET—San Francisco drops to 6-10 following their 40-34 home defeat to Detroit. The 49ers gained 475 yards with 75 rushing for 4.2 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 439 yards to the Lions with 152 rushing for 4.6 yards a carry. Prock Purdy hit 27 of 35 for 377 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions. Arizona fell to 7-9 with their 13-9 road defeat at LA Rams. The Cardinals put up 296 yards with 113 rushing for 5.1 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 257 yards to the Rams with 68 rushing for 3.1 yards per run. Kyle Murray went 33 of 48 for 321 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. They were playoff eliminated before the game.
The Pick with the Explanation
Both teams are playoff eliminated. Arizona has a significant injury advantage based on the Chao ratings. It is on each side of the ball. The 49ers offense has the lowest health score at 63.3. Joshua Dobbs to start at quarterback for the 49ers. A backup for his career who has averaged 62% completions for only 5.8 yards per pass attempt. The 49ers are 1-6 to the spread on the road. At home the Cardinals have rushed for 5.5 yards a carry with 71% completions for 7.3 yards per pass attempt. The 49ers on the road surrendered 28 points per game. Play Arizona -4.5.
Seattle Seahawks vs. LA Rams NFL Pick Prediction 1/5/2025
Seahawks at Rams Injuries
Seattle starters on offense and defense are healthy. Running back Kenneth Walker is on IR. LA is expected to rest several starters on offense and possibly on the defensive side where they are healthy. Seattle has a significant injury advantage based on the Chao ratings.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Seahawks at Rams 4:25PM ET—Seattle improved to 9-7 following their 6-3 road win at Chicago. The Seahawks gained 179 yards with 103 rushing for 4.5 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 265 yards to the Seahawks with 122 rushing for 4.9 yards a carry. Geno Smith hit 17 of 23 for 160 yards. LA is 10-6 with their 13-9 home win to Arizona. The Rams put up 257 yards with 68 rushing for 3.1 yards per run. On defense they allowed 396 yards to the Cardinals with 283 passing on 48 attempts. Matthew Stafford hit 17 of 32 for 189 yards.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Rams have clinched the NFC West and are locked into a three seed. They host a playoff game next week. There are playoff games on Saturday as a short week next week is possible. Geno Smith is expected to play the entire game. Seattle in their past three games have allowed 4 yards per run with only 5.8 yards per pass attempt. Their offense has struggled in this period by putting up 14.3 points per game with only 5.8 yards per pass attempt. Would expect a vanilla game plan from LA. The Rams have gone under in three straight. Play Seattle and LA under 38.5.
Miami Dolphins vs. NY Jets NFL Pick Prediction 1/5/2025
Dolphins at Jets Injuries
Miami quarterback Tua is doubtful with receiver Hill and Waddle questionable. Their left tackle is also questionable. On defense a linebacker is out with linebacker and safety questionable. NY tight end Conklin, right guard and right tackle are questionable. On defense a tackle is questionable.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Dolphins at Jets 1PM ET—Miami improved to 8-8 following their 20-3 road win at Cleveland. The Dolphins gained 280 yards with 74 rushing for 2.7 yards a carry. On defense they held the Browns to 176 yards with 114 rushing for 4.1 yards a carry. Tyler Huntley hit 22 of 26 for 225 yards with a touchdown. NY drops to 4-12 with their 40-14 road defeat at Buffalo. The Jets posted 281 yards with 112 rushing for 5.3 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 348 yards to the Bills offense with 251 passing on 28 attempts. Aaron Rodgers went 12 of 18 for 112 yards and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
Miami needs a win and a Broncos loss to make the playoffs. These teams play at the same time. The Dolphins defense in their past three games has allowed 13 points with 4.9 yards per pass attempt. The Jets defense in their past three games are allowing 28 points with 67% completions for 6.7 yards per pass attempt. NY has failed to win and cover five of seven at home. Will take the living team here. Play Miami +1.
LA Chargers vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Pick Prediction 1/5/2025
Chargers at Raiders Injuries
LA wide receiver Joshua Palmer is out. On defense a linebacker is out with safety questionable. Las Vegas running back Abdullah is out. Their defensive starters are healthy. Maxx Crosby is on IR. The Chargers have a clear injury advantage based on the Chao ratings. The highest rating is the Chargers offense at 90.8. The lowest health rating is the Raiders defense at 73.8.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Chargers at Raiders 4:25PM ET—LA is 10-6 with their 40-7 road win at New England. The Chargers put up 428 yards with 147 rushing for 4 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 181 yards to the Patriots with 85 passing on 24 attempts. Justin Herbert completed 26 of 38 for 281 yards and three touchdowns. Las Vegas improved to 4-12 with their 25-10 road win at New Orleans. The Raiders put up 388 yards with 156 rushing for 4.1 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 269 yards to the Saints with 188 passing on 36 attempts. Aiden O’Connell went 20 of 35 for 232 yards with two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
With the Steelers loss the Chargers can avoid the Ravens in the Wildcard round with a win. That would send LA to Houston to play the Texans which would be a weaker opponent. Also means head coach Jim Harbaugh can avoid meeting his brother in the first round. LA offense in great form in their past three games by averaging 30 points with 68% completion rate. LA on the road has held opponents to 13 points per game with 5.3 yards per pass attempt. Las Vegas in their past three games has averaged 17.7 points per game with 3.3 yards per run and 59.8% completions for only 5.9 yards per pass attempt. The Chargers have covered 6 of 8 on the road. Play LA -6.5.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos NFL Pick Prediction 1/5/2025
Chiefs at Broncos Injuries
KC quarterback Patrick Mahomes and tight end Travis Kelce are doubtful. Running back Pacheco and their right tackle are out. Many on defense are doubtful. Denver starters on offense and defense are healthy. Denver has a massive injury advantage based on the Chao rating. Denver as a team is very healthy with a rating of 92.2. The Chiefs low ratings are based on sitting starters and playing reserves.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Chiefs at Broncos 4:25PM ET—KC improved to 15-1 following their 29-10 road win at Pittsburgh. The Chiefs gained 389 yards with 69 rushing for 3.5 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 364 yards to the Steelers with 202 rushing for 6.5 yards a carry. Patrick Mahomes completed 29 of 38 for 320 yards and three touchdowns. Denver fell to 9-7 after their 30-24 overtime defeat at Cincinnati. The Broncos posted 329 yards with 123 rushing for 4.6 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 499 yards to the Bengals with 384 passing on 39 attempts. Bo Nix hit 24 of 31 for 219 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
Kansas City has clinched the top seed in the AFC. Denver must win to make the playoffs and a loss, and they are eliminated. Mahomes will likely not play. Carson Wentz is expected to start at quarterback. He threw two passes this season and 24 last year as the Rams backup. Wentz is a former starter, and the Chiefs have quality backups to work with. The Broncos defense in their past three games has allowed 26 points per game with 67% completions for 6.8 yards per pass attempt. Don’t expect an Andy Reid coached team with backups to lay down to a divisional opponent here. Play KC +11.5.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions NFL Pick Prediction 1/5/2025
Vikings at Lions Injuries
Minnesota starters on offense and defense are healthy. Detroit starters on offense and defense are healthy. The Lions have several key starters on IR. Minnesota has a significant injury advantage based on the Dr Chao ratings. The lowest health rating is the Lions defense at 75.8.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Vikings at Lions 8:20PM ET—Minnesota improved to 14-2 following their 27-25 home win to Green Bay. The Vikings gained 441 yards with 69 rushing for 2.7 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 271 yards to the Packers with 167 passing on 30 attempts. Sam Darnold completed 33 of 43 for 377 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. Detroit moves to 14-2 after their 40-34 road win at San Francisco. The Lions put up 439 yards with 152 rushing for 4.6 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 475 yards to the 49ers with 400 passing on 40 attempts. Jared Goff went 26 of 34 for 303 yards and three touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
The winner of this game is the NFC North champion and will get a bye in the First Round of the playoffs. The loser is the fifth seed and must play in the Wildcard round next week. The Vikings have gone 4-1 to the spread against the division. The Lions in their past five games are putting up 39 points per game while surrendering 33. Their defense in this period is allowing 4.8 yards per run with 69% completions for 9.5 yards per pass attempt. The Lions passing game at home averages 284 yards with 71% completions for 7.9 yards per pass attempt. The Vikings over this three-game period is throwing for 268 yards per game with 6.8 yards per pass attempt and 28 points per game. The Lions had trouble getting stops on an injury riddles 49ers team last week. Play Minnesota and Detroit over 56.
Free NFL Picks For Today 1/5/2025