Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction
| Game Time | 8:00 pm EST |
| Dallas Mavericks Line | +5.5 |
| Houston Rockets Line | -5.5 |
| Total | 222 |
| TV: | NBA TV |
Below is a detailed analysis for Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets game.
PREGAME WARM-UP:
In this Texan battle between two of the four best teams of the Western conference that are coming off back-to-back losses, the Houston Rockets are hosting the Dallas Mavericks. The Rockets have lost two straight games at home, following a four-game winning streak and have fallen to the third place of the West. The Mavericks are still without Luka Doncic and have won just once in their last four games. Dallas is playing their fourth consecutive road game, which will be the last of this road trip.
Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction
Houston Rockets Injury Report: Tari Eason, Ja’Sean Tate are day-to-day.
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report: Klay Thompon, Kyrie Irving, Derek Lively are questionable, Luka Doncic, Dante Exum are out
Houston Rockets Form and Trends
The Rockets have a 21-11 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the West. Houston is 19-13 against the spread and 16-16 in over/under. The Rockets have a 11-5 home record, and are 10-6 against the spread, with a +9.4-point differential. The Rockets are 4-2 in their last 6 games, but 4-7 against the spread in their last 11. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 games.
The Rockets are coming off a 100-104 loss by Miami, as they shot with just 39% from the field and 32% from downtown. Dillon Brooks led Houston’s offense with 22 points with 5 triples and 4 rebounds.
Jalen Green leads the Rockets in scoring with an average of 19.3 points and 4.4 rebounds. Alperen Sengun adds 18.9 points, 5.1 assists and a team-high 10.8 rebounds.
Dallas Mavericks Recent Form and Trends
The Mavs have a 20-13 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the West. The Mavs are 18-14-1 against the spread and 16-16-1 in over/under. Dallas has a 10-8 road record, and are 9-8-1 against the spread, with a +2.7-point differential. The Mavs are 4-5 in their last 9 games and 4-6 against the spread in their last 10. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 games.
The Mavericks are coming off a 100-110 loss in Sacramento, as they played without both Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving. In their absence, Spencer Dinwiddie and PJ Washington took over Dallas’ offense, scoring 30 and 28 points respectively.
Luka Doncic leads the Mavs in scoring with 28.1 points, adding 8.3 rebounds and a team-high 7.8 assists per game. Kyrie Irving adds 24.6 points, 4.5 rebounds and 5 assists, but both are out with injuries.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Rockets average 113 point per game, ranking 13th in the league. Houston does not shoot the ball very well, with just 44.3% from the field (27th) and 32.7% from beyond the arc (29th). Defensively, they are third-best in the league, allowing 106.6 points per game.
Offensively, the Mavs average 117.1 points per game, which is the 7th-best in the NBA. They shoot 48.2% from the field, which is the 5th-best in the NBA, and 37.7% from beyond the arc (7th). Defensively, the Mavs allow 111.5 points per game, which is 11th in the league.
In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Rockets won 108-102 on the road. The Mavs are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Rockets, while the Rockets are 3-1 against the spread in their last 4 meetings in Houston. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Houston.
Prediction
In this Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction, the Rockets are coming as -5.5 home favorites. The Rockets are rightfully favored, as they have been the better and healthier team throughout the season. Houston is in better form overall and have all of their key players ready to roll, while on the other hand, the Mavs will be without Luka Doncic and have two more starters questionable for this game. Dallas is also on their last stop of a four-game road trip, so this is a tough scheduling spot and they should be faded. I expect the hosts to take care of business at home, so take the Houston Rockets and lay the points at home. Nick’s Free Pick: Houston Rockets -5.5
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