San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
Game Time | 9:00 pm EST |
San Antonio Spurs Line | +6 |
Denver Nuggets Line | -6 |
Total | 236.5 |
TV: | NBA TV |
Below is a detailed analysis for San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets game.
PREGAME WARM-UP:
In this all-Western battle between two teams sitting in and out of the playoff places of the conference, the Denver Nuggets are hosting the San Antonio Spurs. The Nuggets have been playing very good basketball again, and are on a three-game winning streak, following back-to-back losses. The Nuggets will be playing their second consecutive game at home, where they have been playing much better than on the road. The Spurs bounced back after their latest defeat with a huge 36-point home victory against the Clippers, but are back on the road, where they have been significantly worse than in San Antonio.
San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
Denver Nuggets Injury Report: Aaron Gordon is questionable, Daron Holmes and Vlatko Cancar are out
San Antonio Spurs Injury Report: Jeremy Sochan is questionable.
Denver Nuggets Form and Trends
The Nuggets have a 19-13 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the West. Denver is 14-17-1 against the spread and 21-10-1 in over/under. The Nuggets have a 10-5 home record but are 7-7-1 against the spread with a +3.4-point differential. Denver is 8-3 in their last 11 games, and 3-0 against the spread in their last 3. Over is 7-2 in their last 9 games.
Denver is coming off a 139-120 win over Atlanta, as they shot with 56% from the field. Seven Denver players score double figures, including all five of their starters. Nikola Jokic led the Nuggets’ offense with 23 points, 17 rebounds and 15 assists, for a monster triple double.
Jokic leads Denver in scoring with an average of 30.7 points, in rebounding with 13 and in assists made with 9.7. Jamal Murray adds 19.8 points, 4.1 rebounds and 6.2 assists.
San Antonio Spurs Form and Trends
The Spurs have a 17-16 record this season and are sitting on the 9th place of the West. The Spurs are 18-15 against the spread and 18-15 in over/under. San Antonio has a 5-9 road record, and are 8-6 against the spread with a -3.8-point differential. The Spurs are 2-3 in their last 5 games, but are 7-0 against the spread in their last 7. Over is 8-4 in their last 12 games.
The Spurs are coming off a 122-88 win over the Clippers, as they held their opponents into just 34% from the field. Victor Wembanyama led San Antonio’s offense with 27 points, 9 rebounds and 5 assists.
Wembanyama leads the Spurs both in scoring with 25.6 points, and in rebounding with 10 per game. Wemby also leads the NBA in blocks per game with 3.9. Devin Vassell adds 15.3 points per game.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Nuggets are averaging 121.1 points per game, which is the third-best in the NBA. Denver shoots with 50.3% from the field, which is the second-best in the NBA, and with 38.1% from beyond the arc, which is the 4th-best in the league. Defensively, they are allowing 117.6 points per game, which ranks 24th in the NBA.
Offensively, the Spurs average 111.5 points per game, which ranks 20th in the NBA. They shoot 45.7% from the field (20th) and 34.4% from beyond the arc (22nd). Defensively, they are allowing 111.2 points per game (12th).
The Nuggets are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the Spurs, but the Spurs are 4-2 against the spread in their last 6 meetings. Under is 5-3 in their last 8 meetings.
Prediction
In this San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, the Nuggets are coming as -6 home favorites. The Nuggets are rightfully favored, as they have been the better team throughout the season, and they are playing against the Spurs team that has been struggling on the road, with a 5-9 record. But the Nuggets are 7-7-1 against the spread at home, so picking a side is hard in this matchup. Taking a look at the total, both teams have been involved in high scoring games lately, as they are 15-6 to the over in their last 21 games combined. Denver is the team with the second-most overs in the NBA, so I’m expecting a high scoring affair in this one. Take the over the point total. Nick’s Free Pick: Over 236.5
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