Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs 3-10-2023

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction 01/04/2025: NBA Picks

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction

Game Time 8:00 pm EST
Denver Nuggets Line -2
San Antonio Spurs Line +2
Total 239
TV: NBA TV

 

Below is a detailed analysis for Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs game.

 

 

 

PREGAME WARM-UP:

In a rematch of Friday’s game, the San Antonio Spurs are hosting the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets have been playing very good basketball again, and are on a three-game winning streak, following back-to-back losses. The Nuggets will be playing their second consecutive game at home, where they have been playing much better than on the road. The Spurs bounced back after their latest defeat with a huge 36-point home victory against the Clippers, but are back on the road, where they have been significantly worse than in San Antonio.

 

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction

San Antonio Spurs Injury Report: Jeremy Sochan is questionable.

Denver Nuggets Injury Report: Aaron Gordon is questionable, Daron Holmes and Vlatko Cancar are out

San Antonio Spurs Form and Trends

The Spurs have a 17-16 record this season and are sitting on the 9th place of the West. The Spurs are 18-15 against the spread and 18-15 in over/under. San Antonio has a 5-9 road record, and are 8-6 against the spread with a -3.8-point differential. The Spurs are 2-3 in their last 5 games, but are 7-0 against the spread in their last 7. Over is 8-4 in their last 12 games.

 

The Spurs are coming off a 122-88 win over the Clippers, as they held their opponents into just 34% from the field. Victor Wembanyama led San Antonio’s offense with 27 points, 9 rebounds and 5 assists.

 

Wembanyama leads the Spurs both in scoring with 25.6 points, and in rebounding with 10 per game. Wemby also leads the NBA in blocks per game with 3.9. Devin Vassell adds 15.3 points per game.

 

Denver Nuggets Form and Trends

The Nuggets have a 19-13 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the West. Denver is 14-17-1 against the spread and 21-10-1 in over/under. The Nuggets have a 10-5 home record but are 7-7-1 against the spread with a +3.4-point differential. Denver is 8-3 in their last 11 games, and 3-0 against the spread in their last 3. Over is 7-2 in their last 9 games.

 

Denver is coming off a 139-120 win over Atlanta, as they shot with 56% from the field. Seven Denver players score double figures, including all five of their starters. Nikola Jokic led the Nuggets’ offense with 23 points, 17 rebounds and 15 assists, for a monster triple double.

Jokic leads Denver in scoring with an average of 30.7 points, in rebounding with 13 and in assists made with 9.7. Jamal Murray adds 19.8 points, 4.1 rebounds and 6.2 assists.

 

Statistical Breakdown

Offensively, the Spurs average 111.5 points per game, which ranks 20th in the NBA. They shoot 45.7% from the field (20th) and 34.4% from beyond the arc (22nd). Defensively, they are allowing 111.2 points per game (12th).

 

Offensively, the Nuggets are averaging 121.1 points per game, which is the third-best in the NBA. Denver shoots with 50.3% from the field, which is the second-best in the NBA, and with 38.1% from beyond the arc, which is the 4th-best in the league. Defensively, they are allowing 117.6 points per game, which ranks 24th in the NBA.

 

The Nuggets are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the Spurs, but the Spurs are 4-2 against the spread in their last 6 meetings. Under is 5-3 in their last 8 meetings.

 

Prediction

In this Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, the Nuggets are coming as -2 road favorites. The Nuggets are rightfully favored, as they have been the better team throughout the season, but they have been mediocre on the road, and they are facing a Spurs team that has been significantly better at home. The Nuggets are the fifth-worst covering team on the road in the NBA, while the Spurs have a positive point differential at home, winning by an average of 3.3 points. Take the San Antonio Spurs and the plus points at home in this one. Nick’s Free Pick: San Antonio Spurs +2

 

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