Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Prediction
| Game Time | 10:00 pm EST |
| Dallas Mavericks Line | +3.5 |
| Sacramento Kings Line | -3.5 |
| Total | 230 |
| TV: | NBA TV |
Below is a detailed analysis for Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings game.
PREGAME WARM-UP:
In this all-Western battle between two teams looking to bounce back after their latest defeats, the Sacramento Kings are hosting the Dallas Mavericks. The Kings might have fired their head coach, but that did not change a thing, as they lost their sixth consecutive game. The Mavs, who are playing once again without Luka Doncic, are struggling lately, as they have won just once in their last three games, and are playing their second straight road game.
Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Prediction
Sacramento Kings Injury Report: Devin Carter is out
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report: Brandon Williams is questionable, Luka Doncic, Jaden Hardy, Dante Exum are out
Sacramento Kings Form and Trends
The Kings have a 13-19 record this season and are sitting on the 12th place of the West. The Kings are 10-21-1 against the spread and 17-15 in over/under. Sacramento has a 6-12 home record, but are 4-13-1 against the spread, with a +1-point differential. The Kings are 0-6 in their last 6 games, and 0-7 against the spread in their last 7. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 home games.
The Kings are coming off a 122-132 road loss against the Lakers, even though they shot with 51% from the field, but allowed the Lakers to torch them with a 60% shooting from the field. Three Sacramento players had 20+ points, led by De’Aaron Fox with 29 points, 5 rebounds and a team-high 12 assists, but shot with just 1-9 from beyond the arc.
Fox leads the Kings in scoring with an average of 26.3 points, adding 5 rebounds and 6.3 assists per game. Domantas Sabonis adds 20.9 points, 6.1 assists and a team-high 13.5 rebounds.
Dallas Mavericks Recent Form and Trends
The Mavs have a 20-12 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the West. The Mavs are 18-13-1 against the spread and 16-15-1 in over/under. Dallas has a 10-7 road record, and are 9-7-1 against the spread, with a +3.5-point differential. The Mavs are 4-4 in their last 8 games and 4-5 against the spread in their last 9. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 road games.
The Mavericks are coming off a 122-126 loss in Portland, as they allowed the Blazers to shoot with 50% from the field. Kyrie Irving led Dallas’ offense with 46 points with 5 triples and a perfect 9-9 from the free throw line.
Luka Doncic leads the Mavs in scoring with 28.1 points, adding 8.3 rebounds and a team-high 7.8 assists per game, but he is out with an injury. Kyrie Irving adds 24.6 points, 4.5 rebounds and 5 assists.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Kings average 115 points per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. They shoot 47.7% from the field, which ranks 8th in the league, and 34% from beyond the arc (24th). Defensively, the Kings allow 114.2 points per game, ranking 17th in the league.
Offensively, the Mavs average 117.7 points per game, which is the 5th-best in the NBA. They shoot 48.4% from the field, which is the 6th-best in the NBA, and 37.6% from beyond the arc (7th). Defensively, the Mavs allow 111.5 points per game, which is 12th in the league.
The Mavericks are 6-3 in their last 9 meetings against the Kings, but the Kings are 4-2 against the spread in their last 6 meetings. The Mavs are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Sacramento, and under is 5-0 in their last 5 overall meetings.
Prediction
In this Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, the Mavericks are coming as -3.5 road favorites. The Kings are the worst covering team at home in the whole league, with a 4-13-1 against the spread record. But I cannot trust the Mavericks on the road without Luka Doncic, so I’m going to pass on the side. Both teams are top-10 in the NBA offensively, with 232.7 points per game combined, and are also top-8 in field goal percentage. I expect those offenses to show up tonight and make this a high scoring affair. Take the over the point total. Take the over the point total. Nick’s Free Pick: Over 230
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