Brown vs Kentucky Game Information

Brown vs Kentucky Preview

No. 10 Kentucky (10-2, 8-0 at Home) welcomes Brown (7-4, 3-2 on Road) at Central Bank Center in downtown Lexington on New Year’s Eve day for an SEC-Ivy League collision. In their last 5 games, the Bears are 4-1, beating Stony Brook by 23 (77-54), Virginia Military by 7 (60-53), Bryant by 1 (76-75), and Rhode Island by 4 in 2 OTs (84-80), and then losing to Kansas in their last game by 34 (87-53). In their last 5 games, the Wildcats have gone 3-2, losing to Clemson by 4 (70-66), knocking off Gonzaga by1 in OT (90-89), Colgate by 11 (78-67), and Louisville by 8 (93-85), before losing to Ohio State by 20 (85-65). Online sportsbook DraftKings has Kentucky at 11/1 odds to win the 2025 NCAA Basketball championship.

Brown Suffers From a Very Weak-Scoring Bench

Brown (6-5-0 ATS, 4-7-0 O/U) has four players in double-digit scoring, but after that, the Bears points well runs very dry. G Kino Lilly Jr. (20.0 ppg, 3.6 apg), F Landon Lewis (13.9 ppg, 7.0 rpg), G Aaron Cooley (12.5 ppg, 7.8 rpg), and G Alexander Lesburt Jr. (10.2 ppg) provide the bulk of the points with G Lyndel Erold (7.4 ppg, 3.5 rpg) and G Malcom Wrisby-Jefferson (5.4 ppg, 4.0 rpg) both chipping in, but after that, it gets pretty sparse. The Brown Bench contributes just 13.2 ppg a game (#342) and have provided just 145 points heading in here. The Bears average 72.8 ppg (#261) while allowing 69.7 ppg and average 36.5 rpg (Tied-#193) and 14.4 apg (#180). After playing Johnson-Wales in their next game, Brown (+2200 Moneyline) will tip off Ivy League play at Yale on January 11 (ESPN, 12 EST/9 PST).

Brown Betting Trends

• Brown is 6-1-0 ATS the last 7 games
• The Bears won 6 straight games ATS from November 17-December 10
• The Under is 4-1-0 in Brown’s last 5 games
• The Under is 7-4-0 in the Bears 11 games overall
• Brown went 18-12-0 ATS last 2023-24 NCAAB season (60%)

Kentucky Looks for 8th Straight Win on Tuesday

Kentucky (5-6-1 ATS, 7-5-0 O/U) has won 7 straight games and the Wildcats only 2 Losses have come to Ohio State and Clemson. The Wildcats have scored over 100 points 4 times already this season and have beaten  Duke (State Farm Champions Game) and Gonzaga. Kentucky has 56 players averaging double-figures in Otega Oweh (16.2 ppg, 3.8 rpg), Lamont Butler (14.0 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 4.2 apg), Jaxson Robinson (12.3 ppg, 4.2 rpg), Koby Brea (12.2 ppg, 3.1 rpg), Andrew Carr (11.1 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 2.7 apg) and Amari Williams (9.8 ppg, 9.0 rpg, 2.3 apg). With the additions of Transfers Oweh (Oklahoma), Butler (San Diego State), Carr (Wake Forest), Williams (Drexel), Ansley Almonor (5.1 ppg, Fairleigh Dickinson), Kerr Kriisa (West Virginia) and Brandon Garrison (Oklahoma State), new Head Coach Mark Pope a very deep squad in Lexington that will only get better with time. The current Ken Pomeroy Rankings have the Wildcats (-8000 Moneyline)  ranked at No. 26 behind 6 other talented SEC schools in Auburn (#1), Tennessee (#3), Florida (#7), Alabama (#9), Texas A&M (#11), and Mississippi State (#19).

Kentucky Betting Trends

• Kentucky ranks #1 in the nation in Scoring (89.1 ppg)
• The Wildcats were 18-15-0 ATS in 2023-24
• Kentucky is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
• The Wildcats Team Total Over is 16-6 the last 22 (+9.07 Units, 36% ROI)
• The Wildcats have alternated Unders/Overs their last 8 (UOUOUOUO)
• Kentucky is 1-6-0 ATS the last 7 games overall

Brown vs Kentucky Prediction

Besides Scoring (#1), Kentucky is among the leaders in Rebounds Per Game (43.4, #8) and Assists Per Game (18.8, #12), but seeing that this team has just 1 ATS win since November 22 makes one think that the oddsmakers are making Point Spreads for Wildcats games just a little too high. So despite the weak Bench scoring, this Brown vs Kentucky NCAAB pick will look to take a chance on the big Road Underdog Bears, who are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 (Kentucky is 1-6 ATS its last 7) and Lilly Jr. and those 4 guys who can score some points on New Year’s Eve against a team allowing 72.8 ppg. 

Kevin’s Pick: Brown +22.5