Wisconsin Badgers vs Maryland Terrapins 1-25-2023

Iowa vs Wisconsin Prediction 1/3/2025: College Basketball Picks

Iowa vs Wisconsin Game Information

What: Iowa vs Wisconsin Prediction 1/3/2025: College Basketball Picks 
When: Friday, January 3, 2025 at 7:00 EST/4:00 PST
Where Kohl Center, Madison, Wisconsin
Iowa vs Wisconsin Line: Wisconsin -5.5
Total: 162.5
TV: FS1

Iowa vs Wisconsin Preview

Iowa (10-3, 1-1 in Big Ten) travels to Madison on Friday night to face Wisconsin (10-1, 0-2 in Big Ten) in a Big Ten Conference collison. In their last 5 games, the Hawkeyes have gone 3-2, losing back-to-back games to Michigan State by 2 (85-83) and Iowa State by 9 (89-80) and then winning their last 3, against New Orleans by 47 (104-57), Utah by 7 (95-88), and New Hampshire by 42 (112-70). In their last 5 games, the Badgers have gone 2-3, losing three straight to Michigan by 3 (67-64), Marquette by 14 (88-74), and Illinois by 6 (86-80), and then winning back-to-back dribbles vs Butler by 9 (83-74) and Detroit Mercy by 23 (76-53). DraftKings currently has Iowa 250/1 to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball Tournament with Wisconsin shorter longshots at 120/1.

Iowa Looks For First Win in Madtown Since 2021

Iowa (7-6-0 ATS, 8-5-0 O/U) finished 10-10 in the Big Ten last year (19-15 overall) and was 4-9 on the Road and lost this meeting in Madison last year by 11 (83-72), failing to cover ATS as 5.5-Point Road Underdogs in a game that went Over the closing Total of 152.5 by just 2.5 points. The Hawkeyes haven’t won at Wisconsin since 2021, and have gone 0-3 SU/ATS the last 3 at the Kohl Center, losing by 12 ins 2023 (64-52) and by 9 in 2022 (87-78), so this has proved to be a tough building for Iowa to get Wins and ATS covers in of late. The Hawkeyes are led by F Owen Freeman (17.1 ppg, 6.5 rpg), F Payton Sandfort (16.4 ppg, 5.8 rpg, 3.4 apg), G Josh Dix (13.3 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 2.8 apg), F Pryce Sandfort (9.2 ppg), G Brock Harding (9.8 ppg, 5.8 apg), G Drew Thelwell (8.9 ppg, 3.2 apg), and F Seydou Traore (7.7 ppg, 3.3 rpg). The Hawkeyes (34.5 rpg, #311) come in averaging a healthy 89.7 ppg (#2) while allowing 74.2 ppg (+15.2 ppg Point Differential) and are great with the dimes, ranking No. 2 in the nation with 20.3 apg. This team can score.

Iowa Betting Trends

  • Iowa is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games,
  • The Hawkeyes are 3-0 SU/ATS in their last 3 overall
  • Iowa has scored more than 100 points in 3 of its last 7 games
  • The Over is 6-1-0 in the Hawkeyes last 7 games
  • Iowa is #2 in DI in Points Per Game (89.4) and Assists Per Game (20.3)

Wisconsin Trending Very Strong to the Over

Wisconsin (6-6-1 ATS, 10-3-0 O/U) was an incredibly strong Over team in November and December, so we will see if the Badgers continue to play high-scoring games with heavy Big Ten Conference play kicking in from January to March. Wisconsin played in 7 straight Overs to start off the 2024-25 NCAA Basketball Regular Season and after 2 Unders, the Badgers reeled off 3 more Overs in a row before playing an Under in their last game. Last year, Wisconsin went 11-9 in the Big Ten (22-14 overall) and were a dominating 14-3 at Home. Wisconsin started the season 8-0, and the only loss so far has been to Illinois in Champaign. The Badgers are led by G John Tonje (19.2 ppg, 5.0 rpg), G John Blackwell (14.2 ppg, 4.5 rpg), G Max Kiesmit (11.2 ppg), F Nolan Winter (11.2 ppg, 6.0 rpg), F Steven Crowl (8.8 ppg, 5.2 rpg), and G Kamari McGee (6.2 ppg, 2.7 rpg). Wisconsin is currently averaging 81.5 ppg (#63) and allowing 70.9 ppg heading into this game.

Wisconsin Betting Trends

  • Wisconsin is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games overall
  • The Badgers are 2-4-0 ATS in their last 6 games
  • The Over is 7-3-0 in Wisconsin’s last 10 games
  • Wisconsin won and covered ATS in the last meeting (88-86 OT, IOWA -1)
  • The Badgers were 16-19-1 ATS in the 2023-24 NCAAB season (45.7%)

Iowa vs Wisconsin Prediction

These two teams have split the last 10 series meetings SU, but Wisconsin has won and covered ATS 4 of the last 5 and are 6-3-1 ATS in the last 10. The Badgers are 4-1 SU in the last 5 played in Madison, while Iowa is 4-1 in the last 5 played on their Homecourt in Iowa City. The Home team has gone 6-3-1 ATS in that same span, going 3-0-0 the last 3 series meetings. With all of that in mind, it’s tempting to blindly pick Wisconsin at Home, but this Iowa vs Wisconsin NCAAB pick will suggest backing the Over with both teams playing more Overs than Unders (16 Overs, 8 Unders), the Over going 6-1-0 in the Hawkeyes last and 7-3-0 in the Badgers last 10. And only one team scores more Points Per Game than Iowa (Alabama, 89.9). Wisconsin may try to slow the pace down here, but good luck with that, with the Hawkeyes shooting 51.1% from the Field (#5). No state shoots the ball better than Iowa (Kaitlan Clark career, Northern Iowa #1 this season, Iowa State #11).

 

Kevin’s Picks: Iowa-Wisconsin Over 162.5