Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz 12-31-22

Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat Prediction 01/04/2025: NBA Picks

Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat Prediction

Game Time 8:00 pm EST
Utah Jazz Line +8.5
Miami Heat Line -8.5
Total 224.5
TV: NBA TV

 

Below is a detailed analysis for Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat game.

 

 

 

PREGAME WARM-UP:

In this matchup between two teams sitting in and out of the playoff places of their respective conference, the Miami Heat are hosting the Utah Jazz. The Heat are coming off news that Jimmy Butler wants a trade out of the team, and are coming off a loss that ended their previous two-game winning streak. The Jazz continue to be one of the worst teams both of the Western conference and of the whole NBA, and are currently on a five-game losing streak.

 

Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat Prediction

Miami Heat Injury Report: Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler are day-to-day, Josh Richardson and Dru Smith are out

Utah Jazz Injury Report: John Collins, Keyonte George, Taylor Hendricks are day-to-day.

Miami Heat Form and Trends

The Heat have a 17-15 record this season and are sitting on the 6th place of the East. Miami is 15-17 against the spread and 18-14 in over/under, while having a 10-6 home record. The Heat are 4-2 in their last 6 games, and 4-2 against the spread. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 games.

 

Miami is coming off a 115-128 loss by Indiana, even though they shot with 57% from the field. Only two Miam starters scored double figures, and were led in scoring by Kel’El Ware with 25 points off the bench.

 

Tyler Herro leads Miami in scoring with an average of 24.1 points, adding 5.3 rebounds and 4.8 assists. Jimmy Butler adds 19.4 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5 assists but he is questionable for today.

 

Utah Jazz vs Form and Trends

The Jazz have a 7-25 record this season and are sitting on the second to last place of the West. The Jazz are 15-17 against the spread and 18-13 in over/under, while having a 5-13 road record. The Jazz are 2-8 in their last 10 games but 5-2 against the spread in their last 7. Over is 10-2 in their last 12 games.

 

The Jazz are coming off a 103-119 loss in New York, as they shot with just 41% from the field and 30% from downtown. Four of five Utah starters scored double figures, led by Collin Sexton and Jordan Clarkson with 25 points apiece.

 

Lauri Markkanen leads the Jazz in scoring with 19.5 points, adding 6.4 rebounds per game. John Collins adds 17.7 points and 8.2 rebounds per game.

 

Statistical Breakdown

Offensively, the Heat are averaging 111.4 points per game, which is 14th in the league. Miami shoots with 45.8% from the field (21st), and with 37.6% from beyond the arc (5th). Defensively, they allow 109.3 points per game, which is the 8th-best in the NBA.

 

Offensively, the Jazz are averaging 110.7 points per game, which ranks 21st in the league. Utah shoots with 45.8% from the field (19th) and with 36.4% from beyond the arc (15th). Defensively, they are the third-worst team in the NBA, allowing 119.8 points per game.

 

The Heat are 6-1 in their last 7 meetings against the Jazz, and both teams were tied 1-1 wins in their two meetings last season, with each team winning at home. The Heat won by 126-120, and the Jazz by 117-109. Utah is 3-0 against the spread in their last 3 meetings against the Heat, and over is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings.

 

Prediction

In this Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat Prediction, the Heat are coming as -8.5 home favorites. The Heat are rightfully favored, as they have been the superior team through the course of the season, but they are 8-8 against the spread at home, while the Jazz are 10-8 against the spread on the road, so this game looks balanced from a side perspective. Both teams have been involved in high scoring games lately, as they are 13-3 to the over in their last 16 games combined. I expect this trend to continue, so take the over the point total in this one. Nick’s Free Pick: Over 224.5

 

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