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Michigan State vs Ohio State Prediction 1/3/2025: College Basketball Picks

Michigan State vs Ohio Game Information

What: Michigan State vs Ohio State Prediction 1/3/2025: College Basketball Picks
When: Friday, January 3, 2025 at 8:00 EST/5:00 PST
Where Schottenstein Center, Columbus, Ohio
MSU vs Ohio State Line: Ohio State -1.5
Total: 148.5
TV: FOX

Michigan vs Ohio State Preview

No. 18 Michigan State (11-2, 2-0 in Big Ten) travels to Columbus on Friday night to play Ohio State (9-4, 1-1 in Big Ten) in a Big Ten Conference showdown. In their last 5 games, the Spartans have gone a perfect 5-0, defeating Minnesota by 18 (90-72) in their Big Ten opener, Nebraska by 37 (89-52), Oakland by 19 (77-58), Florida Atlantic by 17 (86-69), and Western Michigan by 18 (80-62). In their last 5 games, the Buckeyes have gone 4-1, beating Rutgers by 14 (80-66), losing to No. 2-ranked Auburn by 38 (91-53), and then winning their last 3, topping Valparaiso by 22 (95-73), Kentucky by 20 (85-65), and Indiana State by 20 in their last outing (103-83). DraftKings currently has Ohio State at 80/1 to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball Tournament with Michigan State priced at 60/1.

Michigan State Seeking its 7th Straight Victory

Michigan State (8-5-0 ATS, 5-8-0 O/U) has cracked the Top 25 rankings and for Head Coach Tom Izzo, it’s all business as usual in East Lansing. Most really good teams have 3 to 5 guys in double-digit scoring, but the Spartans only have one guy—G Jaden Adkins (13.7 ppg, 4.2 rpg)—but MSU has 9 other versatile dudes who contribute and average between 4.8 ppg and 9.8 ppg in G Jase Richardson (9.8 ppg, 2.8 rpg), F Frankie Fidler (9.2 ppg, 3.2 rpg), F Coen Carr (8.8 ppg, 3.8 rpg), F Jaxon Kohler (8.1 ppg, 8.4 rpg), G Jeremy Fears Jr. (7.4 ppg, 4.0 apg), G Tre Holloman (7.4 ppg, 4.0 apg), F Xavier Booker (6.4 ppg, 3.2 rpg), C Szymon Zapala (5.4 ppg, 5.5 rpg), and C Carson Cooper (4.8 ppg, 3.5 rpg). The Spartans average 82.0 ppg (#59), allow 67.1 ppg, and average 42.0 Rebounds Per Game (Tied-#13) and 18.2 Assists Per Game (Tied-#16).

Michigan State Betting Trends

  • Michigan State is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games overall
  • The Spartans are 5-1-0 ATS their last 6 games overall
  • The Under is 6-3-0 in the last 9 Spartans games 
  • Michigan State went 19-15-1 in the 2024 NCAAB season (55.1%)
  • The Spartans have been ATS Favorites in 9 of their last 10 games (NC)

Ohio State Looks For 4rd Straight Win Against MSU

Ohio State (9-4-0 ATS, 6-7-0 O/U) beat Michigan State in the last 2 series meetings, winning outright as 10-Point Road Underdogs last season (60-57) and also winning as 4.5-Road Underdogs a year earlier (68-58). This will be the first meeting in the last 4 to be played in Columbus where the Buckeyes are 7-1 SU this season. Ohio State is led by team heartbeat G Bruce Thornton (17.4 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 4.9 apg), F Devin Royal (14.8 ppg, 7.5 rpg), G John Mobley Jr. (12.2 ppg), G Micah Parrish (9.8 ppg, 4.7 rpg), F Aaron Bradshaw (9.2 ppg, 4.0 rpg), G Meechie Johnson Jr. (9.1 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 2.7 apg). G Ques Glover (7.0 ppg), and F Sean Stewart (5.9 ppg, 5.9 rpg). Ohio State lost 5 players in the dreaded Transfer Portal and 3 off last year’s squad to graduation, but the Buckeyes saw 5 very good guys head to Columbus in the Transfer Portal, including Johnson (South Carolina), Bradshaw (Kentucky), and Parrish (San Diego State). Ohio State averages 82.8 ppg (#50) while allowing 69.8 ppg, 14.9 apg (#149) and 35.5 rpg (Tied-#258).

Ohio State Betting Trends

  • Ohio State is 7-3-0 SU/ATS in its last 10 games overall
  • The Under is 4-2-0 in the last 6 Buckeyes dribbles
  • Ohio State is 4-1-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • The team who has won has also covered ATS in the last 10 OSU games
  • OSU is 18-3 on the First Half Moneyline last 21 at Home (+14.80 Units, 9% ROI)

Michigan State vs Ohio State Prediction

The Home team won 6 straight series meetings (2019-2022) before the Road team flipped the switch and went 3-1 in the last 4, The Under has gone 3-1-0 in the last 4 series meetings and only 3 of the last 10 were played in East Lansing. Both teams have nice Wins in their lockers, Michigan State knocking off North Carolina and Ohio State upsetting Texas and Kentucky, so both of these teams may be playing in the Big Dance despite the fact the Big Ten added so much talent with UCLA, USC, Washington, and Oregon joining the league. Even with relatively low Totals of 139.5 and 138.5 set in the last 2 series meetings, both went Under by more than 13 points with the March 10, 2023 meeting going Under by 13.5 points and last year’s meeting going Under by 21.5 points. With both not wanting to lose here this Michigan vs Ohio State NCAAB pick will look for a tight game with a slowed down pace in the end and around 138 points on the scoreboard. Note that the Buckeyes are Unranked Home Favorites (UHF) here.

Kevin’s Picks: Michigan State-Ohio State Under 148.5